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EWU

Eastern Washington 10 at Texas Tech 56

TTU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:13 · Mason Reed run for no gain to the EWash 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+33.4Score differential+29.4Blowout margin+15.6Garbage-time factor+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:21: Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 75 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK) — TTU win probability +5.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:45: Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK) — TTU win probability +4.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:07: Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 22 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +4.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:29: Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK) — TTU win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:17: Tre King run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK) — TTU win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EWU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:06TTU 4th & 21 at EWU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:04EWU 4th & 10 at EWU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:30TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:32EWU 4th & 9 at EWU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00EWU 4th & 1 at TTU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:32EWU 4th & 4 at TTU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:03EWU 4th & 1 at TTU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00EWU 4th & 17 at EWU 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:17EWU 4th & 3 at EWU 39, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:09EWU 4th & 16 at EWU 34, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:13TTU 4th & 1 at EWU 18, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:07EWU 4th & 2 at EWU 46, down 46
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:54TTU 4th & 5 at EWU 33, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8EWU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:51TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:21TTU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:45TTU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:07EWU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:29TTU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:17TTU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:18TTU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:09TTU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:44TTU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
83.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 1 yd to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
83.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 7 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
83.3%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Albert Havili for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
83.3%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 2 yds Nic Sblendorio fumbled, forced by Jah'Shawn Johnson, recovered by TexTc Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
82.8%
Desmond Nisby run for 20 yds to the EWash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
82.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 3 yds to the EWash 40Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
82.9%
Desmond Nisby run for 8 yds to the EWash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.0%
Derrick Willies run for no gain to the EWash 32Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-2
83.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 34Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-9
82.9%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Jack Sendelbach for a loss of 9 yards to the EWash 43Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 21
OPP 43
0
82.8%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 36 yds, downed at the EWash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
81.9%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 3 yds to the EWash 10Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
81.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 2 yds to the EWash 12Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+8
82.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 8 yds to the EWash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba Webster, broken up by Octavious MorganSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
81.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Terence GradySimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
82.0%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nic SblendorioSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
82.1%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.5%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
81.5%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
81.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
81.5%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 53 yds, downed at the EWash 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
80.8%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the EWash 7Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+23
80.8%
Sam McPherson run for 23 yds to the EWash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
80.6%
Nic Sblendorio run for 6 yds to the EWash 36Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-10
80.3%
GUBRUD, Gage pass complete to STILES, Stu for 6 yards to the EWU42 (Sykes, Willie), PENALTY EWU illegal block (GRADY, Terence) 10 yards to the EWU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+1
80.7%
Gage Gubrud run for 1 yd to the EWash 27Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+14
80.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 14 yds to the EWash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
80.3%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the EWash 42Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
80.3%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba Webster, broken up by Jaylon LaneSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
80.5%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Stu Stiles, broken up by Willie SykesSimilar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
80.9%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3280% → 83%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
79.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 29 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
80.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 11 yds to the EWash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
80.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 11 yds to the EWash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
80.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the EWash 25Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
83.0%
Justin Stockton run for 25 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 8FG
17 plays · 71 yds · 6:1918% → 22%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 3 yds to the EWash 28Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
81.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 28 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
81.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 7 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
81.1%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
81.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 3 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.4%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba Webster, broken up by Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-2
80.4%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+11
81.4%
Gage Gubrud run for 11 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
81.2%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.3%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba WebsterSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
80.4%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Jayson Williams for 8 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
80.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 4 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
80.3%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
80.4%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
81.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Stu Stiles for 6 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.9%
Roldan Alcobendas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 75 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 2:1817% → 17%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.5%
Gage Gubrud run for 6 yds to the EWash 31Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
83.1%
Sam McPherson run for 4 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
83.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 9 yds to the EWash 44Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
82.5%
Sam McPherson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
50
0
82.5%
Gage Gubrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
50
+10
82.7%
GUBRUD, Gage pass incomplete to EDWARDS IV, J., PENALTY TTU holding (Smith, Desmon) 10 yards to the TTU40, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.5%
Nic Sblendorio run for no gain to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
82.5%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 4 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
82.4%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 5 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
82.6%
Sam McPherson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:3984% → 88%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
84.1%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-4
84.4%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+15
83.8%
Shimonek, Nic pass complete to Coutee, Keke for 7 yards to the TTU39, PENALTY TTU illegal block (Batson, Cameron) 15 yards to the TTU17, NO PLAY, PENALTY EWU personal foul (PRUNTY, Tysen) 15 yards to the TTU32, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+68
88.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3811% → 18%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Donta Thompson) to the EWash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
88.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 12 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
87.4%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 9 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
87.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 10 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
86.7%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
82.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 22 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3885% → 91%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
84.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
84.9%
Nisby, Desmond rush for 2 yards to the TTU39 (HAYES, Dehonta), PENALTY TTU illegal block 15 yards to the TTU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+18
84.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 18 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
85.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 8 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
85.4%
Desmond Nisby run for 7 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
85.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Derrick WilliesSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+9
86.5%
Desmond Nisby run for 9 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
87.0%
Desmond Nisby run for 11 yds to the EWash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
87.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Quan Shorts for 8 yds to the EWash 17Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
91.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.7%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.2%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 1 yd to the EWash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
91.0%
Sam McPherson run for 2 yds to the EWash 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
91.1%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba WebsterSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+18
91.3%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nsimba Webster for 18 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Stu Stiles for 6 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
90.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
90.0%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
90.4%
Sam McPherson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-10
90.4%
Gage Gubrud sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the EWash 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 38 yds , Cameron Batson returns for no gain to the TexTc 19 Cameron Batson fumbled, recovered by TexTc Cameron BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:1594% → 99%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
94.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 13 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
94.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 5 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
94.2%
Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
94.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+3
94.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+11
94.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 11 yds to the EWash 48Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
94.2%
Desmond Nisby run for 2 yds to the EWash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
94.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for a loss of 3 yards to the EWash 49Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+38
94.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 38 yds to the EWash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
94.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 10 yds to the EWash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Tre King run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
97.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Antoine Custer Jr. for 7 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nsimba WebsterSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Nic SblendorioSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 3:1099% → 100%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
98.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Dylan Cantrell) to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
98.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
98.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by Nzuzi WebsterSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+10
98.7%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Coutee, Keke (SENDELBACH, J.), PENALTY EWU pass interference (SENDELBACH, J.) 10 yards to the TTU20, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.7%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
98.7%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Cantrell, Dylan, PENALTY EWU roughing passer (WILLIAMS, K.) 15 yards to the TTU40, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
98.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 18 yds Cameron Batson fumbled, forced by Kurt Calhoun, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 11 yds to the EWash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.8%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J. (LEWIS, Josh), PENALTY EWU illegal participation 5 yards to the EWU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+9
98.8%
Tre King run for 9 yds to the EWash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.8%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the EWash 14Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
98.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 6 yds to the EWash 8Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
98.7%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the EWash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
99.7%
Gage Gubrud pass intercepted for a TD Willie Sykes return for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
99.7%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 26Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+14
99.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 14 yds to the EWash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for 2 yds to the EWash 42Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-10
99.7%
Team run for a loss of 10 yards to the EWash 32Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 2 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 39 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 4 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+20
99.8%
McLane Carter pass complete to Donta Thompson for 20 yds to the EWash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 47
+11
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 11 yds to the EWash 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.8%
McLane Carter pass complete to JoJo Robinson for 7 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd to the EWash 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 5 yds to the EWash 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+7
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 7 yds to the EWash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Quan Shorts for 22 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Eric Barriere run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 33Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Eric Barriere pass intercepted Tony Jones return for 2 yds to the EWash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
McLane Carter run for 9 yds to the EWash 18Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-8
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 2 yds to the EWash 16 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the EWash 26Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 7 yds to the EWash 19Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 1 yd to the EWash 18Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Mason Reed run for no gain to the EWash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Sam McPherson run for 4 yds to the EWash 22Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the EWash 25Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Eric Barriere pass complete to Jayson Williams for 13 yds to the EWash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Sam McPherson run for 8 yds to the EWash 46Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Eric Barriere run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWash 45Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Sam McPherson run for 1 yd to the EWash 46Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 13 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 6 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Mason Reed run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 6
50
+12
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the EWash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Caleb Woodward run for 5 yds to the EWash 33Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 3 yds to the EWash 30Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-3
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 3 yards to the EWash 33Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 5
OPP 33
-5
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 5 yards to the EWash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the EWash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:21
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Derrick Willies for 75 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 5:45
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Ewton KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 4:07
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Terence Grady for 22 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com