Try the model
TLSA

Tulsa 24 at Oklahoma State 59

OKST
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:55 · Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+27.8Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+15.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:38: Adam Higuera 0 Yd Fumble Return (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +3.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:06: J.D. King 71 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +4.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:18: Corey Taylor II 3 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +4.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:29: Matt Ammendola 24 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:04: James Washington 77 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:52TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25TLSA 4th & 13 at TLSA 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:24TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:56OKST 4th & 9 at TLSA 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:29OKST 4th & 4 at TLSA 7, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08TLSA 4th & 23 at TLSA 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:06TLSA 4th & 8 at OKST 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:55TLSA 4th & 2 at OKST 13, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:35OKST 4th & 16 at TLSA 16, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:03OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:59OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:35OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:08OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:38TLSA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:06OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:18TLSA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:04OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:37OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:14OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:55OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:35TLSA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:5192% → 92%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
91.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
91.9%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
91.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
91.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
50
+5
91.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
91.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+44
91.8%
Tyron Johnson 44 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:448% → 9%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
91.6%
Chad President run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
91.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-7
91.3%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+15
91.4%
Chad President run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
91.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.1%
Chad President pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
91.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
91.0%
Chad President pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
91.1%
Thomas Bennett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:0591% → 92%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
91.1%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
91.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 16 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
91.1%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
91.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+40
92.3%
James Washington 40 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:508% → 8%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
91.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
91.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.8%
Chad President pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
91.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-3
91.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
91.8%
Thomas Bennett punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:0792% → 94%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+49
92.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 49 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.7%
Justice Hill 3 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:206% → 6%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
93.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
93.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
93.8%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 6 yds to the Tulsa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.9%
Luke Skipper run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
94.0%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+1
94.1%
Luke Skipper run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+11
94.2%
Thomas Bennett punt for 49 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 11 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1494% → 95%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
94.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
94.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
94.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
95.0%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
95.2%
James Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-4
95.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+8
95.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 8 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
95.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nigel Carter at the Tulsa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:125% → 9%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
94.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Madre Harper) to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
94.8%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 4 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
94.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
91.5%
Adam Higuera 0 Yd Fumble Return (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1491% → 95%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
95.4%
J.D. King 71 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:445% → 10%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Chad President pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.1%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
94.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.9%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+18
95.0%
Chad President pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 18 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
94.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+19
94.7%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 19 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
94.4%
Chad President pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+11
94.6%
Chad President run for 11 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
94.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
89.6%
Corey Taylor II 3 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:3191% → 94%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.8%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
90.8%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+34
90.9%
Justice Hill run for 34 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
91.3%
Tyron Johnson run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
91.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 3 yds to the Tulsa 10Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
91.3%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
91.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
93.5%
Matt Ammendola 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:567% → 7%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
93.0%
Chad President pass complete to Nigel Carter for 7 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
92.7%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
93.0%
Thomas Bennett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
96.9%
James Washington 77 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:384% → 4%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.0%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
95.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.8%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-11
95.8%
Chad President sacked by Kenneth Edison-McGruder for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulsa 33 TULSA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Chad President) to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 21
OWN 33
-2
96.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 23
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Thomas Bennett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:2297% → 98%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 9 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+15
97.4%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Reggie Robinson II) to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
97.5%
Mason Rudolph run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 50 Mason Rudolph fumbled, forced by Kolton Shindelar, recovered by Tulsa Petera Wilson Jr. , return for 26 yds to the OKSt 24 Petera Wilson Jr. fumbled, forced by Dillon Stoner, recovered by TulsaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16END OF HALF
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:295% → 4%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
95.7%
Chad President pass complete to Josh Stewart for 10 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
95.6%
Chad President run for 8 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+23
96.0%
Redford Jones 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:394% → 3%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.1%
Chad President pass complete to Josh Stewart for 1 yd to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.4%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+16
96.4%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 26 yds to the OKLAST 38 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Illegal Block (D'Angelo Brewer) to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
96.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
96.3%
Chad President pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
96.5%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Thomas Bennett punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 5:1697% → 100%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.4%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
97.4%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
97.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Dillon Stoner) to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 21
OWN 24
+6
97.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+16
97.4%
Justice Hill run for 16 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 6 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-2
97.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
50
-5
97.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Zachary Crabtree) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+11
97.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
97.8%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
97.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Chris Lacy) to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+6
97.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 6 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+11
97.6%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Diamon Cannon) to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
97.8%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
97.8%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
97.9%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Mason Rudolph 1 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
17 plays · 65 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
99.7%
TULSA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Chris Minter) to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+24
99.7%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 24 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
99.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Chad President pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+18
99.7%
Chad President run for 18 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Chad President pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Chad President pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.8%
Chad President pass complete to Nigel Carter for 11 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Chad President pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Chad President pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+15
99.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tre Flowers) to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-82
99.8%
Kenneth Edison-McGruder 82 Yd Fumble Return (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:080% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
99.9%
Chad President run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 6 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Chad President pass complete to Corey Taylor II for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+19
99.9%
Chad President pass complete to Josh Stewart for 19 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Sione Finefeuiaki for 5 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+73
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 73 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-2
99.9%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
99.9%
Matt Ammendola 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 20 Shamari Brooks fumbled, forced by Trey Carter, recovered by OKSt Jerel MorrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
La'Darren Brown 15 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 5 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+55
100.0%
Corey Taylor II 55 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
100.0%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 10 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
100.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:18
Corey Taylor II 3 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)
-4.7
TD · Q2 10:06
J.D. King 71 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)
+4
TD · Q2 2:04
James Washington 77 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com