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Oklahoma 31 at Ohio State 16

OSU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+2.6OSU 7.7%Sean Nuernberger 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 16 · Q4 6:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:29 · Sean Nuernberger 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense−28.7Pregame prior+2.0Score differential−16.2Garbage-time factor−13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:37: J.K. Dobbins 6 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:50: Dimitri Flowers 36 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +15.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:17: Lee Morris 18 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +28.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:11: Trey Sermon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +17.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:26: Jordan Smallwood 3 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +10.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:36OU 4th & 4 at OSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00OSU 4th & 18 at OU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11OSU 4th & 6 at OU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:44OU 4th & 4 at OSU 20, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:33OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:25OU 4th & 1 at OSU 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:10OSU 4th & 6 at OU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−10.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:38OU 4th & 6 at OU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:57OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54OSU 4th & 4 at OU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−2.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:29OSU 4th & 7 at OU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:45OU 4th & 3 at OSU 33, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:18OU 4th & 8 at OSU 27, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 12:37OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:50OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:17OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:11OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:26OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:0931% → 32%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+7
68.6%
Abdul Adams run for 7 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews, broken up by Tyquan LewisSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
68.5%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+10
68.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
68.3%
Abdul Adams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 2
OPP 34
-2
68.0%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
68.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
68.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1468% → 68%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
68.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
68.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
68.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 5 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-6
68.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-6 Yards) to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
68.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the Okla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:3132% → 34%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
68.1%
Jeff Badet run for 8 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+6
68.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dre'Mont Jones) to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
67.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
67.6%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
67.1%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
67.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 15 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
66.6%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+9
67.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+15
66.9%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Andrews, Mark, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Webb, Damon) 15 yards to the OHIOST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
65.9%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 25 Abdul Adams fumbled, forced by Chris Worley, recovered by OhSt Jashon CornellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:2567% → 66%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
67.4%
Barrett, J.T. pass complete to Baugh, Marcus for 8 yards to the OHIOST45, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Motley, Parnell) 10 yards to the OHIOST47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+7
68.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
68.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
68.2%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and Emmanuel Beal for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
67.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 18
OPP 49
0
66.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris Campbell, broken up by Will JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 18
OPP 49
0
66.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:5134% → 36%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
65.9%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+20
65.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 20 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
65.1%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
64.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 14 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
63.8%
Jeff Badet run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 49 Jeff Badet fumbled, recovered by OhSt Damon WebbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:3968% → 68%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
67.9%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
68.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
68.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
67.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+13
67.6%
Mike Weber run for 13 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
68.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 13 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
68.2%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
68.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
67.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 6 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
67.5%
Sean Nuernberger 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1633% → 34%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
66.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+29
67.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 29 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+20
64.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 20 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
63.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
63.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
64.1%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
66.0%
Austin Seibert 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0367% → 66%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
67.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+16
66.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 16 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
68.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
68.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 2 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-2
67.3%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+33
65.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the OHIOST 13 OHIO ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:0534% → 41%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
66.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 8 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+12
65.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
64.2%
Kyler Murray run for 9 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
63.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
63.8%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+5
62.5%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
62.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
61.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
65.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
58.8%
Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:5367% → 77%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
67.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 8 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+12
67.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
67.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
67.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+5
66.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 5 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
67.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
77.2%
J.K. Dobbins 6 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:3027% → 44%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
73.5%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
72.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 6 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
72.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 21 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
71.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery Mead, broken up by Dre'Mont JonesSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
56.3%
Dimitri Flowers 36 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3563% → 69%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
64.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
65.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 16 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
66.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 31 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
67.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
67.4%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 6Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
66.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
69.4%
Sean Nuernberger 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:0833% → 31%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
66.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Dimitri Flowers) to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 21
OWN 11
-9
66.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 2Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 30
OWN 2
+8
67.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 8 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+16
68.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 16 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
68.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 34 yds , K.J. Hill returns for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3870% → 67%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
69.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
67.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Branden Bowen) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
67.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 47 yds, downed at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 92 yds · 1:3033% → 63%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
67.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 13 OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tracy Sprinkle) to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
67.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+42
65.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 42 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
37.1%
Lee Morris 18 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:1746% → 47%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh, broken up by Kahlil HaughtonSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
45.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 12 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
48.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 14 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
50.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
49.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
49.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 3 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
46.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:3461% → 85%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.0%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
39.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
36.4%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Lamb, CeeDee, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Arnette, Damon) 15 yards to the OHIOST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
35.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+4
33.5%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+7
34.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
32.1%
Trey Sermon run for 13 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
14.6%
Trey Sermon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Parnell Motley return for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:3485% → 96%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
14.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 5 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-3
14.1%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+22
14.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 22 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.0%
Jordan Smallwood 3 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 2:426% → 8%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
5.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Michael Jordan) to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
5.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 13 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
5.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 13 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
5.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 12 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
6.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
5.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 9 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+7
5.8%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 3 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurin, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
5.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
7.7%
Sean Nuernberger 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 23 yds · 4:4296% → 99%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
4.1%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
3.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.8%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
3.5%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+6
3.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 6 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+4
3.3%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
2.4%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-1
2.0%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-5
1.4%
Sermon, Trey rush for 21 yards to the OHIOST6, PENALTY OKLAHOMA illegal formation 5 yards to the OHIOST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+5
1.1%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-1
1.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
0.9%
Barrett, J.T. pass complete to Victor, Binjimen for 20 yards to the OHIOST48, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jones, Jamarco) 10 yards to the OHIOST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+16
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
0.9%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Mark Jackson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+17
0.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 17 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:17
Lee Morris 18 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-28.5
TD · Q4 11:11
Trey Sermon 10 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-17.5
TD · Q3 10:50
Dimitri Flowers 36 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com