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ISU

Iowa State 38 at Oklahoma 31

OU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:43 · Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Okla 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+29.7Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+3.8Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:12: David Montgomery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +2.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:07: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Kempt pass to Allen Lazard for Two-Point Conversion) — ISU win probability +20.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:46: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 57 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +29.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:18: Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +30.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +41.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:35ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:49ISU 4th & 1 at OU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:20ISU 4th & 7 at OU 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:53OU 4th & 5 at ISU 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:48ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:37OU 4th & 7 at OU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:43ISU 4th & 1 at OU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45ISU 4th & 13 at OU 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:43OU 4th & 4 at ISU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−10.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:27OU 4th & 4 at OU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:35OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:49OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:12ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:43OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:07ISU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:46ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:18OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:19ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:2597% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+35
96.7%
Abdul Adams run for 35 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
96.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 14 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.7%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+11
96.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 11 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
96.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
96.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.4%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.4%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
96.5%
Colin Downing punt for 46 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:2196% → 97%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.3%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
96.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Abdul Adams for 7 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
96.3%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-2
96.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+16
96.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 16 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
96.1%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
96.1%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
96.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+15
96.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 15 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
96.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:294% → 5%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+46
96.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 46 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
96.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
96.1%
Joel Lanning run for 6 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
96.1%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+9
96.1%
Joel Lanning run for 9 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.0%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
95.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+3
95.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 3 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
95.4%
Garrett Owens 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:2795% → 96%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
95.3%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
95.4%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
95.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
95.4%
Jeffery Mead pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 17 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
95.4%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+15
95.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 15 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
95.4%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
95.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews, broken up by Kamari Cotton-MoyaSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
96.0%
Austin Seibert 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:414% → 8%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
95.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 7 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+24
95.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to David Montgomery for 24 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
95.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+2
95.6%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+16
95.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 16 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.2%
Kyle Kempt run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+13
95.3%
Kempt, Kyle pass incomplete to Butler, Hakeem, PENALTY OU pass interference (Sylvie, Chanse) 13 yards to the OU5, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.2%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.2%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 0
OPP 4
+2
95.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, personal foul (Ogbonnia Okoronkwo) to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2994% → 96%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
93.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
93.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 19 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
94.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+24
93.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 24 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
94.1%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
95.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:555% → 5%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
95.5%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
95.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 8 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.4%
Colin Downing punt for 50 yds , Jordan Thomas returns for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+3
95.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 3 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 39 yds, downed at the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10FG
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:225% → 7%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+54
95.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 54 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.2%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
94.2%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+32
93.5%
Garrett Owens 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:157% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+23
93.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 23 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
92.7%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
92.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 3 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
92.3%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
91.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
92.2%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
91.2%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
91.2%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-7
91.7%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and Kenneth Mann for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
91.1%
Garrett Owens 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 69 yds · 0:0091% → 93%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
91.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 8 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
91.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 29 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
92.5%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
92.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 6 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
92.5%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Bobby McMillen III for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+9
92.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 9 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-1
92.9%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 6 Trey Sermon fumbled, recovered by IowSt Joel LanningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 3:2810% → 33%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
90.4%
Montgomery, Da. rush for 22 yards to the ISU28, out-of-bounds (Sylvie, Chanse), PENALTY ISU holding (Harms, Sam) 2 yards to the ISU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 12
OWN 4
-2
90.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 2Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 14
OWN 2
0
90.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+35
91.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 35 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
89.5%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+7
88.4%
Kyle Kempt run for 7 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
88.4%
Kempt, Kyle pass incomplete to Butler, Hakeem, PENALTY OU pass interference (Thomas, Jordan) 15 yards to the OU32, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
87.5%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
66.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Kempt pass to Allen Lazard for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2476% → 74%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
76.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+10
77.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
78.3%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+24
78.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 24 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
80.5%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
78.9%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-1
77.6%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
74.2%
Austin Seibert 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:5732% → 64%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
68.3%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
66.3%
Kempt, Kyle pass incomplete to Eaton, Matthew (Thomas, Jordan), PENALTY OU pass interference (Thomas, Jordan) 9 yards to the ISU43, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
36.5%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 57 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2844% → 72%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
45.8%
Baker Mayfield run for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+26
48.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 26 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
52.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
52.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+6
50.1%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
52.4%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Joel Lanning for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+17
41.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 17 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+11
41.6%
Trey Sermon run for 11 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.3%
Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5940% → 90%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.9%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
58.4%
Montgomery, Da. rush for no gain to the ISU30, out-of-bounds (Murray, Kenneth), PENALTY ISU holding (Seonbuchner, S.) 10 yards to the ISU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+22
61.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 7 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kenneth Murray) to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
55.9%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
56.2%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 12 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
54.1%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
53.4%
Joel Lanning run for 8 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
51.4%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-2
51.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
10.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:5220% → 12%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
21.6%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
23.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 2 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
16.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
12.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-6
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-41.3
TD · Q4 7:18
Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+30.7
TD · Q4 12:46
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 57 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-29.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com