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WVU

West Virginia 56 at Kansas 34

KU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +8.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:22: Taylor Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +7.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:02: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +5.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:35: Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +12.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:16: Will Grier run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +6.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 2 at WVU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52KU 4th & 8 at WVU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:47WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:42KU 4th & 5 at KU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 6 at WVU 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:14KU 4th & 4 at KU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:49KU 4th & 11 at KU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04WVU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 48, up 22
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:06KU 4th & 7 at WVU 43, down 15
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 26, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:22WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 8 at KU 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:39KU 4th & 4 at WVU 23, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:33WVU 4th & 2 at KU 2, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 3:37WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:14WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:56WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:17WVU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:11KU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:36WVU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:02KU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:22KU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:02WVU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:35KU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:16WVU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:42WVU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:087% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
6.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+18
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 18 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+21
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 21 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
6.7%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
6.7%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+7
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
6.7%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 9 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+1
6.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
-5
6.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 11Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
9.2%
Gabriel Rui 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
9.2%
Justin Crawford run for 13 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
9.1%
Will Grier sacked by Joe Dineen Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
9.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
9.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
9.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
9.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+12
9.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 12 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
9.8%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
9.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
9.8%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
9.6%
Cole Moos punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1789% → 90%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
10.6%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+24
10.7%
Justin Crawford run for 24 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
10.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+20
10.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 20 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
10.1%
Justin Crawford run for 8 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+13
10.1%
Justin Crawford run for 13 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
10.1%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:3110% → 12%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
10.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
10.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for 4 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+15
10.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 15 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
10.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+19
10.5%
Taylor Martin run for 19 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
11.0%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
11.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
10.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-5
10.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
12.1%
Cole Moos punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:4388% → 91%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
11.9%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
11.9%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+26
12.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 26 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
11.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 10 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
11.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 24 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
11.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 6 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
9.2%
Justin Crawford run for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
9.8%
Steven Sims Jr. pass incomplete to Taylor MartinSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
9.8%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
9.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
9.8%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:2290% → 94%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
9.7%
Will Grier run for 5 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+13
9.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
9.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 15 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
9.2%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 7
50
+1
9.3%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+16
9.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Justin Crawford for 16 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
9.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
9.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+5
9.2%
Will Grier run for 5 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
5.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 23 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
7.6%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-2
7.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
7.4%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
7.4%
Cole Moos punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:1093% → 97%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
6.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 8 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
6.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
6.6%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31 Will Grier fumbled, forced by Keith Loneker Jr.,Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
6.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+10
6.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 10 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
6.4%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
2.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 49 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:062% → 8%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
2.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
7.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 67 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
6.2%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Sills V, David, PENALTY KU pass interference (Taylor,Shakial) 13 yards to the WVU36, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
6.0%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
6.2%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+13
6.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 13 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.9%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
5.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 8
50
0
5.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V, broken up by DeAnte FordSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 8
50
0
6.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 24 yds, downed at the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
1.3%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted for a TD Mike Daniels Jr. return for 25 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:301% → 9%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
1.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 25 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
1.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+19
0.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 19 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+41
9.1%
Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
4.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
4.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
4.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
4.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
4.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
4.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 3:346% → 11%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
5.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-5
5.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+9
5.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+6
5.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
5.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
6.0%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
6.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
5.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+60
6.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 60 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
7.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
7.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 7 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
6.8%
Will Grier pass intercepted Hasan Defense return for no gain to the Kans 43 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
8.7%
Dom Williams run for 14 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
9.6%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+12
9.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
9.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Khalil Herbert, broken up by Al-Rasheed BentonSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
9.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
9.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
9.3%
Cole Moos punt for 32 yds, downed at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
7.5%
Justin Crawford run for 13 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
7.4%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
7.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V, broken up by Shakial TaylorSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
7.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoy, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
7.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:259% → 17%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+66
8.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 64 yds to the KANSAS 3 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, roughing passer (2 Yards) to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
10.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
10.1%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.2%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
14.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 19 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
12.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 23
OWN 31
+6
14.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 6 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+10
14.6%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
14.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:2515% → 15%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
15.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
15.6%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+20
14.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Battle) to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
17.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
17.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
15.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
15.0%
Cole Moos punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 2:5586% → 96%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
14.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Justin Crawford for 9 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+5
13.6%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
13.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
14.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+25
14.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 25 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
12.3%
Will Grier run for 24 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
11.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
11.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+9
10.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+5
11.6%
Molina, Mike field goal attempt from 29 GOOD, clock 11:10, PENALTY KU offside defense (Armstrong,D.) 5 yards to the KU7, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
9.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
3.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:277% → 19%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.1%
Taylor Martin run for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
7.9%
Taylor Martin run for 8 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
8.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+23
8.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 23 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
9.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
9.6%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+2
9.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+5
5.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
6.2%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
6.2%
Peyton Bender run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Reese Donahue) to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
19.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1290% → 98%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
10.5%
Will Grier run for 9 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
10.1%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
9.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 24 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
8.8%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+30
8.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 30 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.5%
Will Grier run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
4.0%
Peyton Bender sacked by Lamonte McDougle for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 31 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by WVirg Dylan Tonkery , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:2797% → 100%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+28
2.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 28 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.5%
Will Grier run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
0.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+38
0.9%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Al-Rasheed Benton return for 38 yds to the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
0.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.5%
Will Grier run for no gain to the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
0.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+15
0.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 15 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
0.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:35
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+12.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOOD
+8
TD · Q3 3:22
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com