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UTEP

UTEP 7 at Oklahoma 56

OU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:49 · Alan Luna punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+41.0Home team on offense+15.3Score differential+10.8Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:22: Walter Dawn Jr 17 Yd Run (Brady Viles Kick) — UTEP win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:56: Dimitri Flowers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:48: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:36: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:46: Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 2:46UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:08OU 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:06UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:14UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:49UTEP 4th & 3 at OU 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:58UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:01OU 4th & 13 at OU 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:17UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:51UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 48, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:11UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 42, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:55OU 4th & 5 at UTEP 26, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:44OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:22UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:56OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:48OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:36OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:46OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:52OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:02OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:20OU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:0699% → 99%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
99.4%
Abdul Adams run for 16 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.4%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+34
99.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Abdul Adams for 34 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+23
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 23 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:081% → 1%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Walter Dawn run for no gain to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 8 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.2%
Walter Dawn run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
99.2%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
99.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 15 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
99.1%
Walter Dawn run for 29 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.0%
Walter Dawn Jr 17 Yd Run (Brady Viles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1699% → 99%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 20 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.0%
Abdul Adams run for 11 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.0%
Abdul Adams run for 9 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
98.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+18
98.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 18 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
98.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 9 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Dimitri Flowers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Jeff Badet returns for 6 yds to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
98.8%
Marcelias Sutton run for 12 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
98.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 12 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.7%
Marcelias Sutton run for 9 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 1
OPP 30
-4
98.7%
Marcelias Sutton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+2
98.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-10
98.6%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Dante Lovilette for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
98.5%
Walter Dawn run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 2
50
-10
98.4%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Forest McKee) to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+6
98.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Josh Weeks for 6 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
98.4%
Alan Luna punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 3:1098% → 99%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.3%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 6 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
98.2%
Dimitri Flowers run for 2 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
98.2%
Abdul Adams run for 11 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
98.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 9 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+26
98.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 26 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
98.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 19 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.5%
UTEP Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
98.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David Lucero for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.5%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+52
98.5%
Alan Luna punt for 52 yds , Jeff Badet returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
98.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 19 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
98.5%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+51
98.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 51 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.1%
UTEP Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+15
99.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Matt Romar) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.1%
Walter Dawn run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
50
0
99.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Keynan FosterSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 5
50
+2
99.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.1%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5499% → 100%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.3%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+45
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 45 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Caleb Kelly) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.8%
Ryan Metz sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 20
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:551% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Josh WeeksSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Joshua FieldsSimilar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Alan Luna punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Erick Wren) to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 20
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 20
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Will Johnson) to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-1
99.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Joshua Fields for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+7
99.8%
Alan Luna punt for 39 yds , Rodney Anderson returns for 7 yds to the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marcelias Sutton for 21 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 13 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Walter Dawn run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 6 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kevin Dove run for no gain to the UTEP 45 Kevin Dove fumbled, recovered by Okla Marquise OvertonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Kyler Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+6
99.9%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+15
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeff Badet for 15 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jaxon Uhles run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kevin Dove for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeff Badet at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 5 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marcelias Sutton for 8 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 5 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+13
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 13 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 21 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeff Badet for 6 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Marcelias Sutton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Alan Busey for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Alan Busey for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Forest McKee for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+14
100.0%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 14 yds to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Tanner Schafer pass complete to Chase Nevel for 6 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Tanner Schafer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Tanner Schafer pass complete to Chase Nevel for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
100.0%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Tanner Schafer pass complete to Myles Tease for 5 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
Najee Bissoon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Tanner Schafer pass incomplete to Chase NevelSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Najee Bissoon run for 4 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 5
OPP 26
-1
100.0%
Najee Bissoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Mark Torrez pass complete to Keynan Foster for 7 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:36
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 9:48
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 1:46
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com