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WKU

Western Kentucky 17 at Vanderbilt 31

VAN
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:23 · Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:43: Mike White run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +12.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:31: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trey Ellis for 31 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:20: Ryan Nuss 29 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +3.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:48: Trent Sherfield run for 45 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +12.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:58: Tommy Openshaw 39 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +5.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:06WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 22 at WKU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:27VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35WKU 4th & 4 at VAN 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:48VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:20WKU 4th & 12 at VAN 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−6.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:26WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:23WKU 4th & 2 at VAN 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−2.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:23WKU 4th & 7 at VAN 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:58VAN 4th & 4 at WKU 21, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:58WKU 4th & 13 at VAN 20, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−3.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:32VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:06VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:53WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:49VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:43WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:31VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:48VAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5484% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
84.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+13
84.1%
Ralph Webb run for 13 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
84.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-4
84.1%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+15
84.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 15 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
84.1%
Sam Dobbs run for 18 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
84.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 11 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
84.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
84.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.7%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
83.6%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
83.8%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
83.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
83.9%
Jake Collins punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
83.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
83.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
83.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Demetrius CainSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+29
83.4%
Sam Loy punt for 44 yds, downed at the VANDERBILT 24 VANDERBILT Penalty, kick catching interference (Kalija Lipscomb) to the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 0:5617% → 20%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
83.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
83.2%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+34
83.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 34 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
80.4%
Nacarius Fant pass complete to Quinton Baker for 25 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0481% → 84%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.3%
Ralph Webb run for 14 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
81.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
81.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 15 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.9%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
81.9%
Kalija Lipscomb rush for 19 yards to the WKU25, out-of-bounds (WHYTE, Masai), PENALTY VANDY illegal formation (Jonathan Wynn) 5 yards to the WKU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+2
81.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+30
81.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 30 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
82.1%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
83.7%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:4917% → 17%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
82.8%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 14 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
82.6%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
82.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
82.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
82.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-12
82.5%
Mike White sacked by Charles Wright for a loss of 12 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
83.1%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
82.2%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 4 yards to the VANDY34 (FARRIS, DeAndre), PENALTY WKU offside (FARRIS, DeAndre) 5 yards to the VANDY35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
82.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Jared Pinkney) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
82.2%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
81.8%
Sam Loy punt for 51 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for no gain to the WKent 19 Nacarius Fant fumbled, recovered by WKent Nacarius FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:1818% → 19%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
82.1%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 15 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
81.9%
Drew Eckels run for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
81.9%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 5 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
82.0%
Mike White run for 3 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
80.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 46 to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
81.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for no gain to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+6
81.3%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
81.3%
Jake Collins punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
82.2%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+8
82.4%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+15
81.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 15 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
83.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
83.4%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
82.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
81.9%
Sam Loy punt for 33 yds, downed at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 1:5919% → 34%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
81.4%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
81.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+54
82.2%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
78.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Nacarius Fant) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 16
OPP 32
+6
79.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
78.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+19
79.7%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 19 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
78.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.1%
Mike White run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 1:1274% → 84%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
73.6%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
73.7%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+12
73.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
75.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 15 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
76.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+18
76.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 18 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
77.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
83.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trey Ellis for 31 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
20 plays · 63 yds · 5:4019% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.4%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
81.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
80.6%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
79.3%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
79.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
79.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 11 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
78.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
78.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+4
79.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
78.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the Vandy 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
78.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
79.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+4
80.0%
[SH], FERBY, D'Andre rush for no gain to the VANDY8 (Nifae Lealao;Oren Burks), PENALTY VANDY offside 4 yards to the VANDY4, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
78.0%
Drew Eckels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
79.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
79.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Jordan GriffinSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
76.5%
Ryan Nuss 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
78.1%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
78.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Sam Loy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
76.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
77.2%
Mike White sacked by Charles Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
78.3%
Jake Collins punt for 31 yds , Frank Coppet returns for no gain to the WKent 48 Frank Coppet fumbled, recovered by WKent Antwon KincadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
72.6%
Mike White sacked by Jordan Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+2
75.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+11
75.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 11 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+6
73.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
72.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
72.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-10
72.4%
[SH], WHITE, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Lucky for 12 yards to the VANDY23 (Arnold Tarpley), PENALTY WKU holding (SIMS, Jimmie) 10 yards to the VANDY45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+10
75.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
74.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by Taurean FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:4477% → 90%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
77.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 20 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
89.9%
Trent Sherfield run for 45 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4812% → 10%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
88.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
88.5%
Mike White sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 13
0
89.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by LaDarius WileySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
89.7%
Jake Collins punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:4690% → 95%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
90.3%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
90.5%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
90.6%
Kyle Shurmur run for 1 yd to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+18
90.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 18 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.6%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
90.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+7
90.1%
Kyle Shurmur run for 7 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
95.4%
Tommy Openshaw 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.3%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
92.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
92.5%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+13
93.3%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 13 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+28
92.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 28 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
91.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
91.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius Fant, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
92.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 13
OPP 20
0
93.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0297% → 97%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.5%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
96.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
96.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Sam Loy punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22INT
15 plays · 39 yds · 2:235% → 3%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
95.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mik'Quan DeaneSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-7
95.1%
Mike White sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 17
OWN 25
-4
95.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 21
OWN 21
+15
95.7%
[SH], WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Ryan White) 15 yards to the WKU36, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.5%
[SH], WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to FANT, Nacarius (Tre Herndon), PENALTY VANDY holding (J. Williams) 10 yards to the WKU46, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.4%
Mike White run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
50
+7
97.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
97.4%
Drew Eckels sacked by Josh Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+6
97.5%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
97.1%
Drew Eckels pass intercepted Ryan White return for 15 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:48
Trent Sherfield run for 45 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+12.7
TD · Q2 1:43
Mike White run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q2 0:31
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trey Ellis for 31 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com