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TA&M

Texas A&M 21 at LSU 45

LSU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Shane Tripucka punt for 45 yds , D.J. Chark returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+8.1Home team on offense+16.5Score differential+7.1Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:21: Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:20: Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 45 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:52: Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — LSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:21: Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +14.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:51: Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — LSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:52LSU 4th & 12 at TA&M 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27LSU 4th & 14 at TA&M 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31LSU 4th & 2 at TA&M 9, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:31TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 29, down 13
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:08TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 39, down 20
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26LSU 4th & 7 at TA&M 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51TA&M 4th & 3 at LSU 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:12LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TA&M 4th & 17 at TA&M 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:12TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:53LSU 4th & 5 at TA&M 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:49TA&M 4th & 27 at TA&M 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:57LSU 4th & 10 at TA&M 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:23LSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:29LSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21TA&M Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:20TA&M Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:52LSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:21TA&M Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:51LSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:18LSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 8 yds J.D. Moore fumbled, forced by Charles Oliver, recovered by TexAM Armani WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
80.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 12 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
80.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
80.0%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Andraez Williams return for no gain to the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:0680% → 79%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
79.8%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
79.8%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+11
79.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DJ Chark, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Armani Watts) 11 yards to the LSU29, 1ST DOWN LSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
79.8%
Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
79.9%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
79.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 31 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
79.9%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-3
79.9%
Danny Etling sacked by Buddy Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
79.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell GageSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
79.0%
Jack Gonsoulin 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
79.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tanner Schorp for 31 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
78.7%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 23 Keith Ford fumbled, forced by Kevin Toliver II, recovered by LSU Donnie Alexander , return for 33 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:5280% → 79%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
79.5%
Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
79.5%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
79.5%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
79.5%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the TexAM 11Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
79.4%
Danny Etling sacked by Tyrel Dodson for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
79.3%
Jack Gonsoulin 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
79.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
79.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:1380% → 83%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+49
79.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 49 yds to the TEXASAM 12 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
80.1%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 11Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
80.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
83.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
81.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
81.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
81.8%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, fair catch by D.J. Chark at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 6:0084% → 85%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.6%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
83.6%
D.J. Chark run for 5 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
83.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 5 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
83.7%
D.J. Chark run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+18
84.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 18 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
84.7%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+28
84.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Tory Carter for 28 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
84.7%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
84.7%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the TexAM 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-1
84.4%
Darrel Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 9Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
85.1%
Jack Gonsoulin 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete, broken up by Kevin Toliver IISimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
83.5%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
83.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 6 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
83.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D.J. Chark at the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:4785% → 92%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
85.4%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+56
85.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 56 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
86.1%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
86.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+9
85.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 9 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
86.1%
Darrel Williams run for 8 yds to the TexAM 1Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.0%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:158% → 8%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+6
91.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
91.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
91.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-1
91.3%
Nick Starkel run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
91.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 3:3693% → 96%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.9%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
92.9%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. CharkSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
92.6%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 10 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark, broken up by Tyrel DodsonSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
92.9%
Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+15
92.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 15 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
93.3%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
93.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 9 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
93.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-1
93.3%
Danny Etling sacked by Micheal Clemons and Otaro Alaka for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
95.8%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
95.5%
Jack Gonsoulin 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:057% → 18%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.9%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
93.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 9 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+15
92.7%
LSU Penalty, personal foul (Devin White) to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
92.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 9 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-2
91.8%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+6
92.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 6 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+31
92.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 31 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
86.1%
Darrel Williams run for 16 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
86.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 6 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
86.4%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4014% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
85.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tanner Schorp for 15 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
85.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+15
85.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Kevin Toliver II) 15 yards to the LSU44, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
84.6%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+45
74.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 45 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
79.2%
Derrius Guice run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
78.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+12
77.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 12 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
78.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Donte Jackson return for no gain to the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:4681% → 90%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
80.5%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
80.8%
Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
80.0%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Derrius GuiceSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+27
80.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 27 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the TexAM 1Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.8%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3112% → 29%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
87.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
87.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
87.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+36
87.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 36 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
85.5%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+7
85.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Keith Ford for 7 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
85.5%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
70.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:2278% → 92%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
78.4%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
79.9%
Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+47
80.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 33 yds to the TEXASAM 27 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, roughing passer (Justin Madubuike) to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
81.1%
Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
92.2%
Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:5111% → 9%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
88.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion Ratley, broken up by Kevin Toliver IISimilar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
89.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 13 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.3%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
88.6%
Nick Starkel sacked by Greg Gilmore for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-6
89.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 36
-2
91.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 45 yds , D.J. Chark returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:3493% → 99%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
93.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to J.D. MooreSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+77
93.3%
Darrel Williams run for 77 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.0%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Darrel Williams, broken up by Tyrel DodsonSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 6 yds for a TD, (Danny Etling pass to Foster Moreau for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-5
98.7%
Nick Starkel sacked by Corey Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 57 yds, downed at the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:2399% → 99%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
98.7%
Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+6
98.8%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the LSU 39 Derrius Guice fumbled, forced by Armani Watts, recovered by LSU Derrius Guice for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.8%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+23
98.9%
Derrius Guice run for 23 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
98.9%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Derrick Tucker) to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
98.9%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
98.9%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Foster MoreauSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+4
98.8%
Danny Etling run for 4 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
99.1%
Connor Culp 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-7
99.1%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 17
OWN 23
-10
99.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 61 yards to the LSU16, out-of-bounds (Donte Jackson), PENALTY TAMU holding (Koda Martin) 10 yards to the TAMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 27
OWN 13
0
99.2%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 27
OWN 13
-2
99.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 56 yds , D.J. Chark returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 4:2599% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
Nick Brossette run for 5 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
99.3%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Tory Carter for 4 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 10 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-6
99.8%
Myles Brennan sacked by Anthony Hines III for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Josh Growden punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
99.6%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Devin White return for 3 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Clyde Chriss) to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 7Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:21
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
-14.9
TD · Q3 2:51
Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 0:21
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com