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TA&M

Texas A&M 31 at Ole Miss 24

MISS
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:10 · Shane Tripucka punt for 44 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−0.6Pregame prior−8.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:24: Braylon Sanders 30 Yd pass from Jordan Ta'amu (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +8.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:57: Nick Starkel 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +13.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:24: Gary Wunderlich 28 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +4.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:04: Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Tucker return for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +16.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:59: Daniel LaCamera 18 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +4.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 2:53MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:10TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:25MISS 4th & 7 at MISS 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:08TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:52MISS 4th & 14 at MISS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:24MISS 4th & 4 at TA&M 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:33TA&M 4th & 6 at MISS 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48MISS 4th & 18 at MISS 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−3.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:44TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:24MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:43TA&M 4th & 7 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:23MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−5.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:32TA&M 4th & 2 at MISS 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−5.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:55MISS 4th & 10 at TA&M 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:00TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−2.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:16MISS 4th & 9 at TA&M 41, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:37TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:59TA&M 4th & 1 at MISS 1, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%−6.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−19.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:14MISS 4th & 2 at MISS 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:29MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:41MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:17TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:24MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:57TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:04TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2640% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
39.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 10 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
39.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
39.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 8 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+30
40.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for 15 yds to the OLEMISS 37 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Derrick Tucker) to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
40.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
40.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+27
41.4%
A.J. Brown 27 Yd pass from Jordan Ta'amu (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2859% → 59%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+43
41.5%
Keith Ford run for 43 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
41.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 21Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+1
41.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 20Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+4
42.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 4 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
42.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the Miss 9Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-5
42.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 14Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-5
42.8%
Starkel, Nick pass complete to Ausbon, Jhamon for 8 yards to the OLEMISS6, PENALTY TEXASAM ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OLEMISS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+18
42.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 18 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.3%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Miss 1Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.5%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Miss 1Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.1%
Keith Ford 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
45.9%
Jordan Wilkins 64 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:2455% → 58%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+47
45.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 47 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
44.4%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
44.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+16
45.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 16 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
45.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
45.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
41.7%
Damion Ratley 10 Yd pass from Nick Starkel (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1843% → 43%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
43.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
44.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
43.3%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 37Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
42.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4357% → 56%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
43.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
42.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
43.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
43.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 44 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4544% → 43%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
44.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
44.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
43.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
43.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 40 yds, downed at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1757% → 56%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
42.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
43.1%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
43.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
44.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 64 yds, downed at the Miss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:1944% → 47%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
44.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+11
44.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 11 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
44.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+11
45.0%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 11 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
45.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 8 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
46.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
46.4%
Eric Swinney run for 2 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
47.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1656% → 55%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
43.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
44.3%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
45.1%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Myles Hartsfield return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2348% → 45%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+1
47.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-5
48.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 46Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 14
OWN 46
0
45.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
45.3%
Will Gleeson punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:0956% → 57%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+27
44.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 27 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
42.8%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+8
43.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Camron Buckley for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-4
42.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the OLEMISS 49 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
42.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds, downed at the Miss 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:1947% → 60%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
46.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for 20 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
48.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+17
49.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 17 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
50.0%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for no gain to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
50.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
50.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
51.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-10
51.4%
Ta'amu, Jordan pass complete to Wilkins, Jordan for 6 yards to the TEXASAM14, PENALTY OLEMISS holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+30
60.1%
Braylon Sanders 30 Yd pass from Jordan Ta'amu (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:2241% → 59%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
58.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 20 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
57.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+23
56.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 23 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
55.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+24
55.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 24 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
54.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
54.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.2%
Nick Starkel 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 1:2849% → 55%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
48.8%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
50.8%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 7 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
51.2%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Rod Taylor) to the Miss 41Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+26
50.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 11 yds to the OLEMISS 48 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Zaycoven Henderson) to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
53.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 16 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
53.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 3 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
53.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 3 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
51.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
54.7%
Gary Wunderlich 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:1746% → 46%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
54.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
54.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:2048% → 48%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
52.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
52.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+16
53.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 16 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
49.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
49.7%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Kirk, Christian, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Moore, A.J.) 15 yards to the OLEMISS31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
48.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
48.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
49.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tanner Schorp for no gain to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
52.4%
Daniel LaCamera 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:4555% → 53%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
55.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-6
56.6%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Jarrett Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 29Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-9
53.6%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 20Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 18
OWN 20
0
53.1%
Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0447% → 43%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.4%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
54.1%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Ausbon, Jhamon, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Hartsfield, Myles) 10 yards to the TEXASAM45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
51.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-2
52.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
54.6%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
56.8%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, downed at the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4057% → 41%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
56.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 2 yds to the Miss 12Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+19
40.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Tucker return for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3341% → 38%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 25Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for no gain to the Miss 25Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
37.8%
Will Gleeson punt for 48 yds, downed at the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4162% → 62%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
38.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 25 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
35.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
50
0
35.0%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 7
50
0
35.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 7
50
0
38.0%
Shane Tripucka punt for 47 yds, downed at the Miss 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2038% → 34%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
38.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 3Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-2
37.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 1Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 12
OWN 1
0
35.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 12
OWN 1
+2
34.1%
Will Gleeson punt for 37 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 3 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Travon Fuller) to the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1768% → 67%
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
50
+6
31.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
31.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 43Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+24
33.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 29 yds, downed at the Miss 14 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Miss 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:3737% → 36%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
37.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+16
37.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 16 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
37.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
40.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+11
39.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 11 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
42.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
42.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
41.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+3
40.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
38.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
36.2%
Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexAM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4866% → 64%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
33.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
33.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
35.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+5
36.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 51 yds , A.J. Brown returns for 5 yds to the Miss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:4441% → 36%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
41.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
42.0%
Eric Swinney run for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+2
41.7%
Eric Swinney run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
42.3%
Ta'amu, Jordan pass incomplete, PENALTY OLEMISS holding 10 yards to the OLEMISS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+4
38.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Eric Swinney for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
39.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 16
OPP 48
-5
37.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 47Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 21
OWN 47
+12
35.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 12 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
35.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3969% → 68%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
30.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
29.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
31.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
32.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 51 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -26 yds · 0:4337% → 30%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
37.3%
Ta'amu, Jordan rush for 16 yards to the TEXASAM48, PENALTY OLEMISS illegal block 15 yards to the OLEMISS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+4
35.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 21
OWN 25
0
33.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 21
OWN 10
-15
31.7%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the Miss 10 OLE MISS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jordan Ta'amu) to the Miss 10Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 36
OWN 10
0
30.2%
Will Gleeson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 30FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 4:4878% → 93%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
22.4%
Nick Starkel sacked by Benito Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+13
24.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 13 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
20.9%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
18.0%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Austrian Robinson) to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
17.2%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Miss 16Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
15.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+10
14.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Breeland Speaks) to the Miss 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
12.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
11.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 6Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
11.8%
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Benito Jones) to the Miss 3Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
11.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
7.1%
Daniel LaCamera 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 31DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3612% → 11%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
11.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
13.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
12.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
11.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:1496% → 96%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:04
Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Tucker return for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 1:57
Nick Starkel 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)
-13.7
TD · Q2 4:24
Braylon Sanders 30 Yd pass from Jordan Ta'amu (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com