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WVU

West Virginia 24 at TCU 31

TCU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:12 · Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds , Jovanni Stewart returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 33 Jovanni Stewart fumbled, recovered by TCU Vernon Scott
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:06: Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +13.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:37: Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 76 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +17.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:15: KaVontae Turpin pass complete to Kenny Hill for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +18.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:50: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +27.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:53: Kenny Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +27.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:52TCU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30WVU 4th & 15 at TCU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:12TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49WVU 4th & 3 at TCU 12, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:27TCU 4th & 5 at WVU 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:28WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 24, down 4
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:14TCU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:45WVU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:22WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:36TCU 4th & 6 at WVU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−6.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:18TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:03WVU 4th & 7 at TCU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:01TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:20WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 26, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−10.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:20TCU 4th & 1 at WVU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−11.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−10.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:07WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−1.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:13WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:16TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:06TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:52WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:37WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:15TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:50WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:53TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4385% → 84%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
84.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cole Hunt for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
84.6%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
84.5%
Kenny Hill run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 1
50
0
84.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 47 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 77 yds · 5:1016% → 18%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+38
84.2%
Justin Crawford run for 38 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
83.9%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 1
50
+5
83.7%
Will Grier run for 5 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
83.6%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
83.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
83.4%
Will Grier run for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
83.3%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+20
82.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 20 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
82.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Jones) to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+4
82.4%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
82.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+1
82.4%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
82.3%
Mike Molina 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:0282% → 82%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
82.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
82.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
81.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
81.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 51 yds, downed at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5618% → 20%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
81.7%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+5
81.6%
Will Grier run for 5 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
81.4%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
81.1%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+15
80.9%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ranthony Texada) to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
80.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
80.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
80.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4880% → 79%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
79.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 2 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
79.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
79.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 3
OWN 21
-4
78.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds , Jovanni Stewart returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 33 Jovanni Stewart fumbled, recovered by TCU Vernon ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4481% → 82%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
80.7%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+14
80.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 14 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
80.4%
Jalen Reagor run for 12 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
80.2%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
80.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:1119% → 21%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
80.3%
Will Grier run for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
79.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
79.3%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+17
79.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 17 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+13
78.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 13 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
78.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
78.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
78.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
79.2%
Mike Molina 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1380% → 80%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.9%
Shaun Nixon run for 4 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
79.9%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
79.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 18 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
80.8%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
81.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
80.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
79.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 45 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4520% → 20%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
79.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+11
79.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-11
79.0%
Will Grier sacked by Ranthony Texada for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 21
OWN 6
+3
79.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 18
OWN 9
+15
79.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 15 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
79.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 48 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0179% → 79%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
79.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 19 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
80.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-5
78.6%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Matt Pryor) to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+10
78.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 7
50
0
78.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:2222% → 21%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
77.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 10 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
77.2%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+9
77.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 9 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
77.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 19 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
75.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
73.8%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
74.0%
Will Grier sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 18
50
0
78.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 18
50
0
78.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 18
50
0
79.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
78.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2323% → 23%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
77.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+14
77.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 14 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
76.3%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39 Justin Crawford fumbled, forced by Mat Boesen, recovered by WVirg Elijah WellmanSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
75.6%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
75.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+1
76.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 38 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:3477% → 83%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
76.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
77.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+27
76.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 27 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
80.8%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+20
80.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 20 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
81.3%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+5
81.2%
Kenny Hill run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
80.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
83.3%
Jonathan Song 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1119% → 22%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
81.1%
Justin Crawford run for 15 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.1%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
80.4%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
79.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 6 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+34
78.4%
Will Grier pass intercepted Nick Orr return for 34 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
92.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5810% → 19%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
90.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+64
81.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 64 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2784% → 84%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
83.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 13 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
84.6%
Kenny Hill run for 8 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-3
84.6%
Kenedy Snell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
83.8%
Adam Nunez punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:2819% → 37%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
80.7%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+76
63.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 76 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1667% → 89%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 8 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+17
68.9%
Darius Anderson run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
70.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
88.5%
KaVontae Turpin pass complete to Kenny Hill for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:0518% → 16%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.0%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nick Orr) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.5%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
80.9%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ranthony Texada) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
78.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
79.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
83.6%
Jonn Young punt for 34 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4987% → 86%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
86.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
87.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
86.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+4
85.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 4 yds to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:0020% → 49%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.5%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Innis Gaines) to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
80.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-3
80.5%
Will Grier run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 41 Will Grier fumbled, recovered by WVirg Will GrierSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+9
81.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
79.3%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
78.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+4
81.2%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+11
82.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
78.7%
Justin Crawford run for 11 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:4763% → 94%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
65.6%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
65.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
50
+4
67.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
67.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
65.9%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+7
62.9%
Jalen Reagor run for 7 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
67.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
67.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+23
65.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 23 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
67.1%
Shaun Nixon run for 4 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
66.0%
KaVontae Turpin run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.8%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 7 yds · 1:3013% → 9%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
85.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
89.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
85.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (David Sills V) to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+7
88.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 18
OWN 32
0
88.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 18
OWN 32
0
89.2%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
91.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:3897% → 97%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
96.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+10
97.0%
Kenny Hill run for 10 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+27.8
TD · Q4 9:50
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-27.2
TD · Q3 0:15
KaVontae Turpin pass complete to Kenny Hill for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com