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ECU

East Carolina 20 at West Virginia 56

WVU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:50 · Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 23 yds to the WVirg 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+39.0Home team on offense+3.2Score differential+1.0Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:08: Jake Verity 23 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 3:50: Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:04: Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:31: Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 52 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:31: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ECU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:38ECU 4th & 3 at WVU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:08ECU 4th & 7 at WVU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:50ECU 4th & 14 at ECU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:58ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:31ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:12WVU 4th & 10 at ECU 27, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12ECU 4th & 10 at WVU 37, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:08ECU 4th & 8 at WVU 28, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:59WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 41, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:02ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 39, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:57WVU 4th & 10 at ECU 28, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27ECU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 43
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:27WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 43, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:07WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 36, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:48ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 30, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:41WVU 4th & 1 at ECU 47, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:41WVU 4th & 10 at ECU 43, up 36
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:44WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:04WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:31WVU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:31WVU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:35WVU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:30WVU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:55ECU Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:07WVU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:13ECU Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1694% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.1%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
94.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+20
94.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 20 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.1%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
94.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
94.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+21
94.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 21 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.8%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 6:306% → 8%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 5 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-10
93.7%
DYE, Tyshon rush for 4 yards to the ECU32 (Tonkery, Dylan), NO PLAY, PENALTY ECU holding (LEE, Austin) 10 yards to the ECU18.Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
93.8%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Toyous AverySimilar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+27
93.8%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 27 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
93.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+5
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 5 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
93.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+15
93.7%
SIRK, Thomas pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy, NO PLAY, PENALTY WVU pass interference (Avery, Toyous) 15 yards to the WVU8, 1ST DOWN ECU.Similar
Q1 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 4 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
93.7%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+23
92.1%
Jake Verity 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:1392% → 93%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
92.2%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+13
92.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 13 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
92.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 6 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
92.4%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+38
92.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 38 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ECaro Thomas SirkSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+2
93.1%
Tyshon Dye run for 2 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+8
93.2%
Thomas Sirk run for 8 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+23
93.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 23 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:4593% → 95%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+40
92.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 40 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:066% → 5%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
94.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 10 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
94.3%
Tyshon Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+11
94.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 11 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-14
94.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 1 yd to the ECaro 44 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 24
OWN 41
+6
94.5%
Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+2
94.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 2 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
94.6%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
94.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:5995% → 96%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
94.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+12
94.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 12 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
94.9%
Will Grier run for 8 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+6
95.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 6 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
95.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 52 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
93.7%
Thomas Sirk pass intercepted Kyzir White return for 1 yd to the ECaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:5096% → 98%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
95.9%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyree Owens) to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.9%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
98.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Tyshon Dye run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
97.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.8%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by Toyous AverySimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+59
98.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:0898% → 99%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
97.9%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
97.9%
Will Grier run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
97.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.9%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
97.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+19
97.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 19 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V, broken up by Corey SeargentSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
98.7%
Mike Molina 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+36
99.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 36 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
99.2%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.8%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
98.9%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.2%
Justin Crawford run for 41 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14INT
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 7 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+11
99.3%
Hussein Howe run for 11 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Dravon Askew-HenrySimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
99.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 6 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 18 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Thomas Sirk pass intercepted Kyzir White return for no gain to the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 86 yds · 0:24100% → 100%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.5%
Justin Crawford run for 11 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 75 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Hussein Howe run for 9 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:441% → 1%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+15
99.4%
Tyshon Dye run for 15 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.4%
Tyshon Dye run for 4 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Tyshon DyeSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+17
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 17 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Mike Daniels Jr.Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Mike Daniels Jr. EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
99.5%
Jake Verity 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
99.6%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-9
99.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the WVirg 41 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tim Irvin at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:520% → 0%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 11 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 15 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+26
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 26 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.8%
Thomas Sirk run for 3 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 19 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
99.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Tyree Owens) to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
99.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 19 yds to the ECaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for no gain to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 3 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Kenny RobinsonSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 7 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.8%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Kiante Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+26
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ricky Rogers for 26 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Dominique Maiden, broken up by Colby GoreSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Dominique Maiden, broken up by Colby GoreSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Mike Molina 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tyshon Dye for 11 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 8 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Tyshon Dye run for 1 yd to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Tyshon Dye run for no gain to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Quondarius Qualls) to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tyshon Dye for 7 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Tyshon Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by Toyous AverySimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
99.9%
Jake Verity 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+55
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 52 yds, downed at the WESTVIR 5 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, IB (Hussein Howe) to the ECaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 98 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
100.0%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+95
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 95 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Chris Chugunov run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 6 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-3
99.9%
Gardner Minshew run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 30 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tevin Bush at the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 13 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Druw Bowen for 9 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for no gain to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for no gain to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 4 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 7 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-12
99.9%
Tevin Bush run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal participation (Reggie Roberson Jr.) to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+11
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 11 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:31
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q1 1:04
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
+2
FG · Q1 6:08
Jake Verity 23 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com