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South Carolina 10 at Georgia 24

UGA
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:52 · Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre Smith
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+24.7Garbage-time factor+6.9Score differential+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:07: Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +2.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:27: Javon Wims 10 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +2.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:04: Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 00:04 — UGA win probability +2.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:28: Mecole Hardman 20 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +4.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:36: Rodrigo Blankenship 20 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:11SC 4th & 5 at UGA 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51SC 4th & 3 at SC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09UGA 4th & 1 at SC 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:25SC 4th & 10 at UGA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:54UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:36SC 4th & 4 at UGA 7, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:05UGA 4th & 9 at SC 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:08SC 4th & 5 at SC 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:36UGA 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:52SC 4th & 2 at SC 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:33UGA 4th & 3 at SC 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.4
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:21UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:07SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:27UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:28UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1MISSED FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:296% → 6%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
50
+16
94.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.9%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
93.8%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
93.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
93.7%
Parker White 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FUMBLE
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:4894% → 93%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.6%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+10
93.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 10 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
93.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 7 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+8
93.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 8 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
93.3%
Riley Ridley run for 5 yds to the Geo 38 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Charlie Woerner) to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+14
93.1%
Brian Herrien run for 14 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+22
93.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 22 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
93.1%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+16
93.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 16 yds Terry Godwin fumbled, forced by Steven Montac, recovered by SCaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:227% → 8%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
92.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+3
92.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+4
92.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 4 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 11
-3
92.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 8 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Ameer Speed) to the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:0792% → 93%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
92.2%
Nick Chubb run for 26 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
92.3%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
92.1%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+6
92.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 6 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+4
91.7%
Christian Payne run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
91.8%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+10
91.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
91.5%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-1
91.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+7
91.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 7 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.5%
Sony Michel 8 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:118% → 12%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 16 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.6%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. TurnerSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+20
91.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 20 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
91.0%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
90.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 15 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
90.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
88.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1589% → 91%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.4%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
89.2%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
88.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
89.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 11 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
89.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
89.3%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
89.3%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
89.2%
Jake Fromm run for 12 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
89.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
91.3%
Javon Wims 10 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3010% → 10%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
90.3%
Jake Bentley sacked by Roquan Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
90.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+35
90.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 35 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
89.1%
Jake Bentley sacked by Roquan Smith and Reggie Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+7
89.3%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-1
89.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
89.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
89.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:2190% → 88%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
89.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+12
89.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
89.9%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
89.6%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
90.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
50
0
90.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 6
50
-7
89.5%
Jake Fromm sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
88.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:3112% → 12%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.4%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
88.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
88.0%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted J.R. Reed return for 14 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.8%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1789% → 94%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.8%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
88.8%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.0%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
89.0%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+16
88.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 16 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
89.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+8
89.4%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
89.4%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
89.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Sony Michel) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+10
89.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 10 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
93.9%
Mecole Hardman 20 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 5:347% → 9%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
92.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
92.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
92.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
92.3%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
92.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+10
92.8%
Hurst, Hayden pass incomplete to Smith, OrTre, PENALTY GEORGIA holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
50
0
91.8%
Hayden Hurst pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
50
+22
92.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 22 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
91.0%
A.J. Turner run for 15 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
91.3%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
91.7%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
93.3%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
91.5%
Parker White 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2492% → 92%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
92.4%
Nick Chubb run for 27 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
92.8%
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-3
93.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
92.5%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 46 yds, downed at the SCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:527% → 7%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
92.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+23
92.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Aaron Davis) to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
92.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-1
91.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
92.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:1493% → 97%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
93.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 15 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
93.4%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
93.4%
Christian Payne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
93.6%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
94.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
94.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+10
94.7%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
94.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
94.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Nick Chubb for 9 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
94.9%
Jake Fromm run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.1%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
97.1%
Rodrigo Blankenship 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:233% → 3%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+23
96.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 23 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
96.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
96.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.8%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+3
98.2%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
98.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:312% → 2%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
97.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.8%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Malkom Parrish return for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
98.6%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:28
Mecole Hardman 20 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+4.5
TD · Q2 14:07
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 9:27
Javon Wims 10 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com