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MISS

Ole Miss 37 at Kentucky 34

UK
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:09 · Matt Panton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense−4.7Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:18: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 20 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +8.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:27: Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 46 yds for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +12.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:59: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 58 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +22.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:14: Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +42.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:05: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 7 yds for a TD Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:05 (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +75.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MISS 4th & 13 at MISS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45UK 4th & 5 at MISS 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:45MISS 4th & 5 at UK 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15UK 4th & 12 at MISS 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45MISS 4th & 5 at UK 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:27MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:58UK 4th & 5 at MISS 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:43MISS 4th & 16 at UK 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−7.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:36UK 4th & 8 at UK 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:41UK 4th & 7 at UK 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:16MISS 4th & 4 at UK 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−2.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09UK 4th & 6 at UK 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:09MISS 4th & 18 at MISS 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−7.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:35MISS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:09UK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:18MISS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13UK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:27UK Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:59MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:14UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−1.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:05MISS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 3 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
62.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
62.4%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Denzil Ware for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
62.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:5962% → 63%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
62.4%
Stephen Johnson run for 9 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+22
62.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 22 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
62.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 9 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
62.6%
Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
62.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Miss 19Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
62.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 20Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
62.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 2 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
63.0%
Austin MacGinnis 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1037% → 41%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
62.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 26 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
62.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 11
50
+6
62.4%
Jordan Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
62.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 5 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
62.3%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
62.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+7
62.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 7 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+9
62.6%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
62.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
59.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:1460% → 60%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
60.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Greg Hart for 2 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
60.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+6
59.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
60.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 6 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+8
61.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
61.1%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+8
60.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+23
60.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 23 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
61.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 16 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
61.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
61.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-6
60.4%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Josiah Coatney for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 16Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
60.1%
Austin MacGinnis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:3041% → 42%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
59.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 14 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
58.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 40 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
57.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
57.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 5 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
58.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
58.0%
Gary Wunderlich 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3659% → 68%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
60.0%
Sihiem King run for 6 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
59.6%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
60.3%
Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+21
59.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, targeting (Breeland Speaks) to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
60.9%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+32
61.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Stephen Johnson for 32 yds to the Miss 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
61.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Miss 2Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:4436% → 47%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
63.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 16 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
62.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 4 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
62.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
62.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 12 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
61.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 14 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
52.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 20 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 5:5756% → 68%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
55.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
57.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 3 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
57.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
57.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
58.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
58.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
58.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 11 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-11
59.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 4 yds to the Miss 23 KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Tavin Richardson) to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 21
OPP 38
+7
57.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 7 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+2
58.2%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 2 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+28
58.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 28 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD A. MacGinnis kick attempt good, PENALTY UK holding (Luke Fortner) 10 yards to the OM13, NO PLAY. (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
63.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 12 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2864% → 79%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
64.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 8 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
64.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
66.5%
Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+46
78.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 46 yds for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 6 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-8
75.9%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Jordan Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
77.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, broken up by Lonnie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+26
78.3%
Will Gleeson punt for 41 yds OLE MISS Penalty, kick catching interference (D.K. Metcalf) to the Miss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
79.4%
Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
79.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-2
78.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
77.6%
Matt Panton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:1621% → 24%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
78.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+14
78.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 14 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
78.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
77.5%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 29Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+14
79.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 14 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
77.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 19 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
76.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+20
74.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 20 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
74.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 5 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-1
74.6%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-6
75.8%
[SHOT], PENALTY OM false start (Greg Little) 6 yards to the UK16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 12
OPP 16
-4
76.5%
[SHOT], PENALTY OM delay of game (Jordan Ta'amu) 4 yards to the UK20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
77.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+38
75.6%
Gary Wunderlich 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 75%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
77.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+56
75.3%
Matt Panton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the KENTUCKY 34 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Miss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:4925% → 49%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
74.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 10 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
73.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+58
51.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 58 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
58.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
58.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Myles HartsfieldSimilar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
56.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+19
55.6%
Matt Panton punt for 44 yds , A.J. Brown returns for 19 yds to the Kent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2450% → 56%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
50.1%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 7 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
48.2%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-3
49.8%
Eric Swinney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
44.5%
Gary Wunderlich 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
48.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
48.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-4
50.6%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Garrald McDowell for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
45.7%
Matt Panton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 7 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
39.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
40.4%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 4 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
39.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 11 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.8%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for no gain to the Miss 49Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-8
38.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 2 yds to the KENTUCKY 49 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (Sean Rawlings) to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+9
40.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 9
50
-9
39.3%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Courtney Love for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+54
44.3%
Will Gleeson punt for 49 yds, downed at the KENTUCKY 10 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the Kent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 6:2241% → 90%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+19
41.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 19 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
42.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
42.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
41.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 5 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
43.3%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Josiah Coatney for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+18
41.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 18 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
46.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+21
47.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 21 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
50.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 13 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
47.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Miss 1Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 2:0921% → 95%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
78.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Jordan WilkinsSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+13
80.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
76.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 2
50
+2
80.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
79.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
78.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
78.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 9 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
76.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 5 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+10
81.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 10 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by Jordan GriffinSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 7 yds for a TD Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:05 (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:05
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 7 yds for a TD Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:05 (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
-75.6
TD · Q4 2:14
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+42.5
TD · Q3 1:59
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 58 yds for a TD (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
-22.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com