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OKST

Oklahoma State 41 at Texas Tech 34

TTU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:49: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +7.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:50: Mason Rudolph run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +8.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Justin Stockton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +17.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:56: Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +28.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Mason Rudolph run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +33.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:41TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:50TTU 4th & 16 at TTU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:40OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 5, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:18TTU 4th & 8 at OKST 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55OKST 4th & 1 at TTU 10, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−2.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−9.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:55OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:30OKST 4th & 2 at TTU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%−6.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−31.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:30TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:23TTU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:15OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:42TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:14TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:41OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:49OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:50OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:53TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:56TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:12OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.7%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
21.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
21.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
21.7%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:5378% → 78%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
22.5%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+21
22.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 21 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
22.4%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+11
22.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 11 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
22.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
22.4%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
22.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:5423% → 22%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
22.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
22.5%
Justin Stockton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
22.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 7 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by A.J. GreenSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
22.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
22.4%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke Coutee, broken up by Kenneth Edison-McGruderSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
22.3%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 35 yds, downed at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:4477% → 76%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+37
22.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Keenen Brown for 37 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
22.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
22.3%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
22.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+95
24.2%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted for a TD Damarcus Fields return for 95 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:1275% → 74%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
24.9%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+11
24.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
24.5%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-1
24.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
24.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
24.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 21 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
24.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
24.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 10 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
24.8%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
25.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
26.4%
Matt Ammendola 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:1627% → 36%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
27.3%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
27.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 7 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
27.2%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+56
27.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 56 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
28.7%
King, Tre rush for 3 yards to the OSU10 (Brailford, J.), PENALTY TTU illegal motion (Coutee, Keke) 5 yards to the OSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-5
28.7%
Shimonek, Nic pass complete to Stockton, J. for 6 yards to the OSU12 (Whitener, Chad), PENALTY TTU illegal formation 5 yards to the OSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+3
28.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+9
28.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 9 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+9
30.8%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Green, A.J.) 9 yards to the OSU2, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
31.3%
Desmond Nisby run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3366% → 72%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.1%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
34.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 10 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.5%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
33.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 7 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
32.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 8
50
+30
32.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 30 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
31.6%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-4
31.6%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+11
36.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
35.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
32.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 13Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+7
32.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 7 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
32.5%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY OSU holding (Phillips,Justin) 10 yards to the TTU30, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
32.8%
Keke Coutee run for 11 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
34.0%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-6
34.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
32.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
31.5%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:1369% → 78%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
31.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+30
31.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 30 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+24
28.7%
Justice Hill run for 24 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
28.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+12
28.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 12 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
28.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
28.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
29.6%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 3:4926% → 33%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
25.9%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+22
26.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 22 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
27.5%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
27.4%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+8
27.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 8 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
28.4%
Desmond Nisby run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+17
29.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 17 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
29.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
29.7%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Willies, D., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Baker, Adrian) 7 yards to the OSU2, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
28.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 6Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
32.7%
Michael Barden 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1070% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
30.1%
Justice Hill run for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
29.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
27.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskey, broken up by Dakota AllenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
27.8%
Justice Hill run for 22 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
26.9%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
26.9%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+8
27.9%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Ateman, Marcell, PENALTY TTU holding (Polite-Bray, DJ) 8 yards to the TTU8, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
19.0%
Mason Rudolph run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-12
20.6%
Nic Shimonek sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 12 yards to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 22
OWN 15
0
20.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke Coutee, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 22
OWN 15
+6
19.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 6 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
19.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt blocked by Devin Harper, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 9 blocked by Devin HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3282% → 87%
Q3 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Octavious MorganSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
18.5%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
18.8%
Mason Rudolph run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
13.5%
Matt Ammendola 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2215% → 19%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
15.1%
Justin Stockton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
15.7%
Nic Shimonek run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
15.6%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
16.0%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Willies, D., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Green, A.J.) 14 yards to the OSU46, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
17.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 26 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
17.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 17 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
17.7%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
17.6%
Desmond Nisby run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 3Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
17.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
16.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
19.4%
Michael Barden 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:2382% → 89%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
18.4%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
18.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
18.5%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, J., PENALTY TTU pass interference (Fields, D.) 15 yards to the OSU48, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
16.8%
Justice Hill run for 21 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
16.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 12 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
16.3%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
16.1%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
16.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
10.6%
Matt Ammendola 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:0213% → 32%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
12.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 21 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
14.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 2 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
14.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 7 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+11
14.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
15.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 14 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
15.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 14 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.5%
Nic Shimonek run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.4%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
32.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 6 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+15
32.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kirk Tucker) to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
32.4%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
31.8%
Nic Shimonek pass intercepted Jordan Brailford return for no gain to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
22.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
22.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
23.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:55
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
24.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:5329% → 61%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
29.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 14 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
30.0%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+14
30.0%
Nic Shimonek run for 14 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
32.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 16 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
32.4%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
32.4%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Wesley, Antoine, PENALTY OSU holding (Green, A.J.) 3 yards to the OSU3, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
32.5%
Desmond Nisby run for 2 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.5%
Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:2653% → 54%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
47.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
43.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
42.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+20
46.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 20 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
42.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+11
41.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 11 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
40.9%
Mason Rudolph run for 13 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
40.9%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
40.9%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.1%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+18
46.1%
Matt Ammendola 18 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
56.4%
Tre King run for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
57.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 5 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
57.4%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
57.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 6 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
57.9%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
55.5%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:0949% → 96%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
50.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Keenen Brown for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
50.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+26
51.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 26 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
44.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 15 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Damarcus Fields) to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
41.9%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
4.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:4914% → 10%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.9%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
13.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
50
0
17.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
50
0
16.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
50
0
15.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Derrick Willies, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 10
50
0
10.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Cameron Batson, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
50
-5
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:12
Mason Rudolph run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-33.6
TD · Q4 9:56
Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)
+28
TD · Q4 14:53
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)
+17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com