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WOF

Wofford 10 at South Carolina 31

SC
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadWOF aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreWOF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jake Bentley pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+39.2Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:55: Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +4.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:23: Blake Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Carter KICK) — WOF win probability +9.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:23: Luke Carter kickoff for 60 yds , Shi Smith return for 25 yds to the SCaro 30 — SC win probability +2.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WOF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:21: Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +4.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:43: Parker White 27 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WOF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 10 at WOF 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:43WOF 4th & 9 at SC 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:43SC 4th & 1 at WOF 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 2 at WOF 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:37WOF 4th & 17 at WOF 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:43WOF 4th & 1 at WOF 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:56SC 4th & 1 at WOF 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:43SC 4th & 5 at WOF 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WOF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:37SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:55SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:23WOF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:21SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:54SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+23
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
95.8%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+12
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the Woffd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-6
95.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Terrance Morris for a loss of 6 yards to the Woffd 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+6
95.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 6 yds to the Woffd 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 35 yds, downed at the Woffd 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 2FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 7:225% → 7%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
95.1%
Lennox McAfee run for 6 yds to the Woffd 13Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+6
95.0%
Andre Stoddard run for 6 yds to the Woffd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
95.0%
Brandon Goodson pass complete to Jason Hill for 9 yds to the Woffd 28Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
95.0%
Andre Stoddard run for 3 yds to the Woffd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
95.0%
Ellis Pace run for 7 yds to the Woffd 38Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-2
95.0%
Andre Stoddard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Woffd 36Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+19
95.0%
Blake Morgan run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Skai Moore) to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
95.0%
Chase Nelson run for 13 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
94.9%
Chase Nelson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+14
94.9%
Blake Morgan run for 14 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
94.9%
Blake Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 16Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+2
94.9%
Lennox McAfee run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
95.0%
Brandon Goodson run for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
92.8%
Luke Carter 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:4393% → 92%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.0%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
93.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by George GbeseeSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
92.9%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the Woffd 49Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
92.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Mon Denson for 4 yds to the Woffd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
93.1%
Jake Bentley sacked by Billy Hinton for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 15
50
0
92.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 15
50
+13
92.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 13 yds to the Woffd 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
91.6%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
90.9%
Brandon Goodson pass intercepted Skai Moore return for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 7:1092% → 91%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
50
+6
91.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the Woffd 44Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+9
91.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Woffd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
92.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Woffd 31Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
92.0%
Hayden Hurst run for 1 yd to the Woffd 30Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+5
91.8%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Woffd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 7 yds to the Woffd 18Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
92.0%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Woffd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Woffd 6Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 1
OPP 6
-2
92.0%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Woffd 8Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+7
91.7%
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds to the Woffd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.0%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Woffd 1Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.2%
Lennox McAfee run for 4 yds to the Woffd 24Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
90.1%
Andre Stoddard run for no gain to the Woffd 24Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+14
90.5%
Brandon Goodson pass complete to Lennox McAfee for 14 yds to the Woffd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
89.8%
Ellis Pace run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 37Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-6
90.1%
WOFFORD Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the Woffd 31Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Brandon Goodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 17
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Brandon Goodson pass incomplete to Blake MorganSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Luke Carter punt for 41 yds, downed at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:3590% → 94%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
89.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
89.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for no gain to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
89.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 6 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
89.8%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
90.2%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
90.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 4 yds to the Woffd 46Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
90.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 5 yds to the Woffd 41Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
89.0%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Woffd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
89.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst, PENALTY WOF pass interference (Dominique Lemon) 15 yards to the WOF23, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
93.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
92.5%
Lennox McAfee run for 1 yd to the Woffd 13Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+4
92.7%
Andre Stoddard run for 4 yds to the Woffd 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:377% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
92.6%
Lennox McAfee run for 23 yds to the Woffd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
92.0%
Andre Stoddard run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Keir Thomas) to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
91.8%
Andre Stoddard run for 9 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
91.3%
Lennox McAfee run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
91.3%
Lennox McAfee run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
91.3%
Blake Morgan run for 10 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
91.3%
Andre Stoddard run for 7 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
91.3%
Blake Morgan run for no gain to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
91.8%
Andre Stoddard run for 2 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
92.2%
Lennox McAfee rush for no gain to the SC2 (Javon Kinlaw), PENALTY SC offside 1 yards to the SC1, 1ST DOWN WOF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.6%
Blake Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Carter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:0287% → 93%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
86.7%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+8
87.5%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
87.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 12 yds to the Woffd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
88.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the Woffd 35Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+30
88.5%
A.J. Turner run for 30 yds to the Woffd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
88.5%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Woffd 1Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:389% → 8%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.5%
Brandon Goodson pass complete to Blake Morgan for 5 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.2%
Lennox McAfee run for 4 yds to the Woffd 34Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.2%
Andre Stoddard run for 3 yds to the Woffd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.2%
Lennox McAfee run for 3 yds to the Woffd 40Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
91.9%
Jamison Chapman run for 3 yds to the Woffd 43Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
91.9%
Blake Morgan run for 3 yds to the Woffd 46Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
92.2%
Andre Stoddard run for no gain to the Woffd 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:1394% → 97%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for no gain to the Woffd 46Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
93.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
93.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 9 yds to the Woffd 37Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
92.8%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the Woffd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
93.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 20 yds to the Woffd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
93.6%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Woffd 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
94.1%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Woffd 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
93.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 1 yd to the Woffd 10Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
96.6%
Parker White 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Joe Newman run for 2 yds to the Woffd 27Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
95.6%
Joe Newman run for 8 yds to the Woffd 38 Joe Newman fumbled, forced by Dante Sawyer, recovered by SCaro T.J. BrunsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:5997% → 99%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
96.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 9 yds to the Woffd 29Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+7
97.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the Woffd 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
97.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Woffd 18Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+15
97.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 15 yds to the Woffd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.0%
Bryan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Woffd 2Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 15INT
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.2%
Joe Newman run for 5 yds to the Woffd 19Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
99.2%
Chase Nelson run for 4 yds to the Woffd 23Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+27
99.2%
Joe Newman pass complete to Lennox McAfee for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Woffd 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Woffd Andre StoddardSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+17
99.2%
Joe Newman pass complete to R.J. Taylor for 17 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
99.2%
Joe Newman run for 7 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
99.1%
Joe Newman sacked by Brad Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the SCaro 49 WOFFORD Penalty, intentional grounding (Joe Newman) to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 22
OPP 49
+11
99.2%
Joe Newman run for 11 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+8
99.2%
Joe Newman pass intercepted Rashad Fenton return for 8 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16END OF GAME
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.5%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 5 yds to the Woffd 47Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
99.6%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 7 yds to the Woffd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.5%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 8 yds to the Woffd 32Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+27
99.6%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 27 yds to the Woffd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:23
Blake Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Carter KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 0:55
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 6:21
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com