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KU

Kansas 30 at Ohio 42

OHIO
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:46 · Cole Moos punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+7.2Pregame prior+14.1Score differential+2.4Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Troy Mangen for 10 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:11: Khalil Herbert run for 56 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +7.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:20: Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +6.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:53: A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +10.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:49OHIO 4th & 4 at KU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:44KU 4th & 4 at KU 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:48KU 4th & 4 at OHIO 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46KU 4th & 19 at KU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:33OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14KU 4th & 3 at OHIO 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−1.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53KU 4th & 1 at OHIO 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−1.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47KU 4th & 15 at KU 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:35KU 4th & 10 at OHIO 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:13OHIO 4th & 10 at KU 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:13KU 4th & 13 at OHIO 29, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:15OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:11KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:20OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:53OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:18OHIO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:47KU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
68.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
68.8%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
68.8%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
68.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+5
68.8%
Cole Moos punt for 48 yds , Papi White returns for 5 yds to the Ohio 48 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FG
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:0569% → 69%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+63
68.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 63 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.9%
Papi White run for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
68.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+6
68.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
68.8%
Louie Zervos 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.7%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
68.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
68.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete, broken up by Tony PorterSimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
68.9%
Cole Moos punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:2369% → 73%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Mike LeeSimilar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
68.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+17
68.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 17 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
69.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
69.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+24
69.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 24 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
69.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
69.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+2
69.1%
Rourke, Nathan pass complete to Ouellette, A.J. for loss of 1 yard to the KU6 (Dineen,Joe), PENALTY KU personal foul 2 yards to the KU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Farkas pass to Jacob Hale for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:2129% → 29%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
71.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+18
70.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 18 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
70.5%
Peyton Bender sacked by Trent Smart for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+3
71.2%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+9
71.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 9 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
71.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Deron ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:5173% → 79%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
72.8%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
72.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+23
71.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 23 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
72.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+26
72.9%
Dorian Brown run for 26 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
79.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Troy Mangen for 10 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
78.8%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-8
79.1%
Peyton Bender sacked by Trent Smart and Kent Berger for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 19
OWN 20
0
79.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Quan HamptonSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 19
OWN 20
0
79.4%
Cole Moos punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.2%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-3
80.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 13
OWN 38
-5
79.5%
Nathan Rourke sacked by J.J. Holmes for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 18
OWN 33
-3
78.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 48 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:3119% → 27%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
80.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+9
80.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
80.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-6
79.8%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+16
80.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 16 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
73.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 56 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 2:4375% → 83%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
75.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Brendan Cope for 15 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
75.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Cameron Odom for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
75.7%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
76.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+58
75.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Brendan Cope for 58 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 6:0618% → 24%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
82.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 12 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
81.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
82.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
81.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
50
+5
80.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
80.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
80.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-2
80.4%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+8
81.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
80.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 11 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
79.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+1
79.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Ohio 11Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
83.1%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 10Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
83.1%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.3%
Peyton Bender run for no gain to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
76.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
79.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.2%
KANSAS Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
81.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+15
81.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 15 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
81.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 17 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
81.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
81.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
80.1%
Rourke, Nathan sacked for loss of 9 yards to the KU24 (Armstrong,D.), PENALTY KU personal foul 8 yards to the KU7, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass intercepted, touchback. Mike Lee return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
80.4%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Jalen Fox return for 13 yds to the Kans 33 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:1383% → 93%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
82.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+5
82.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
82.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
90.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
90.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
90.2%
Peyton Bender sacked by Cleon Aloese and Evan Croutch for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+5
90.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-7
90.4%
Peyton Bender sacked by Dylan Conner for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
91.0%
Cole Moos punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 6:4593% → 99%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
93.3%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
93.4%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
93.2%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
93.4%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+16
93.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Troy Mangen for 16 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
93.7%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to Cope, Brendan, PENALTY KU pass interference 15 yards to the KU41, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.8%
Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+14
93.8%
Dorian Brown run for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
93.8%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+10
93.8%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
95.7%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
95.7%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:261% → 4%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 9 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+5
98.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 5 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
98.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 36 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
98.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 9 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
98.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-5
98.5%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+8
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 8 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
98.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+5
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 5 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+9
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
97.4%
Ross, Julian rush for 7 yards to the OHIO35 (Ogbebor,Osaze), PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 20
OWN 18
-3
97.3%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+23
97.5%
Julian Ross run for 23 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 7 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
97.5%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:343% → 4%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
97.1%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-6
97.2%
Peyton Bender sacked by Cleon Aloese for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+34
97.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+1
96.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+16
96.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 16 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
96.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 16 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
96.2%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
96.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
96.2%
Gabriel Rui 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FG
11 plays · 18 yds · 3:2197% → 99%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.6%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
97.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 15 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
97.8%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+4
97.8%
Quinton Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-2
97.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
99.0%
Louie Zervos 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:131% → 3%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 11 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.4%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Schadler,Ryan, PENALTY KU holding 10 yards to the KU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+5
99.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+28
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 28 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 7 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-10
99.1%
Bender,Peyton rush for 9 yards to the OHIO10, PENALTY KU holding 10 yards to the OHIO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+27
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 27 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:53
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q2 6:20
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 9:11
Khalil Herbert run for 56 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com