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ISU

Iowa State 41 at Akron 14

AKR
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:10 · Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:35: Mike Warren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +3.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:13: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 45 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +6.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:38: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +11.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:34: Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 43 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +13.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:34: David Montgomery run for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +9.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:36AKR 4th & 19 at AKR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:33AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:57ISU 4th & 8 at AKR 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−4.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:23ISU 4th & 4 at AKR 22, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:08ISU 4th & 7 at AKR 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:08AKR 4th & 8 at ISU 41, down 6
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 8 at ISU 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:01AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:21ISU 4th & 4 at AKR 36, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 4:33ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:35ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:13AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:38AKR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:34ISU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:34ISU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:12ISU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
19.6%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-1
19.6%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
19.6%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
20.3%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-1
20.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+17
20.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 17 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
20.4%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-2
20.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+15
20.3%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad. (Payne, D'Andre), PENALTY ISU pass interference 15 yards to the ISU42, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
20.4%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Joel Lanning and JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+3
20.3%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-7
20.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Joel Lanning for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
20.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 44 yds , Trever Ryen returns for no gain to the IowSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 4:0877% → 79%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+43
22.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 43 yds Deshaunte Jones fumbled, forced by Kyron Brown, recovered by IowSt Allen Lazard for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
22.1%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+22
22.1%
David Montgomery run for 22 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
22.0%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+12
22.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 12 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
22.0%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
23.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 1 yd to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
22.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
22.0%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to GLADNEY, Kevin, PENALTY AKRON ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY ISU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
22.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
22.5%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
22.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+17
22.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 17 yds to the IowSt 29 Trever Ryen fumbled, forced by Alvin Davis, recovered by IowSt Trever RyenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2578% → 82%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+37
22.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 37 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
21.6%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
21.5%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+24
21.7%
Jacob Park run for 24 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.2%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.9%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 0:3519% → 19%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
18.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
19.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
18.9%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
19.0%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
18.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete AKRON Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-9
19.4%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Willie Harvey for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 48
0
19.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 48
-7
19.0%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Willie Harvey and Carson Lensing for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 45
-5
18.8%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 31
OWN 40
0
18.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
17.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
17.7%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-16
17.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 26
OWN 19
0
18.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 26
OWN 19
+10
18.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:3818% → 25%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
18.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 1
50
+2
18.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
18.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
18.4%
Thomas Woodson sacked by JaQuan Bailey and J.D. Waggoner for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+45
24.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 45 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:1077% → 80%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
23.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 15 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
22.5%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
21.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+34
22.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 19 yds to the AKRON 40 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
21.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
21.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
21.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
20.4%
Garrett Owens 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 1 yd Tra'Von Chapman fumbled, forced by Marcel Spears Jr., recovered by IowSt Brian PeavySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2781% → 82%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
19.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
19.5%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+5
19.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 5 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
17.8%
Garrett Owens 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4519% → 29%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
18.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
19.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 5 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
19.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 15 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
19.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 8 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+6
19.6%
Warren Ball run for 6 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
20.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 6 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
20.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
17.0%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to CONEY, A.J., PENALTY ISU pass interference 11 yards to the ISU11, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
28.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0076% → 78%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
24.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 14 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
23.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 8 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
22.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 2 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
22.1%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
26.9%
Warren Ball run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
27.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
26.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
26.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 44 yds , Allen Lazard returns for no gain to the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:3775% → 75%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
25.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 7 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+8
24.1%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
24.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 11 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
23.3%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+32
22.9%
David Montgomery run for 32 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
22.7%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
22.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
23.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
25.3%
Garrett Owens 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
27.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
28.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for no gain to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+17
27.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 17 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
29.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for no gain to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+14
27.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 14 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
31.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
29.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
27.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2074% → 90%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
25.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 17 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
24.4%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
23.5%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
23.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
23.3%
Mike Warren run for 9 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+43
10.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 43 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.7%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
15.7%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Joel Lanning return for 19 yds to the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2190% → 98%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
10.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 15
OPP 21
-1
10.3%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 16
OPP 22
+4
10.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+9
11.1%
Park, Jacob pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY AKRON personal foul 9 yards to the AKRON9, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.9%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:344% → 4%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
4.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
4.3%
Warren Ball run for 19 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
4.5%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
4.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
4.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony Young, broken up by Joel LanningSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
3.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
2.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 5 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-10
2.4%
Montgomery, Da. rush for 1 yard to the ISU24 (DAVIS, Jamal), PENALTY ISU holding 10 yards to the ISU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+9
2.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 9 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
2.4%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-4
2.9%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Jack Spreen for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+3
2.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 3 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
2.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds, downed at the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:0998% → 100%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
2.0%
Montgomery, Da. rush for loss of 9 yards to the ISU22 (WARD, Josh;BELL, Brian), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the ISU46, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
1.8%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.7%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
1.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 11 yds to the Akron 27 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-11 Yards) to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
1.7%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
1.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Darian DaileySimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+15
2.0%
Jacob Park run for no gain to the Akron 36 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
1.3%
Park, Jacob pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 21 yards to the AKRON0, clock 08:10, PENALTY ISU pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 25
OPP 36
+3
1.3%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 22
OPP 33
+23
1.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 23 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
1.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
1.3%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
1.3%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
0.1%
Jacob Park run for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
0.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+21
0.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 21 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
0.2%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the AKRON 49 AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+9
0.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+32
0.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 32 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+39
0.2%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Braxton Lewis return for 39 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
50
-2
0.1%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+9
0.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:34
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 43 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-13
TD · Q2 0:38
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q3 1:34
David Montgomery run for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com