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MER

Mercer 0 at Alabama 56

ALA
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadMER aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreMER score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:11 · JK Scott punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chandler Curtis at the Mercr 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior+36.7Home team on offense+31.6Score differential+22.0Blowout margin+8.9Garbage-time factor+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:35: Najee Harris 3 Yd Run (JK Scott Kick) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:49: Calvin Ridley 66 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:26: Josh Jacobs 7 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:39: Hale Hentges 4 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (JK Scott Kick) — MER win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MER made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 8:16MER 4th & 2 at ALA 35, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:13MER 4th & 9 at ALA 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:51MER 4th & 3 at MER 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:18MER 4th & 10 at MER 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:21MER 4th & 1 at ALA 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:54MER 4th & 4 at ALA 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:11ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 43, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:51MER 4th & 11 at MER 6, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:42MER 4th & 8 at MER 8, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:00MER 4th & 10 at ALA 39, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:38MER 4th & 1 at MER 45, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:35ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 46, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:27ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:35ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:26ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:39ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:18ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:06ALA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:55ALA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+25
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 25 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 12 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.7%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Mercr 18Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
99.7%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Mercr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Mercr 8Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Irv Smith Jr. 8 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.7%
Tee Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Mercr 44Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+13
99.7%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 13 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.6%
Tee Mitchell run for 9 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Kaelan Riley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
99.6%
Tee Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+52
99.6%
Cole Fisher 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.6%
Josh Jacobs run for 11 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.6%
Josh Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Mercr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Najee Harris run for no gain to the Mercr 41Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+38
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 38 yds to the Mercr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Najee Harris 3 Yd Run (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 5:180% → 1%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Marquise IrvinSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.6%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 38Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
99.6%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 9 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.5%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 7
50
+2
99.5%
Tee Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
99.5%
Kaelan Riley run for 5 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
99.4%
Tee Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 42Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Marquise IrvinSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Grant Goupil punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 1:1499% → 100%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 5Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
99.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+26
99.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 26 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.6%
Calvin Ridley 66 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Kaelan Riley pass intercepted Hootie Jones return for no gain to the Mercr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Mercr 31Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+24
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 24 yds to the Mercr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Josh Jacobs 7 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
CJ Leggett run for 2 yds to the Mercr 27Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to CJ LeggettSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Leggett, CJ rush for loss of 2 yards to the MERCER25, PENALTY ALABAMA offside (Brown, Tony) 5 yards to the MERCER32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Chandler CurtisSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+26
99.8%
Grant Goupil punt for 43 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 26 yds to the Mercr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
99.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 44 yds to the Mercr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Mercr 4Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Hale Hentges 4 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 4:140% → 0%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
CJ Leggett run for 2 yds to the Mercr 27Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Alex Lakes run for 5 yds to the Mercr 32Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.8%
MERCER Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mercr 27Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Sam Walker for 10 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
CJ Leggett run for 1 yd to the Mercr 38Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
99.8%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to CJ Leggett for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 37Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Sam WalkerSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Grant Goupil punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.8%
Josh Jacobs run for 9 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+16
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 16 yds Henry Ruggs III fumbled, forced by Harrison Poole, recovered by Mercr Sidney OtiwuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 12INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Alex Lakes run for 5 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Sam WalkerSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Alex Lakes run for 4 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Sam Walker for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Kaelan Riley run for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+11
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Sam Walker for 11 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Alex Lakes run for 3 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+11
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass intercepted Dylan Moses return for 11 yds to the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Najee HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the Alab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 12 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Mercr 39Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Sam WalkerSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+21
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 21 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-3
99.8%
CJ Leggett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
JK Scott punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chandler Curtis at the Mercr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Mercr 8Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley run for no gain to the Mercr 8Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-2
99.9%
Tee Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 6Similar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 11
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Grant Goupil punt for 52 yds, downed at the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Major Tennison for 21 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Mercr 30Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+10
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 10 yds to the Mercr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Cam Sims for 13 yds to the Mercr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 8Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Cam Sims 8 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 18INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Marquise IrvinSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
CJ Leggett run for 2 yds to the Mercr 20Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+21
99.9%
Kaelan Riley pass intercepted Deionte Thompson return for 21 yds to the Mercr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:06100% → 100%
Q3 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. 6 Yd Run (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
100.0%
Tanner Brumby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 5Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
100.0%
CJ Leggett run for no gain to the Mercr 5Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
CJ Leggett run for 3 yds to the Mercr 8Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+26
100.0%
Grant Goupil punt for 35 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 26 yds to the Mercr 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:05100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Mercr 13Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Derek Kief 13 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (JK Scott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 8 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Tanner Brumby run for no gain to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 4 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
100.0%
Tanner Brumby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Tanner Brumby run for 2 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Tanner Brumby pass incomplete to Marquise IrvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
100.0%
Austin Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mercr 40Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Mercr 36 Ronnie Clark fumbled, forced by Malique Fleming, recovered by Mercr Malique FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Tee Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 35Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Tanner Brumby pass incomplete to Chandler CurtisSimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Tanner Brumby pass complete to Sam Walker for 10 yds to the Mercr 45Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Grant Goupil punt for 51 yds, downed at the Alab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 6:49100% → 100%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 10Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+3
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+2
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 5 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 7 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+13
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 5
50
-6
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Austin Johnson run for 2 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
100.0%
JK Scott punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Alex Lakes run for 5 yds to the Mercr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:49
Calvin Ridley 66 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick)
+0.2
TD · Q2 13:26
Josh Jacobs 7 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (JK Scott Kick)
+0.2
TD · Q1 6:35
Najee Harris 3 Yd Run (JK Scott Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com