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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 16 at Kansas 38

KU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.2KU 99.9%Gabriel Rui 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 38 · Q4 14:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:14 · Gabriel Rui 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+17.3Home team on offense+34.8Score differential+26.2Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.8Blowout margin+10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:52: Jesse Hosket pass complete to Trevon Billington for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK) — SEMO win probability +2.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:26: Nicholas Litang 45 yd FG GOOD — SEMO win probability +1.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:17: Dom Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:26: Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 57 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SEMO made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00SEMO 4th & 2 at SEMO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:27KU 4th & 1 at SEMO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:57SEMO 4th & 11 at KU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:46KU 4th & 6 at KU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SEMO 4th & 6 at SEMO 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:09KU 4th & 11 at KU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:49SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:51SEMO 4th & 30 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:56KU 4th & 13 at SEMO 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:11SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:54KU 4th & 15 at KU 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:26SEMO 4th & 3 at KU 28, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:09SEMO 4th & 3 at SEMO 20, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:03SEMO 4th & 6 at KU 44, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:02KU 4th & 14 at KU 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:14KU 4th & 3 at SEMO 7, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:17KU 4th & 23 at KU 13, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:44SEMO 4th & 3 at KU 24, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:44SEMO 4th & 13 at KU 18, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:57SEMO 4th & 1 at SEMO 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SEMO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:41KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:57KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52SEMO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:17KU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:26KU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:17SEMO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.7%
Jesse Hosket run for 1 yd to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.7%
Jesse Hosket pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
96.7%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Marquis Terry for 7 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Evan Scales punt for 48 yds, downed at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4597% → 97%
Q1 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
96.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
96.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 4 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+77
96.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 77 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
96.5%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the SEMo 13Similar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
96.5%
Marquis Terry run for 2 yds to the SEMo 15Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-11
96.5%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete SE MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Jesse Hosket) to the SEMo 4Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 19
OWN 4
+10
96.5%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Marquis Terry for 10 yds to the SEMo 14 SE MISSOURI Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+16
96.5%
Evan Scales punt for 36 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 16 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:3096% → 96%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.4%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the SEMo 33Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
96.4%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
96.4%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+9
96.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds to the SEMo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
96.4%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the SEMo 10Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
96.4%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the SEMo 8Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
96.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.3%
Marquis Terry run for 6 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
96.3%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Marquis Terry for 3 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.3%
Jesse Hosket run for 2 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.3%
Marquis Terry run for 4 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
96.3%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 9 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.3%
Marquis Terry run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
96.3%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.3%
Cameron Sanders run for no gain to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.3%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Jesse Hosket pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Evan Scales punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3096% → 96%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
96.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+3
96.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
96.1%
Cole Moos punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:054% → 4%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
Jesse Hosket run for 6 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
95.9%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
95.9%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Broedy Wheeler for 11 yds to the SEMo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.9%
Marquis Terry run for 2 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
95.7%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+2
95.8%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Marquis Terry for 2 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
95.8%
Logan Larson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
96.2%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the SEMo 48Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
96.2%
Steven Sims Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
96.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr., broken up by Mike FordSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+30
95.9%
Cole Moos punt for 41 yds , Shabari Davis returns for 30 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Marquis Terry run for no gain to the SEMo 40Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Jesse Hosket pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian Wilkerson, broken up by Derrick Neal SE MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.7%
Evan Scales punt for 40 yds , Tyler Patrick returns for 4 yds to the Kans 24 Tyler Patrick fumbled, forced by Omar Pierre-Louis, recovered by SEMo Omardrick DouglasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 10TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 3:015% → 7%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.2%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 8 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
95.2%
Marquis Terry run for 5 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.2%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
95.2%
Marquis Terry run for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
93.0%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Trevon Billington for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.7%
Dom Williams run for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.8%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+18
93.6%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Shabari Davis return for 18 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -20 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
92.6%
HOSKET, Jesse pass complete to WILKERSON, K. for 13 yards to the KU17 (Taylor,Shakial), PENALTY SEMO pass interference (WILKERSON, K.) 15 yards to the KU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 25
OPP 45
-5
93.1%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 30
50
0
93.2%
Jesse Hosket pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 30
50
0
93.3%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 30
50
0
93.5%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Junior Pierre for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 30
50
+9
93.7%
Evan Scales punt for 35 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+10
93.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 10 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
93.7%
Peyton Bender sacked by Mike Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+6
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 6 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+14
93.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 14 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
93.8%
Peyton Bender run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 48 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by Kans Peyton BenderSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-1
93.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 49Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Quan HamptonSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
93.0%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, downed at the SEMo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:398% → 8%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
92.1%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 14Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
92.2%
Jesse Hosket pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+3
92.5%
Marquis Terry run for 3 yds to the SEMo 17Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+34
92.5%
Evan Scales punt for 34 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:5093% → 95%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
92.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 14 yds to the SEMo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
92.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 32 yds to the SEMo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
92.7%
Thompson,Deron rush for 4 yards to the SEMO2 (KNIGHTEN, B.), PENALTY KU H0 (Adeniji,Hakeem) 10 yards to the SEMO16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
95.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Mike FordSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
95.0%
Peyton Bender run for no gain to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-5
94.8%
Bender,Peyton pass complete to Booker,J. for 18 yards to the KU28, out-of-bounds (DAVIS, Shabari), PENALTY KU pass interference (Booker,J.) 5 yards to the KU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
94.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
94.5%
Cole Moos punt for 30 yds, downed at the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 18FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:056% → 7%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
93.8%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+3
94.2%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+5
94.1%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 5 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
93.4%
Nicholas Litang 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:0294% → 98%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
94.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 7 yds to the SEMo 47Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+32
94.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 32 yds to the SEMo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
94.3%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Johnson,Ben, PENALTY KU holding (Adeniji,Hakeem) 10 yards to the SEMO25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+15
94.2%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Harrell,Chase, PENALTY SEMO pass interference (FORD, Mike) 15 yards to the SEMO10, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.6%
Dom Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.7%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.7%
Cameron Sanders run for 3 yds to the SEMo 16Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
96.8%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Cameron Sanders for 4 yds to the SEMo 20Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Evan Scales punt for 37 yds, downed at the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 57 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Marquis Terry run for no gain to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Trevon Billington for 14 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.0%
Marquis Terry run for 9 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
98.8%
Marquis Terry run for 6 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
98.8%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Tyler McLemore for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-3
98.9%
Marquis Terry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Evan Scales punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:04100% → 99%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+40
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 40 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.6%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
99.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 14
OWN 37
+25
99.4%
Cole Moos punt for 53 yds , Shabari Davis returns for 25 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.2%
Marquis Terry run for 4 yds to the SEMo 39Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
98.2%
Marquis Terry run for 5 yds to the SEMo 44Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
98.2%
Marquis Terry run for 2 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.2%
Cameron Sanders run for 1 yd to the SEMo 47Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Tyler McLemore, broken up by Shakial TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+8
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the SEMo 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Josh Ehambe , return for 8 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Justin SwiftSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.6%
Deron Thompson run for 11 yds to the SEMo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Deron Thompson for 3 yds to the SEMo 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+4
99.6%
Deron Thompson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 7Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
99.9%
Gabriel Rui 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 26TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:570% → 1%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian Wilkerson, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Richie Eisenhart for 9 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+41
99.9%
Marquis Terry run for 41 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Marquis Terry run for 3 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
98.9%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 22 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Litang PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.6%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-14
99.6%
Bender,Peyton pass complete to Charlot,Daylon for 8 yards to the KU35, PENALTY KU pass interference (Schadler,Ryan) 14 yards to the KU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 23
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 23
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 23
OWN 13
+24
99.6%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds , Shabari Davis returns for 24 yds to the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Tyler McLemore for 7 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Tyler McLemoreSimilar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian Wilkerson, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+9
99.1%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 9 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.0%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Junior Pierre) to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+3
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 3 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-1
99.0%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Tyler McLemore for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 13
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Trevon Billington, broken up by Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 13
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Logan LarsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.7%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
99.7%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 10 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 16 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted, touchback. Al Young return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Colby Cornett for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 19Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+17
99.6%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Trevon Billington for 17 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Jesse Hosket pass complete to Trevon Billington for 4 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Jesse Hosket pass incomplete to Tyler McLemoreSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
99.6%
Jesse Hosket run for 5 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Marquis Terry run for no gain to the SEMo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the SEMo 41Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Reese Randall run for 3 yds to the SEMo 38Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
99.8%
Reese Randall run for 5 yds to the SEMo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.8%
Reese Randall run for 2 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:17
Dom Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 0:13
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q3 8:26
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 57 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com