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UL

Louisiana 22 at Ole Miss 50

MISS
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:46 · Sam Geraci punt for 35 yds, downed at the Miss 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+41.4Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.7Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:46: Jordan Ta'amu run for 8 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:59: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 27 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:13: Raymond Calais run for 31 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +2.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:56: Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 4:45: Stevie Artigue 43 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +4.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:48UL 4th & 14 at MISS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46UL 4th & 9 at UL 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46UL 4th & 9 at UL 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:45UL 4th & 8 at MISS 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:40MISS 4th & 16 at UL 40, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38UL 4th & 10 at UL 8, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:39UL 4th & 8 at MISS 11, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:17UL 4th & 14 at MISS 37, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:40MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 42, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:46UL 4th & 7 at MISS 10, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:25UL 4th & 25 at UL 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:49MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:36UL 4th & 6 at UL 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:48MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:53MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:46MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:59MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:13UL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:56MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:23MISS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:46UL Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:42UL Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:25MISS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1294% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
94.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 17 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
94.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 7 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+11
94.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
94.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
93.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 37 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.9%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
93.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
93.9%
Darius Hoggins run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+12
93.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 12 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
93.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 1 yd to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
93.9%
Darius Hoggins run for 1 yd to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-6
93.9%
Levi Lewis sacked by Tayler Polk for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 45Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
93.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
5 plays · 96 yds · 1:2693% → 94%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
93.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 9 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+26
93.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 11 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
93.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 26 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
93.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
93.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 31 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
93.7%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+17
93.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 17 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
93.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 4
50
0
93.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by C.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 4
50
-5
93.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
93.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 35 yds, downed at the Miss 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3594% → 95%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+51
93.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 51 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
94.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 9 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
94.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 8 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
95.1%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
95.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Ryheem Malone) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.1%
Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
95.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4795% → 98%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
95.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+16
95.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 16 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
95.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
95.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
95.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+9
95.5%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 27 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:382% → 4%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Earnest Patterson run for no gain to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
97.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 16 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+31
97.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 31 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
95.6%
Raymond Calais run for 31 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1796% → 98%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
96.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 21 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+24
96.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 24 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+14
96.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
96.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+19
96.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 19 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
96.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
96.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:011% → 6%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.6%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
98.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 9 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+21
98.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 21 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
98.4%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the Miss 21Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 21
-5
98.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Josiah Coatney and Benito Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 26Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
98.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
94.5%
Stevie Artigue 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.5%
Jordan Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
97.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Corey Turner for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 24Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+9
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 9 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+13
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 13 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+17
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Markell Pack for 17 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Jordan WilkinsSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-6
97.6%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Trev Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
97.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 32 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:155% → 6%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
95.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes, broken up by Javien HamiltonSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
95.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
95.2%
Jordan Wright run for no gain to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
94.3%
Sam Geraci punt for 48 yds, downed at the Miss 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:2798% → 98%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
97.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 11 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+55
97.7%
Gary Wunderlich 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:162% → 2%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.7%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+52
97.7%
Ryheem Malone run for 52 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
97.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Raynard Ford for 16 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-8
97.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Breeland Speaks for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 18
OPP 21
0
97.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+10
97.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
98.0%
Stevie Artigue 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
98.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for 12 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Miss 43Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
98.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 6 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+48
98.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 48 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.7%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Barnes, Keenan, PENALTY OM pass interference (Javien Hamilton) 15 yards to the LA35, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.6%
Darius Hoggins run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 9 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+9
99.6%
Darius Hoggins run for 9 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.6%
Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-5
99.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Jordan Wright) to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 2 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-4
99.7%
Eric Swinney run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 18Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+15
99.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted by Walker, Tracy at the OM32, Walker, Tracy return to the OM10 (Jordan Sims), PENALTY LA pass interference (Walker, Tracy) 15 yards to the OM33, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Eric Swinney run for 1 yd to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Eric Swinney run for no gain to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+8
99.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 8 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Will Gleeson punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+13
99.8%
Jordan Wright run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Jordan Davis run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+22
99.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 22 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.8%
Darius Hoggins run for 2 yds to the Miss 42 Darius Hoggins fumbled, forced by Benito Jones, recovered by LaLaf Staten WadeSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.8%
Jordan Wright run for 15 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
99.8%
Ja'Marcus Bradley run for 14 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the Miss 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Jordan Davis run for 10 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.8%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+15
99.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted Chaiziere Malbrue return for 15 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:280% → 1%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 17 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 4 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+31
99.0%
Jordan Davis run for 31 yds for a TD, (Terik Miller PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 5 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 4 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 8 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
99.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 33 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.4%
Eric Swinney run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Eric Swinney run for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+10
99.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 10 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Eric Swinney run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jordan Ta'amu pass to DaMarkus Lodge for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
100.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 15 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal forward pass (Michael Jacquet) to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 43 yds, downed at the Miss 47Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
99.9%
Eugene Brazley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 43Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Eugene Brazley run for 5 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Eugene Brazley run for no gain to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+22
99.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 44 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 22 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Earnest PattersonSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Jordan Wright run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Jake Arceneaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 39 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 6 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Eugene Brazley run for 2 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 7 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
D.K. Buford run for 4 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
D.K. Buford run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
D.K. Buford run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:45
Stevie Artigue 43 yd FG GOOD
-4
TD · Q2 12:59
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 27 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 11:13
Raymond Calais run for 31 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com