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CMU

Central Michigan 45 at Kansas 27

KU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:48 · Jack Sheldon punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense−11.1Score differential−6.3Pregame prior+4.3Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:06: Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +14.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:54: Ryan Schadler run for 33 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +13.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:50: Dom Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +16.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q3 5:48: Devon Spalding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +19.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:29: Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +13.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 6 at KU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:37KU 4th & 7 at KU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:29KU 4th & 6 at CMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00CMU 4th & 7 at KU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:13CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:49KU 4th & 11 at KU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:45KU 4th & 4 at CMU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.3%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:35KU 4th & 13 at CMU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−6.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:48CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:41KU 4th & 1 at CMU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−5.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:41KU 4th & 10 at CMU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:29CMU 4th & 4 at KU 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−8.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:28KU 4th & 10 at CMU 49, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:41KU 4th & 6 at KU 42, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:58KU 4th & 10 at CMU 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:01CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:50KU 4th & 11 at KU 32, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:43CMU 4th & 1 at KU 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 10:57CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:59CMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:54KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:50KU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:48CMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:29CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:02KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:50CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 36 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
59.2%
MORRIS, Shane pass complete to SPALDING, Devon for loss of 5 yards to the CMU20 (Lee,Mike), PENALTY CMU illegal block 12 yards to the CMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+7
59.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
59.2%
Shane Morris run for 15 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
59.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
59.2%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.2%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
59.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for no gain to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
59.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
59.2%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Logan HessbrookSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
59.2%
MORRIS, Shane rush for 3 yards to the KU40 (Loneker,Keith), PENALTY KU offside defense (Lee,Mike) 5 yards to the KU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
59.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-5
59.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
59.2%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward, broken up by Bryce TornedenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
59.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
59.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 18 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.3%
Deron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
59.4%
Deron Thompson run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
59.3%
Deron Thompson run for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
59.6%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
59.7%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
59.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+13
59.2%
Cole Moos punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 15 , Amari Coleman returns for 13 yds to the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
59.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-5
59.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+4
59.2%
Shane Morris run for 4 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+7
59.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
59.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:0859% → 61%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
59.3%
Quan Hampton run for 13 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
59.8%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+13
59.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 13 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
60.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Deron Thompson for 4 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
60.3%
Deron Thompson run for 5 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+17
60.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 17 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
60.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+9
60.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
60.5%
Deron Thompson run for 6 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
60.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 6Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q1 1:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.7%
Gabriel Rui 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:2939% → 42%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
60.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 10 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.2%
Shane Morris run for no gain to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
60.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+16
59.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the Kans 44 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Quan Hampton) to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+29
59.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 29 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
58.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 3 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-2
58.5%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+2
59.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
57.6%
Michael Armstrong 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.3%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
58.5%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Josh Cox return for 11 yds to the Kans 36 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:3344% → 51%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
56.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Brandon Childress for 22 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
55.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 19 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
55.7%
Shane Morris run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
48.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
51.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Deron ThompsonSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
50.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Deron ThompsonSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
49.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Josh EhambeSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
49.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
50.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
51.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
50.2%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
50.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 6 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
49.5%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-8
50.2%
Peyton Bender sacked by Mitch Stanitzek and Mike Danna for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 18
OWN 6
+7
50.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 7 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
49.4%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
49.0%
Cole Moos punt for 50 yds , Amari Coleman returns for no gain to the CMich 37 Amari Coleman fumbled, recovered by Kans Chase HarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 21 yds · 2:1051% → 52%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
50.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
50.7%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
50.6%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+7
49.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 7 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
51.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 11 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
51.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
51.8%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the CMich 12Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+1
50.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 11
-5
49.2%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+33
51.7%
Gabriel Rui 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:3149% → 62%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
51.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 27 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
49.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 1 yd to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
48.6%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
38.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 40 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0039% → 42%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
39.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
39.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 16 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
41.6%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
41.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+11
41.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 11 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
42.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
42.0%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Zach Oakley return for no gain to the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 1:0563% → 82%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
37.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 17 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
36.5%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
37.0%
Shane Morris run for 8 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-5
37.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+7
37.5%
Shane Morris run for 7 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
36.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 22 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+32
35.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 32 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
34.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
27.1%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0625% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
25.1%
Deron Thompson run for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
26.4%
Deron Thompson run for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+22
26.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
40.6%
Ryan Schadler run for 33 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.6%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
36.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
37.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 7 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 3
OWN 27
-5
37.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 22Similar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
38.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:1736% → 55%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
35.5%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+22
35.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 22 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
37.8%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+11
37.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 11 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
39.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Quan Hampton, broken up by Da'Quaun JamisonSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
39.1%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Schadler,Ryan, PENALTY CMU pass interference (COX, Josh) 15 yards to the CMU14, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
39.2%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-10
39.2%
Bender,Peyton rush for 2 yards to the CMU6 (BRISSON-FAST, N), PENALTY KU holding (Rhodes,Jayson) 10 yards to the CMU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+17
38.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 17 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.4%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:5553% → 75%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
47.4%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+19
46.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
50
+6
44.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+40
44.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 36 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Mike Lee) to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
43.0%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
43.0%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.5%
MORRIS, Shane pass incomplete to WARD, Jonathan, PENALTY KU pass interference (Torneden,Bryce) 1 yards to the KU1, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.1%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
31.2%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
31.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 7 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
31.8%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
30.3%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
32.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
32.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
30.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
28.9%
Cole Moos punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:5873% → 94%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
27.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 17 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
26.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 5 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
26.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+8
26.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 8 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
24.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 17 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
24.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+26
24.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 26 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
23.3%
Shane Morris run for 3 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
19.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-1
19.8%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+7
6.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 62 yds · 3:268% → 20%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
8.3%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
8.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 9 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
8.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
8.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
8.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+15
8.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 15 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
9.3%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
9.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
9.7%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 25Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
9.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Quan HamptonSimilar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+15
8.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 15 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
9.7%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Harrell,Chase, PENALTY CMU pass interference (COLEMAN, Amari) 8 yards to the CMU2, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.2%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
4.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 75 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 2:435% → 5%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
5.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for no gain to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
5.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 17 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
5.5%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
5.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+9
5.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+9
5.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
6.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
6.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 7 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
6.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
6.4%
Dom Williams run for 14 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
6.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
6.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
6.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Quan HamptonSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
5.0%
Gabriel Rui 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5797% → 98%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
3.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
3.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+1
2.7%
Shane Morris run for 1 yd to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
2.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
3.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 8 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
3.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-9
3.4%
Peyton Bender sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+9
3.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
1.8%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
1.7%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
1.8%
Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
1.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 8 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-1
1.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
1.8%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
1.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:48
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)
-19.4
TD · Q3 8:50
Dom Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q2 0:06
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com