Try the model
AUB

Auburn 42 at Texas A&M 27

TA&M
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kam Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:01: Keith Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 53 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +15.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:45: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +7.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:48: Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +5.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:09: Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 62 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 10 of 11AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:02TA&M 4th & 7 at AUB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31AUB 4th & 10 at TA&M 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:19TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:19AUB 4th & 12 at AUB 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:59TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:34AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:44TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:24TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:12AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:36AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:39TA&M 4th & 7 at AUB 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:20TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:32AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 34, up 8
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:36TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:41TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:25AUB 4th & 9 at TA&M 35, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:25TA&M 4th & 2 at AUB 4, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−8.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:11TA&M 4th & 7 at AUB 8, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00AUB 4th & 3 at TA&M 30, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 3AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 10:50AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:01TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:36AUB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:45AUB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:48AUB Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:09TA&M Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:08AUB Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:11TA&M Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:5316% → 17%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
15.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 40 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
16.1%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
16.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
16.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
17.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
17.2%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
17.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
17.3%
Daniel LaCamera 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:1483% → 80%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
17.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
17.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
17.9%
Eli Stove run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+35
18.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 35 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
18.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-3
18.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+9
18.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 9 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-9
19.4%
Stovall, Tyler rush for 3 yards to the TEXASAM19, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Golson, Austin) 9 yards to the TEXASAM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
20.0%
Daniel Carlson 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Justin MadubuikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0620% → 20%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
19.9%
Kellen Mond sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+4
20.1%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
20.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Keith FordSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
20.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5579% → 77%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
20.8%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
21.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+2
22.0%
Jarrett Stidham run for 2 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
22.7%
Aidan Marshall punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1322% → 22%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
21.9%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
22.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
22.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
22.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0277% → 75%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.9%
Eli Stove run for 9 yds to the Aub 25 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nate Craig-Myers) to the Aub 15Similar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 11
OWN 15
-5
23.4%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 10Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+1
23.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 11Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+7
24.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 7 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
25.3%
Aidan Marshall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4224% → 24%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
24.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
24.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
24.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
24.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4675% → 78%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
24.7%
Kam Martin run for 8 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
24.7%
Kam Martin run for 9 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
24.3%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
24.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
24.5%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
25.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+13
24.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 13 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
24.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+14
25.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Will Hastings for 14 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
25.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 2Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1924% → 24%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
24.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Damion Ratley for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
23.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Keith Ford for 9 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
24.0%
Shane Tripucka punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0276% → 75%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
24.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+5
23.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
24.6%
Jarrett Stidham run for no gain to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+3
24.6%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
25.3%
Aidan Marshall punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:0425% → 38%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
24.8%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
25.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
25.4%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+29
25.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 29 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
27.7%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
28.9%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Aub 32Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-5
28.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+8
28.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 8 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+27
29.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 27 yds to the Aub 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.3%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2066% → 63%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Aidan Marshall punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:3938% → 43%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
50
+41
37.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 41 yds to the Aub 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
39.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 7Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
39.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
38.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
43.0%
Daniel LaCamera 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4958% → 74%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
42.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
41.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+53
26.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 53 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT TD
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:0231% → 19%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
30.6%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
30.6%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
29.6%
Nick Starkel run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
18.8%
Shane Tripucka punt blocked by Nick Ruffin, recovered by Malik Miller for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:1520% → 20%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2381% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
18.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
19.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
19.2%
Aidan Marshall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4920% → 19%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
20.1%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
19.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
19.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+14
18.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 56 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 14 yds to the Aub 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:4082% → 90%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
18.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 29 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
17.3%
Jarrett Stidham run for 24 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
17.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+9
17.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds to the TexAM 4Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
10.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5213% → 12%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
12.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
12.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
11.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:4491% → 96%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
9.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+46
9.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 46 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:316% → 11%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
4.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 6 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
4.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
4.6%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-5
4.5%
Nick Starkel run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 38 Nick Starkel fumbled, recovered by TexAM Nick StarkelSimilar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+62
11.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 62 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:3090% → 91%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
9.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
9.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
9.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 16 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
8.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
8.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+17
8.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
8.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
8.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+4
8.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
8.7%
Daniel Carlson 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Armani WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:5512% → 11%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
11.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
11.7%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+10
11.5%
Keith Ford run for 10 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
12.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 2 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
12.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 3 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+14
11.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 14 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
12.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Aub 8Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
11.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+4
11.4%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
11.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 8:0893% → 99%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
6.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 1
OWN 13
-4
6.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+15
6.2%
Stidham, Jarrett pass incomplete to Slayton, Darius, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Jones, Myles) 15 yards to the AUBURN24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
5.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 7 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+13
5.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
4.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 22 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
4.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
4.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+11
4.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 11 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
3.9%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+6
3.7%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
3.4%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
3.3%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.7%
Eli Stove run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26TD
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:381% → 3%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
1.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
1.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
1.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+15
1.0%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Paul, Roshauud, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Davis, Carlton) 15 yards to the AUBURN11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
1.2%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-3
1.2%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 8Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
1.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+8
3.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Damion Ratley for 8 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:0098% → 99%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
1.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
1.8%
Kam Martin run for no gain to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
1.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
1.4%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
1.4%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+3
1.3%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-1
1.4%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 53 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
-15.3
TD · Q2 4:01
Keith Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q3 10:45
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com