Try the model
UNI

Northern Iowa 24 at Iowa State 42

ISU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-1.9ISU 97.7%Eli Dunne pass complete to AaronGraham for 16 yds for a TD, (SamDrysdale KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 42 · Q4 3:23
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:23 · Eli Dunne pass complete to Aaron Graham for 16 yds for a TD, (Sam Drysdale KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior+2.1Home team on offense+26.7Score differential+12.2Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:08: Eli Dunne pass intercepted for a TD Kamari Cotton-Moya return for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +3.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNI has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:27: David Montgomery run for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +6.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:21: David Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:36: Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 18 yds for a TD, (Sam Drysdale KICK) — UNI win probability +3.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UNI has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNI made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:02ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04UNI 4th & 17 at ISU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:03UNI 4th & 9 at UNI 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:57ISU 4th & 7 at UNI 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:31UNI 4th & 18 at ISU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30UNI 4th & 1 at UNI 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:13UNI 4th & 8 at UNI 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:20ISU 4th & 1 at UNI 9, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−1.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at UNI 5, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−4.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:55UNI 4th & 1 at UNI 37, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:22ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 5, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNI made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:02UNI Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:04ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:27ISU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:21ISU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:20ISU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:36UNI Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:00ISU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:23UNI Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNIDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5817% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Elias Nissen for 6 yds to the NIowa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
82.6%
Trevor Allen run for 1 yd to the NIowa 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
82.6%
Trevor Allen run for 4 yds to the NIowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.6%
Eli Dunne run for 1 yd to the NIowa 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+17
82.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 17 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
82.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 25 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
82.6%
J'Veyon Browning run for 3 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
80.3%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 18 yds for a TD, (Sam Drysdale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
80.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever Ryen, broken up by Nikholi JaghaiSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
80.7%
Montgomery, David rush for 5 yards to the ISU43 (Farley, Jared), PENALTY ISU holding (Garcia, Robby) 10 yards to the ISU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+15
80.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 15 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
80.7%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+1
80.6%
Colin Downing punt for 50 yds , Jalen Rima returns for 1 yd to the NIowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 3INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:3220% → 19%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
79.9%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 10Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-2
79.8%
Trevor Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 8Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+12
80.8%
Eli Dunne pass intercepted for a TD Willie Harvey return for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.5%
J'Veyon Browning run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 24Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
80.5%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Aaron Graham for 8 yds to the NIowa 32Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+23
80.5%
J'Veyon Browning run for 23 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
80.1%
Eli Dunne run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-14
79.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Daurice Fountain for 1 yd to the IowSt 34 NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 24
OPP 49
+7
80.3%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
80.5%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jalen Rima NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
80.7%
Sam Kuhter punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
79.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
79.3%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
79.7%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Mike Warren for no gain to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
79.0%
Colin Downing punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jalen Rima at the NIowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4722% → 19%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
78.1%
J'Veyon Browning run for 2 yds to the NIowa 18Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+22
81.5%
Eli Dunne pass intercepted for a TD Kamari Cotton-Moya return for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.3%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Aaron GrahamSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
81.4%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Trevor Allen for 1 yd to the NIowa 30Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Daurice FountainSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+6
82.0%
Sam Kuhter punt for 46 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
81.7%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
82.3%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
81.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
81.3%
Colin Downing punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Rima at the NIowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 9INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
81.3%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jalen Rima for 11 yds to the NIowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
81.1%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Daurice Fountain for 20 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
80.3%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Daurice FountainSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
80.4%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 1 yd to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
80.8%
Eli Dunne pass intercepted Brian Peavy return for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
81.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 17 yds to the NIowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
82.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 45Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
82.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the NIowa 38Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-3
82.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for a loss of 3 yards to the NIowa 41Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
81.3%
Colin Downing punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nikholi Jaghai at the NIowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 11FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3219% → 23%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
80.9%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the NIowa 10Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+23
81.0%
Trevor Allen run for 23 yds to the NIowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
80.5%
Eli Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+28
80.7%
Trevor Allen run for 28 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
79.5%
Dunne, Eli pass complete to Weston, Isaiah for 32 yards to the ISU7 (Payne, D'Andre), PENALTY UNI ineligible downfield on pass (Sweeney, Bryce) 5 yards to the ISU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+26
80.1%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 26 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
78.7%
Dunne, Eli pass incomplete to Rima, Jalen, dropped pass, PENALTY UNI holding (James, Jaylin) 10 yards to the ISU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
79.3%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Daurice Fountain, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-7
79.5%
Eli Dunne sacked by Spencer Benton and Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 27
OPP 35
+9
80.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Daurice Fountain for 9 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+43
77.5%
Sam Drysdale 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0478% → 87%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
78.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 22 yds to the NIowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for no gain to the NIowa 40Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
79.1%
Jacob Park run for 3 yds to the NIowa 37Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
78.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 8 yds to the NIowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
79.6%
David Montgomery run for 10 yds to the NIowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
80.2%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.9%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5714% → 14%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.9%
Trevor Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 24Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
86.1%
Trevor Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 23Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
86.4%
Trevor Allen run for 11 yds to the NIowa 34Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
85.6%
Sam Kuhter punt for 56 yds, downed at the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
85.4%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+17
85.3%
David Montgomery run for 17 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
85.4%
Jacob Park pass intercepted Duncan Ferch return for 11 yds to the IowSt 38 NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, illegal block (Malcolm Washington) to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:1916% → 17%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.9%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jalen RimaSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
84.4%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jalen Rima for 17 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+49
83.3%
Sam Drysdale 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
86.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3286% → 94%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
85.6%
David Montgomery run for 14 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
86.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 12 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
86.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 12 yds to the NIowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
86.4%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the NIowa 23Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
86.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Sam Seonbuchner for 5 yds to the NIowa 18Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+9
85.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the NIowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
86.3%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the NIowa 4Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the NIowa 3Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.6%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jalen RimaSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.8%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 21Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
91.9%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Jaylin James, broken up by Thadd DanielsSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+10
91.9%
Sam Kuhter punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 48 , Trever Ryen returns for 10 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:4795% → 98%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
94.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 13 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
94.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 1 yd to the NIowa 38Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+10
94.6%
Mike Warren run for 10 yds to the NIowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
94.6%
Mike Warren run for 10 yds to the NIowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.6%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the NIowa 18Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
94.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+9
94.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 9 yds to the NIowa 9Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 20TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:372% → 6%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 10 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.8%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 5 yds to the NIowa 40Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
97.8%
Christian Jegen run for 3 yds to the NIowa 43Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
97.8%
Christian Jegen run for 6 yds to the NIowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
97.8%
Dunne, Eli pass complete to James, Jaylin for 24 yards to the ISU27, PENALTY UNI holding (Twait, Cal) 10 yards to the UNI39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 20
OWN 39
-10
97.5%
Dunne, Eli pass complete to Allen, Trevor for 14 yards to the ISU47, out-of-bounds (Cotton-Moya, Kamari), PENALTY UNI holding (Twait, Cal) 10 yards to the UNI29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 30
OWN 29
+35
97.5%
Trevor Allen run for 20 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (Jack Spreen) to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
97.8%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
97.5%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Briley Moore for 4 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
97.5%
Eli Dunne sacked by Willie Harvey for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 18
OPP 33
0
97.2%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete, broken up by JaQuan BaileySimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+15
97.4%
Dunne, Eli pass incomplete, PENALTY ISU roughing passer (Bailey, JaQuan) 15 yards to the ISU18, 1ST DOWN UNI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
93.9%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jaylin James for 18 yds for a TD, (Sam Drysdale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
23 plays · 77 yds · 8:3096% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
96.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
95.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 6 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
95.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+11
95.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 11 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.1%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
96.7%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
96.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
96.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 7 yds to the NIowa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
96.9%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
96.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the NIowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
96.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the NIowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
96.9%
Warren, Mike rush for 5 yards to the UNI9 (Farley, Jared), PENALTY UNI substitution infraction (Applegate, Hezekiah) 5 yards to the UNI9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 9
-1
96.9%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
96.9%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the NIowa 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
96.8%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the NIowa 5Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
96.5%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the NIowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Elijah CampbellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
96.9%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the NIowa 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.8%
Park, Jacob pass incomplete to Ryen, Trever, PENALTY UNI pass interference (Washington, Malcolm) 1 yards to the UNI2, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
96.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NIowa 12Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
96.9%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIowa 9Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Jalen Rima for 3 yds to the NIowa 31Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Trevor AllenSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass complete to J'Veyon Browning for 6 yds to the NIowa 37Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
99.6%
Sam Kuhter punt for 55 yds , Trever Ryen returns for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+1
99.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 9
-4
99.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the IowSt 5Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
99.7%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 8
OWN 5
+6
99.7%
Colin Downing punt for 55 yds , Jalen Rima returns for 6 yds to the NIowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 24TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:110% → 2%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.7%
Dunne, Eli pass intercepted by Edwards, Evrett at the ISU15, Edwards, Evrett return to the ISU40 (James, Jaylin), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Ruth, De'Monte) 15 yards to the ISU39, 1ST DOWN UNI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
99.7%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 23 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Eli Dunne pass incomplete to Elias NissenSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
97.7%
Eli Dunne pass complete to Aaron Graham for 16 yds for a TD, (Sam Drysdale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
98.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
50
0
98.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
50
+1
98.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the NIowa 49Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+6
98.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 6 yds to the NIowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:21
David Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 2:27
David Montgomery run for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q3 7:20
Jacob Park pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com