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OKST

Oklahoma State 44 at South Alabama 7

USA
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2017 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:24 · Keondre Wudtee run for 18 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−17.1Home team on offense−53.6Score differential−32.1Garbage-time factor−14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:31: James Washington 66 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:36: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:11: Matt Ammendola 53 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:16: Marcell Ateman 20 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:44: Mason Rudolph 10 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:51OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30USA 4th & 11 at USA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32OKST 4th & 2 at USA 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:00USA 4th & 3 at USA 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:59USA 4th & 14 at USA 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52USA 4th & 3 at USA 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:47OKST 4th & 15 at USA 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:17USA 4th & 5 at OKST 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11OKST 4th & 10 at USA 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:38USA 4th & 15 at USA 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:02USA 4th & 4 at USA 31, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:04OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 46, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:24USA 4th & 16 at USA 37, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:20OKST 4th & 1 at USA 46, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:24OKST 4th & 2 at USA 36, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:55OKST 4th & 23 at USA 31, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:50USA 4th & 8 at OKST 32, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 5:31OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:36OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:16OKST Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:44OKST Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:12OKST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:35USA Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4597% → 96%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
3.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
3.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
3.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, downed at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:394% → 4%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
3.8%
Cole Garvin sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+8
3.9%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-1
4.1%
Cole Garvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+13
4.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 58 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 13 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:5396% → 95%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
4.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
4.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 9 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
4.4%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
4.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 7 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
4.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 13 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
4.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+10
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 10 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
4.9%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+1
4.9%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
5.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
5.1%
Matt Ammendola 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
5.3%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
5.4%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+4
5.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Deonta Moore for 4 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
5.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:1994% → 95%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
5.6%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+66
5.0%
James Washington 66 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:195% → 5%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
5.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sa'Mory CollierSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
5.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 7 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-11
5.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
5.3%
Corliss Waitman punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0695% → 96%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
5.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
5.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
5.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
5.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 14 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
5.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 30 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:225% → 5%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
4.5%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
4.7%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
4.7%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
4.8%
Corliss Waitman punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9MISSED FG
20 plays · 67 yds · 5:5596% → 95%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
4.4%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 16
0
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+3
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
4.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
4.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+13
4.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
4.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 14 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
4.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
4.1%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
4.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
4.1%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+3
4.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+11
4.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 3 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
4.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-5
4.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
4.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 10
OPP 19
-5
4.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+42
4.8%
Matt Ammendola 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 7:215% → 7%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.3%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
5.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 17 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
5.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+16
5.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
6.2%
Dallas Davis sacked by Enoch Smith Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+1
6.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tra Minter for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
6.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 12 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
6.6%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+14
6.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 14 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
6.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-4
6.9%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
6.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
6.5%
Gavin Patterson 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
4.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
4.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 15 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 16 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
4.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 12 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
4.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
4.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
3.2%
Matt Ammendola 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:145% → 4%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
4.8%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
5.1%
Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+10
4.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
4.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43 Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Jarrell Owens, recovered by OKSt DeQuinton OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:5497% → 99%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
3.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 14 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
2.8%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
2.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for no gain to the SAlab 20 lat. to James Washington for 2 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+20
1.2%
Marcell Ateman 20 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
1.4%
Dallas Davis sacked by Kirk Tucker for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
1.3%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
1.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
1.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for no gain to the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
1.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+13
1.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
1.3%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
1.1%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
1.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, James, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference 15 yards to the SOUTHALA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
1.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 10 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.6%
Mason Rudolph 10 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.7%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
0.6%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.6%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Corliss Waitman punt for 54 yds, downed at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:53100% → 99%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+31
0.5%
J.D. King run for 31 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
0.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
0.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
0.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 29 yds, downed at the SAlab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:411% → 0%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
0.2%
Justin Phillips 25 Yd Interception Return (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
0.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 19 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jahmmir TaylorSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-6
0.2%
Dallas Davis sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 6:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
0.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
0.4%
Keondre Wudtee run for 6 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
0.3%
La'Darren Brown run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
0.3%
La'Darren Brown run for no gain to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
0.4%
La'Darren Brown run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
0.3%
La'Darren Brown run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
0.3%
La'Darren Brown run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-5
0.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+7
0.2%
Keondre Wudtee pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+18
0.3%
Keondre Wudtee run for 18 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-13
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SAlab 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKSt Keondre WudteeSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 23
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Keondre Wudtee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 23
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Keondre Wudtee pass incomplete to La'Darren BrownSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 23
OPP 31
+48
0.2%
Matt Ammendola 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:560% → 0%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 14 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
0.1%
Deonta Moore run for 11 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 11 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
0.1%
Denzel Foster run for 5 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-3
0.1%
Denzel Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+14
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 14 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.1%
Deonta Moore run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
0.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 17 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for 13 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for 13 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
0.1%
Keondre Wudtee run for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
50
0
0.1%
La'Darren Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:11
Matt Ammendola 53 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
TD · Q1 1:36
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q3 11:16
Marcell Ateman 20 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com