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MIZ

Missouri 52 at UConn 12

CONN
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:00 · Brett Graham punt for 52 yds , Dominic Collins returns for no gain to the Misso 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Home team on offense−49.2Pregame prior−11.4Score differential−33.9Garbage-time factor−15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:48: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:08: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 9 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +4.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:09: Michael Tarbutt 30 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +1.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:11: Ish Witter run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:03: Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 13 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 13MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:40CONN 4th & 5 at MIZ 40, up 2
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45CONN 4th & 3 at MIZ 29, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10CONN 4th & 5 at MIZ 20, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37CONN 4th & 7 at MIZ 15, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09CONN 4th & 13 at MIZ 13, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03MIZ 4th & 10 at CONN 20, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 42, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 17, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:20CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:26CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:03MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 45, up 40
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:07MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:00CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 27, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 28, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:51MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 43, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:11CONN 4th & 7 at MIZ 28, down 40
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:48MIZ Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48MIZ Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08MIZ Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:11MIZ Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:03MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:26MIZ Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:07CONN Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:11MIZ Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1SF
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:2085% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-7
15.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Misso 21 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 11
+11
15.2%
Ish Witter run for 11 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
15.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
15.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 5 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 27
-27
15.9%
TEAM run for -27 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
15.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 19 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
16.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
15.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 5 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
15.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
15.9%
Brett Graham punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 1:4083% → 84%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+23
16.6%
Ish Witter run for 8 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Jamar Summers) to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
16.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 21 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
16.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 14 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
16.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 8 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+23
16.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 23 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
16.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 2:0317% → 17%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
16.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete, broken up by Marcell FrazierSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
16.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+35
16.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 20 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (DeMarkus Acy) to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
17.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
17.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
17.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
17.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
17.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
17.4%
Michael Tarbutt 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:5783% → 85%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
17.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 2 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Coyle) to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
17.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 10 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
17.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Moore, J'Mon, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (SWANN, Jordan) 15 yards to the UCONN29, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
17.0%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
17.0%
Ish Witter run for 12 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
17.0%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 1:3817% → 17%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
16.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
16.6%
Jason Thompson run for 10 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
16.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
16.8%
Quayvon Skanes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+13
17.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 13 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
17.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
17.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 6 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+11
17.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 11 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
17.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
17.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-1
17.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
17.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3584% → 89%
Q1 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+35
16.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 35 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
15.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 17 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
15.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 14 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
16.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 9 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 4:5913% → 17%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
13.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 6 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
13.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+45
13.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 45 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
14.3%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-4
14.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+6
13.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+10
13.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 10 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
14.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Logan Cheadle for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 6Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
14.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Brandon Lee and Marcell Frazier for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
13.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
16.6%
Michael Tarbutt 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:0685% → 84%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
15.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 13 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
15.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+25
15.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 25 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
14.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 9 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
14.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
14.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
14.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+13
14.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 13 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
14.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 4 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-17
14.7%
Drew Lock sacked by Luke Carrezola for a loss of 17 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 23
OPP 33
+13
15.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 13 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
16.1%
Tucker McCann 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.2%
Nate Hopkins run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Quayvon Skanes, broken up by Terry Beckner Jr.Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Brett Graham punt for 38 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for no gain to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0184% → 95%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
15.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+10
15.9%
Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
15.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
15.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
15.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Jordan SwannSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+22
15.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 22 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
14.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+14
14.2%
Ish Witter run for 14 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
4.9%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:036% → 3%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
6.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
6.4%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Cale Garrett for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
5.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+13
5.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 13 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
6.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+5
6.0%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to MCLEAN, Aaron, PENALTY MU offside defense (Williams, Tre) 5 yards to the MU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-10
6.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Marcell Frazier and Anthony Sherrils for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+1
3.0%
Brett Graham punt for 46 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 1 yd to the Misso 43 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamal Brooks) to the Misso 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0094% → 95%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
5.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 15 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
4.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.6%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-11
4.6%
Lock, Drew rush for 19 yards to the UCONN48, PENALTY MU holding (Simms, Tre'Vour) 11 yards to the MU22, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
3.5%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
3.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
3.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 17
+2
3.3%
Brett Graham punt for 33 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:1097% → 98%
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
3.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 9 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+8
3.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
3.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 10 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
3.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
2.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 13 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:434% → 2%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
3.8%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
2.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 9 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Cam HiltonSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Brett Graham punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:2598% → 99%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
1.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
1.9%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+72
1.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 72 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
1.0%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
1.0%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
1.0%
Brett Graham punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
1.3%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
1.3%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
1.3%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
1.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for no gain to the UConn 18 Quayvon Skanes fumbled, recovered by UConnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 5:261% → 1%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 7 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+4
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 8 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
0.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 6 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+15
0.7%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Jason, PENALTY MU roughing passer (Frazier, Marcel) 15 yards to the MU36, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Logan CheadleSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 8 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
0.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 8 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
0.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Micah Wilson pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.6%
Micah Wilson pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Brandon LeeSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
0.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Eric BeiselSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
0.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion Dixon, broken up by Adam SparksSimilar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
0.5%
Brett Graham punt for 52 yds , Dominic Collins returns for no gain to the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
0.5%
Micah Wilson pass intercepted Jamar Summers return for no gain to the UConn 21 CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Jamar Summers) to the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:311% → 0%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
0.5%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
0.5%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
0.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Adam SparksSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+54
0.3%
Brett Graham punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dominic Collins at the UCONN 28 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
0.5%
Micah Wilson pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 19 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
0.5%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-10
0.5%
Downing, Dawson rush for 37 yards to the UCONN22 (TERRY, Marshe), PENALTY MU holding (Ploudre, Adam) 10 yards to the MU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+5
0.5%
Wilson, Micah pass incomplete to Brown, Nate (BELL, Tre), PENALTY UCONN offside defense (CARREZOLA, Luke) 5 yards to the MU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+10
0.5%
Micah Wilson pass complete to Dominic Collins for 10 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
0.5%
Markell Utsey run for 2 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.5%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
0.5%
Micah Wilson pass incomplete to Dominic CollinsSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-6
0.5%
Micah Wilson sacked by Junior Joseph for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26INT
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
0.3%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+11
0.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 11 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
0.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.3%
Jason Thompson run for 5 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
0.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
0.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 16 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, IS (5 Yards) to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 5
OPP 39
0
0.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+1
0.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
0.3%
David Pindell pass intercepted TJ Warren return for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.2%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
0.2%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
0.2%
Dawson Downing run for 8 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
0.2%
Micah Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+29
0.2%
Dawson Downing run for 29 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
0.2%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
0.1%
Micah Wilson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 26 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 13 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+2
0.1%
Jason Thompson run for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
0.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
0.1%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
0.1%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
0.1%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:11
Ish Witter run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q1 1:08
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 9 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-4.9
FG · Q2 11:09
Michael Tarbutt 30 yd FG GOOD
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com