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VAN

Vanderbilt 27 at South Carolina 34

SC
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Sam Loy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+14.8Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:28: Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +6.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:55: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 47 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +12.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:54: Jake Bentley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +11.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:42: Parker White 39 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +6.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:50: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +9.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:25VAN 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18SC 4th & 7 at SC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 29 at SC 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16SC 4th & 9 at SC 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:51SC 4th & 16 at VAN 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:25VAN 4th & 10 at SC 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:23SC 4th & 9 at VAN 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 6 at SC 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:42SC 4th & 6 at VAN 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:50SC 4th & 4 at SC 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:18VAN 4th & 3 at SC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−4.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:06VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:25SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:01SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:25VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:28SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:55VAN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:54SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:50VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5430% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
69.7%
Trent Sherfield run for 19 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
69.7%
Ralph Webb run for 13 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
69.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 18 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
69.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 7 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+9
69.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 9 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
68.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 9 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4168% → 70%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
68.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 21 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
68.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards (J. Williams), PENALTY VANDY personal foul (Zaire Jones) 15 yards to the VANDY39, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
68.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 11 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
68.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
69.6%
Jake Bentley run for 19 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
68.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
50
0
68.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
50
0
68.5%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 10
50
0
68.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb Scott, broken up by JaMarcus KingSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 10
50
0
69.0%
Sam Loy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
68.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 16 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
68.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (J. Williams) 15 yards to the SC46, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
69.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
69.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre Smith, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst, broken up by Joejuan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
68.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds , Kalija Lipscomb returns for no gain to the Vandy 6 Kalija Lipscomb fumbled, recovered by Vandy Kalija Lipscomb , return for no gain to the Vandy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
68.3%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
68.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 8 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
68.7%
Sam Loy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:3868% → 74%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
68.2%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
68.9%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
68.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
68.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 6
50
0
68.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 6
50
+15
67.9%
Joseph Charlton punt 35 yards to the VANDY15, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY VANDY personal foul (Jay Woods) 15 yards to the VANDY35, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. TurnerSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
69.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+9
68.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
69.9%
A.J. Turner run for 24 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.6%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 1:0128% → 27%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Caleb Scott) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+18
72.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 18 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
71.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 13 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
71.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted by Skai Moore at the SC26, Skai Moore return to the VANDY12 (Sam Dobbs), PENALTY SC pass interference 15 yards to the SC34, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
70.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 11 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
70.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
70.4%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-13
71.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SCaro 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Vandy Kyle ShurmurSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 24
OPP 37
-5
72.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (Kyle Shurmur) to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 29
OPP 42
0
72.7%
Sam Loy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
73.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 3 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 14
-7
73.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 14
OWN 7
+5
72.5%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 9
OWN 12
+3
72.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 46 , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 3 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:4528% → 34%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
72.5%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+36
71.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 36 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
70.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
70.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Nathan MarcusSimilar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
65.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 8 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5769% → 78%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.4%
Bryan Edwards run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
69.7%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
68.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Charles Wright) to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
71.3%
A.J. Turner run for 12 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
77.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
76.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
76.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
76.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Steven Montac return for 10 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1578% → 80%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
78.0%
A.J. Turner run for 14 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
78.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Shi Smith) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 19
OWN 0
-3
76.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 33 VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 22
OPP 33
0
77.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 22
OPP 33
+6
76.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+44
79.7%
Parker White 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 2:2620% → 18%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.2%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
80.4%
Dallas Rivers rush for 2 yards to the VANDY31 (Keir Thomas), PENALTY VANDY holding (E. DellaRipa) 10 yards to the VANDY19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+18
80.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 18 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+17
79.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 17 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Dante SawyerSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
79.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
78.9%
PENALTY VANDY unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY SC unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
79.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, broken up by Chris LammonsSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
82.0%
Sam Loy punt for 30 yds, downed at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
82.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:3780% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
80.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 6 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
80.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Dare Odeyingbo for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 29 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+9
80.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 9 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+12
80.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+20
81.5%
A.J. Turner run for 20 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
81.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
81.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by LaDarius WileySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
80.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
81.5%
Parker White 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2819% → 34%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
80.6%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 11 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
79.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
79.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield, PENALTY SC pass interference (Rashad Fenton) 6 yards to the SC47, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
66.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 47 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:0172% → 85%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
71.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+16
71.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
73.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 1 yd to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+27
73.6%
A.J. Turner run for 27 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
75.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
74.7%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+13
73.8%
Jake Bentley run for 13 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+6
73.9%
Hayden Hurst run for 6 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.4%
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:5416% → 16%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.5%
Donaven Tennyson run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
83.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
82.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
82.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
81.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+8
81.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 8 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
81.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
80.4%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
83.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, broken up by Chris LammonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:2387% → 95%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
87.4%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
87.6%
Jake Bentley run for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
87.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
88.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 8 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
88.6%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
88.6%
Mon Denson run for 14 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Joejuan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
88.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+4
88.1%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
95.0%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
16 plays · 77 yds · 4:528% → 21%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
92.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+8
91.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 8 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
91.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
90.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 5 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
90.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 9 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
90.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
90.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 19 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Dante SawyerSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
89.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+10
90.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, PENALTY SC pass interference 10 yards to the SC11, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
89.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
89.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
79.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.4%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
89.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+18
88.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 54 yds , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 18 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:3015% → 12%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
85.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
83.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 5 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
82.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey Ellis, PENALTY SC pass interference (Chris Lammons) 4 yards to the SC47, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
82.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 8 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-10
81.1%
Dallas Rivers rush for 3 yards to the SC36 (D.J. Smith), PENALTY VANDY holding (Sam Dobbs) 10 yards to the SC49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+9
83.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
85.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
87.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:1096% → 97%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.1%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
96.7%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
96.7%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:55
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 47 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q3 3:54
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q4 4:50
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com