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OKST

Oklahoma State 59 at Pittsburgh 21

PITT
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:05 · Ryan Winslow punt for 58 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense−4.3Pregame prior−27.8Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:46: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +1.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:33: Marcell Ateman 69 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +3.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:15: Justice Hill run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +3.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:40: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 48 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:16: Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:02PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05PITT 4th & 16 at PITT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55PITT 4th & 5 at OKST 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 26, down 28
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:29PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:51PITT 4th & 24 at OKST 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:36PITT 4th & 1 at OKST 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:05OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 13, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:34PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 41, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:08OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 20, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:08OKST 4th & 8 at PITT 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:31PITT 4th & 7 at OKST 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:00OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:46OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:33OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:41OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:22OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:25PITT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:15OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:40OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:16PITT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:54OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:08PITT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5581% → 81%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
19.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
19.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 12 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
19.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 26 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
19.2%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
19.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
19.1%
Justice Hill run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4919% → 20%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
19.5%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
19.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 7 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
19.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 63 yds, downed at the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 3:0580% → 82%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
19.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+2
20.0%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+12
20.2%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
20.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
20.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+15
20.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Ateman, Marcell, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Jackson, Dane) 15 yards to the OKLAST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
19.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
20.0%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
19.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
19.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
18.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2619% → 19%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
18.7%
Max Browne pass complete to Darrin Hall for 8 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+18
18.9%
Maurice Ffrench run for 18 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
19.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
19.1%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-7
19.0%
Max Browne sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
18.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:2682% → 85%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.2%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
18.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
18.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
18.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell Ateman, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
18.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+69
14.7%
Marcell Ateman 69 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:3115% → 15%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
15.3%
Max Browne pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 16 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
15.4%
Quadree Henderson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 9
50
-10
15.2%
Browne, Max pass incomplete to Clark, Chris, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Morrissey, Jimmy) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 19
OWN 43
-7
14.8%
Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Pitt 43 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jimmy Morrissey) to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 26
OWN 33
+12
14.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Chawntez Moss for 12 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+9
14.5%
Max Browne pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 9 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
14.5%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:0788% → 88%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
12.5%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+27
12.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 27 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
12.1%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, James, PENALTY PITTSBURGH offside (Wheeler, Rashad) 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+1
12.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
11.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
12.1%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
12.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:269% → 8%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.0%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
8.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Mike Herndon) to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+7
9.1%
Max Browne pass complete to Chris Clark for 7 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
8.3%
Max Browne run for 4 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
7.5%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds, downed at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3089% → 91%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
10.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+16
9.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 16 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
9.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:387% → 7%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+74
7.0%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 74 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
7.4%
Ben Dinucci run for 2 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+6
7.2%
Chawntez Moss run for 6 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
7.4%
Chawntez Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:5690% → 95%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
9.6%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
9.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 7 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+23
9.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
9.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
9.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+31
9.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 31 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
8.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
4.6%
Justice Hill run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:385% → 4%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.5%
Ben Dinucci run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
3.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Quadree HendersonSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
3.9%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Chawntez MossSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
3.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:4095% → 97%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
4.8%
Rudolph, Mason pass complete to Washington, James for 5 yards to the OKLAST26, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Brown, Keenen) 10 yards to the OKLAST11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+12
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 12 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+8
4.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 8 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
4.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 21 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
3.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 48 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 3:123% → 3%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
2.6%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
2.4%
Chawntez Moss run for 7 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
2.3%
Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
2.4%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
2.3%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes, broken up by Ramon RichardsSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
2.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Alex Bookser) to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+28
2.3%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 28 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
2.4%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 5 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+11
2.1%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 11 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.3%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
2.2%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 13 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
2.2%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Ruben Flowers IIISimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
2.1%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Ruben Flowers IIISimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.8%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:044% → 2%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
3.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
2.5%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 16 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
2.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+23
2.5%
Ben Dinucci run for 23 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
2.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
2.4%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-15
2.3%
Ben Dinucci sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 15 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 24
OPP 40
0
2.1%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds, downed at the OKSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0598% → 98%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+39
2.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 39 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
1.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
1.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 24 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.8%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Avonte Maddox return for no gain to the Pitt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:342% → 1%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
1.8%
Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+10
1.2%
Ben Dinucci pass intercepted for a TD Justin Phillips return for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:221% → 1%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
1.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+25
1.2%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 25 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
1.2%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
1.1%
Ben Dinucci run for 4 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
1.1%
Chawntez Moss run for no gain to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
1.0%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
1.0%
Ben Dinucci run for no gain to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Jester WeahSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+7
0.7%
Ben Dinucci pass intercepted Tre Flowers return for 7 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
1.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
1.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 13Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
0.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyrell AlexanderSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
1.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.6%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.5%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Chawntez MossSimilar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Ryan Winslow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -16 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-1
0.7%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+6
0.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-5
0.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
0.7%
Jason Pinnock 0 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:4599% → 100%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.6%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
0.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
0.5%
J.D. King run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+39
0.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 39 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
0.4%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
0.3%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
0.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Pitt 7Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.3%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
0.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 8Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
0.3%
Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:240% → 0%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
0.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for 8 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+2
0.2%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
0.2%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for 10 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
0.2%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 18 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Ben Dinucci pass incomplete to Chris ClarkSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
0.2%
Ben Dinucci pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 9 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
0.2%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.2%
Chawntez Moss run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
0.2%
Chawntez Moss run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
0.1%
Ben Dinucci run for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
0.1%
Alex Kessman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.2%
La'Darren Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
0.2%
La'Darren Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+26
0.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Britton Abbott for 26 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
0.1%
Brown, La'Darren rush for 3 yards to the PITTSBURGH34, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Galloway, Dylan) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+6
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for 6 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-4
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 18
OPP 45
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:15
Justice Hill run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q1 3:33
Marcell Ateman 69 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)
-3.4
TD · Q1 7:46
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com