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WVU

West Virginia 24 at Virginia Tech 31

VT
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2017 · Northwest Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:47 · Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:51: Deshawn McClease run for 12 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +13.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:18: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +20.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:02: Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 32 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +28.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:37: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 60 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +28.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:30: Travon McMillian run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +25.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 12WVU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:11WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36VT 4th & 7 at VT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:56WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:47VT 4th & 1 at WVU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:10VT 4th & 8 at WVU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:35WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:32VT 4th & 5 at WVU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:50WVU 4th & 2 at VT 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:51VT 4th & 1 at VT 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:31WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:11VT 4th & 2 at VT 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:30WVU 4th & 2 at VT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−1.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:19VT 4th & 2 at VT 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:22WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 12, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:58VT 4th & 6 at VT 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:25WVU 4th & 16 at VT 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−8.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:03WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:07VT 4th & 2 at WVU 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−8.0
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:34WVU 4th & 26 at VT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:06VT 4th & 10 at VT 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:10VT 4th & 11 at VT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−5.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:53WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−0.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:55VT 4th & 1 at WVU 14, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%−1.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−4.7
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:33WVU 4th & 5 at VT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−3.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 5:37WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:51VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:18WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:02VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:37WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:30VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4438% → 38%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Justin Crawford for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
62.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by Terrell EdmundsSimilar
Q1 14:11
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
62.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0962% → 62%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
62.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
62.2%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
62.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam Phillips, broken up by Xavier PrestonSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 39 yds, downed at the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:2438% → 38%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.9%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-4
61.8%
Will Grier sacked by Tim Settle for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
62.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V, broken up by Reggie FloydSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:3562% → 63%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
62.1%
Steven Peoples run for 11 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
62.4%
Sean Savoy run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 5
50
+5
62.5%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
62.6%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
62.6%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+6
62.7%
Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+7
62.0%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
62.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 28 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
62.7%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 3Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
62.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kyle Chung) to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
63.0%
Joey Slye 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:2037% → 36%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
62.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+4
63.1%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
63.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+5
63.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5363% → 63%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
62.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 22 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
63.6%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
63.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
63.5%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
62.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7INT
13 plays · 58 yds · 3:2537% → 38%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
62.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
62.7%
Will Grier run for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+11
62.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
61.4%
Will Grier run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
61.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by Terrell EdmundsSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+12
62.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 12 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
60.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
60.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+3
61.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+8
62.0%
Will Grier pass intercepted Trevon Hill return for 8 yds to the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4663% → 62%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 3 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
62.6%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
63.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
62.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1937% → 36%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
63.1%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
62.8%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
63.1%
Grier, Will pass complete to Sills V, David for 11 yards to the WESTVIR32, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Jones, Matt) 10 yards to the WESTVIR11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+5
63.2%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
63.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+12
64.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 12 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
64.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0963% → 63%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
63.2%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
63.0%
Sean Savoy run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
63.2%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
62.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:2337% → 48%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
63.4%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+42
63.2%
Justin Crawford run for 42 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
60.8%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
60.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+4
61.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 4 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+8
62.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
59.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 12 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
59.9%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
59.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Bosch) to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+5
60.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
51.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1155% → 55%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
54.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
57.0%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
56.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Mike Daniels Jr.Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
55.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 54 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3846% → 45%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
54.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+1
54.6%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+4
55.2%
Will Grier run for 4 yds to the WVirg 12 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Jones) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
55.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:4657% → 68%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
57.1%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
56.3%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+28
54.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 28 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
58.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 2 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-1
58.3%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+10
57.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 10 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
59.7%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.4%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:1334% → 35%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.8%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
65.1%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4766% → 64%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
65.6%
Cam Phillips pass incomplete to Sean Savoy, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
65.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
64.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:2536% → 42%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
63.8%
Justin Crawford run for 17 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
61.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 14 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
60.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 33 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
59.0%
Will Grier run for 5 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-6
58.9%
Tevin Bush run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 12 Tevin Bush fumbled, recovered by WVirg Tevin BushSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
60.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 11
OPP 12
-5
63.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+34
57.9%
Mike Molina 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:0960% → 78%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
60.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 14 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+39
62.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 39 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
64.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Teller) to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+11
64.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 11 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
77.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 12 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4228% → 26%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Tevin BushSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
73.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
74.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:3877% → 78%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
77.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
76.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+10
75.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
78.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+16
79.2%
Josh Jackson run for 16 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
79.7%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+7
79.9%
Steven Peoples run for 7 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-1
79.1%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
78.0%
Joey Slye 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:4927% → 51%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
73.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Yodny Cajuste) to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+25
74.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 25 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
72.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 10 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
70.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
71.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+24
71.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 24 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
68.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
68.7%
Will Grier run for 6 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
48.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
82.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 32 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:1225% → 22%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
74.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 43 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
71.0%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
70.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-10
72.5%
Crawford, Justin rush for 2 yards to the VATECH21, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Cajuste, Yodny) 10 yards to the VATECH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-15
74.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 26
OPP 48
0
76.4%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 26
OPP 48
0
77.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1782% → 82%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
81.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+8
82.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
83.4%
Sean Savoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
83.4%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+3
82.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Travon McMillian for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
81.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds, downed at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:1821% → 49%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
79.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 13 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
51.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 60 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1559% → 55%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.6%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
58.8%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
56.2%
Josh Jackson sacked by Quondarius Qualls and Jon Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-3
54.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 47 yds , Tevin Bush returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:3047% → 49%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
53.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+17
53.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 17 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
49.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
50.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
50.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 7 yds to the VTech 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:2058% → 90%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Mike Daniels Jr.Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
57.6%
Josh Jackson run for 12 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
58.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 22 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+46
63.5%
Josh Jackson run for 46 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.8%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Phillips, Cam, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Daniels Jr., Mike) 1 yards to the WESTVIR1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
64.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Teller) to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.8%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.2%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2915% → 13%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Adonis AlexanderSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
84.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
86.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:4090% → 94%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
89.9%
Travon McMillian run for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
91.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Yosuah Nijman) to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-15
90.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 30
OWN 27
+14
89.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+7
90.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 7 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+15
92.5%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Phillips, Cam, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Battle, Elijah) 15 yards to the WESTVIR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
93.4%
Josh Jackson run for 14 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
94.0%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
94.6%
James Clark run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
94.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
94.3%
Joey Slye 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31END OF GAME
16 plays · 65 yds · 1:4010% → 10%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
89.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
89.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
87.6%
Will Grier run for 14 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
86.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
87.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V, broken up by Divine DeabloSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+9
89.4%
Will Grier run for 9 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
83.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-2
83.9%
Will Grier sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+7
88.5%
Will Grier run for 7 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
85.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
85.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:02
Josh Jackson pass complete to Cam Phillips for 32 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+28.3
TD · Q4 12:37
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 60 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-28.2
TD · Q4 6:30
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+25.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com