Try the model
SJSU

San José State 0 at Texas 56

TEX
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:28: Chris Warren III run for 41 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK) — TEX win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:16: Jerrod Heard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK) — TEX win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:48: Kyle Porter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK) — TEX win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:13SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:59TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:07SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:08TEX 4th & 6 at SJSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:56SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:19SJSU 4th & 1 at TEX 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:29TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:41SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:39SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 16, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:24TEX 4th & 7 at SJSU 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:08SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 41, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:39SJSU 4th & 27 at TEX 46, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 2:56TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:16TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:48TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:48TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:10TEX Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:08TEX Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:46TEX Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.8%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
95.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
95.8%
Jerrod Heard run for 9 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.8%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.5%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
95.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 58 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 2 yds to the Texas 12 Armanti Foreman fumbled, recovered by Texas Armanti ForemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
95.3%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+3
95.3%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+18
95.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 18 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.3%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
95.3%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
95.3%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
95.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
94.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
94.4%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
94.4%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
94.4%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
94.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:1294% → 94%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
94.3%
Chris Warren III run for 3 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
94.3%
Armanti Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+10
94.2%
Ehlinger, Sam right side pass incomplete to Johnson, Collin, PENALTY SJ defensive holding (KELLY, Jermaine) 10 yards to the SJ41, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Armanti Foreman, broken up by Maurice McKnightSimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
94.3%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Toneil Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+9
94.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+9
94.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 9 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
94.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 14 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
94.4%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
94.4%
Jerrod Heard run for 9 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.1%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
94.1%
AARON, Montel deep pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey, PENALTY UT defensive pass interference (Elliott, DeShon) 14 yards to the SJ40, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
93.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+7
94.1%
Montel Aaron run for 7 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
93.9%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+3
93.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 3 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
94.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:5894% → 95%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
93.6%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+8
93.5%
Chris Warren III run for 8 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
93.5%
Chris Warren III run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
93.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-15
93.8%
Heard, Jerrod rush over left end for loss of 2 yards to the UT49 (McKNIGHT, Mauri;AGUAYO, Ethan), PENALTY UT face mask (Heard, Jerrod) 15 yards to the UT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 36
+23
93.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 23 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+41
95.3%
Chris Warren III run for 41 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to DeJon Packer for 9 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-5
94.5%
PACKER, DeJon rush for 7 yards to the UT40 (Locke III, P.J.), PENALTY SJ illegal formation 5 yards to the SJ48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+14
94.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 14 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
94.6%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+18
94.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 18 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.3%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Poona FordSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
94.4%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+9
94.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 9 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
94.5%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:1195% → 94%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
95.0%
Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-1
95.0%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 15Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
94.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
94.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 11 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
94.7%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-10
94.7%
Ehlinger, Sam right sideline pass complete to Johnson, Collin for 13 yards to the UT47, PENALTY UT offensive holding (Shackelford, Za) 10 yards to the UT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+1
94.6%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 18
OWN 25
+6
94.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:116% → 6%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
94.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
94.3%
Montel Aaron run for 3 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
94.2%
Montel Aaron run for 4 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
94.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
93.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
94.1%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
94.0%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
94.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:1194% → 98%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
94.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kyle Porter for 3 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+9
94.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+39
94.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 39 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
95.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lorenzo JoeSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+14
94.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 14 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.8%
Jerrod Heard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
97.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 13Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+7
97.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 7 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+7
97.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-3
97.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 53 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 24 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block in back (Holton Hill) to the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
16 plays · 92 yds · 6:3598% → 100%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
97.9%
Chris Warren III run for 8 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+1
97.9%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+8
97.8%
Chris Warren III run for 8 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
97.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 12 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 9 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
98.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Lorenzo JoeSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
98.0%
Chris Warren III run for 10 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
98.0%
Chris Warren III run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+8
98.0%
Jerrod Heard run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
98.1%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+9
98.1%
Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
98.1%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 6 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
99.7%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+1
99.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+61
99.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the TEXAS 33 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Lorenzo Joe) to the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Reggie Hemphill-MappsSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
99.8%
Kyle Porter run for 14 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.8%
Chris Warren III run for 11 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.8%
Chris Warren III run for 10 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Reggie Hemphill-MappsSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Joshua Rowland 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+45
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted for a TD Holton Hill return for 45 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, downed at the Texas 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
99.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 27 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Chris Warren III run for 8 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+23
99.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 23 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Chris Warren III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+9
99.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 9 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 16 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt Tyler NevensSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 6:34100% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Daniel Young run for 9 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Daniel Young run for 11 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Toneil Carter run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Toneil Carter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Toneil Carter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Toneil Carter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Jerrod Heard run for 6 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
Young, Daniel rush over left tackle for 6 yards to the SJ26 (FAILAUGA, Noah), PENALTY UT offensive holding (Brewer, Cade) 10 yards to the SJ42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+38
99.9%
Toneil Carter run for 38 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Toneil Carter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Sam Allen pass complete to Brandon Mitchell for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+18
100.0%
DeJon Packer run for 18 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
Sam Allen pass complete to Brandon Mitchell for 5 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+14
100.0%
Sam Allen pass complete to Austin Liles for 14 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Sam Allen pass incomplete to Austin LilesSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Sam Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy Kelly, broken up by John BonneySimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-5
100.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Charles Nelson) to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 15
OPP 34
-12
100.0%
Sam Allen sacked by Edwin Freeman for a loss of 12 yards to the Texas 46 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 27
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Sam Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
Jerrod Heard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 12:28
Chris Warren III run for 41 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q3 6:48
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com