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IDHO

Idaho 21 at Missouri 68

MIZ
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:52 · Cade Coffey punt for 58 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 85 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+32.7Home team on offense+1.1Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:52: IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line — MIZ win probability +1.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:12: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta PAT MISSED) — MIZ win probability +2.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:01: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:38: Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +3.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:47: Ish Witter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 4IDHO made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 8:52IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:01IDHO 4th & 24 at IDHO 31, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:21MIZ 4th & 8 at IDHO 16, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:38IDHO 4th & 12 at MIZ 42, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:56IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 16, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:31IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 32, down 44
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:14MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 9, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:49IDHO 4th & 8 at MIZ 34, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 45, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50MIZ 4th & 5 at IDHO 40, up 51
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 25, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:24MIZ 4th & 3 at IDHO 3, up 51
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:24IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 44, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:57IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:15MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:12MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:01MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:38IDHO Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:47MIZ Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:23MIZ Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:38MIZ Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:56MIZ Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:48IDHO Touchdown, down 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
85.7%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Armond Hawkins return for 19 yds to the Misso 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:5214% → 15%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
85.6%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+26
85.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 26 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
85.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kaden Elliss for 7 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:3585% → 85%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
84.6%
Witter, Ish rush for 9 yards to the MU30 (Hawkins, Armond), PENALTY MU holding (Simms, Tre'Vour) 10 yards to the MU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+45
84.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 45 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
84.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
84.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 14 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
84.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
84.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 19 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:2016% → 15%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.6%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (Matt Linehan) to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+2
84.6%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+5
84.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+85
85.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 58 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 85 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
86.4%
IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
86.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:1987% → 87%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
86.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 15 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+50
86.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 50 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
87.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
87.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
86.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-6
86.4%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-5
86.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 19
OWN 24
+33
86.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 46 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 33 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:2588% → 90%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
87.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 19 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
90.1%
Bartolotta, Nic kick attempt good, PENALTY MU false start 5 yards to the IDAHO8, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1190% → 93%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
90.0%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
90.0%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+5
89.9%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Hall, Emanuel, PENALTY IDAHO offside (Coleman, Aikeem) 5 yards to the IDAHO10, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
93.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
93.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 7 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
93.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 43Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
93.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-15
93.9%
IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 27
OWN 28
+3
94.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 53 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for no gain to the Misso 31 MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:3994% → 96%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+53
94.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 53 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
94.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
94.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+18
94.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
94.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
94.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
95.6%
Nick Bartolotta 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14TD
21 plays · 75 yds · 8:434% → 6%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
96.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 13 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+11
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 11 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
95.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
96.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Marcell FrazierSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+18
96.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 18 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
95.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
95.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
95.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
95.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 4 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+8
95.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
96.8%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Wysocki, Joe, QB hurry by Turner, Chris, PENALTY MU offside (Harold, Jordan) 2 yards to the MU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
96.8%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (Matt Linehan) to the Misso 7Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
97.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 8Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Misso 8Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:4595% → 99%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+62
95.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 62 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Mason Petrino for 5 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+23
98.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 23 yds to the MISSOURI 40 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
98.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Cam HiltonSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
98.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 3 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+10
98.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
98.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 35 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Jalen HooverSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+23
98.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 23 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 2 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
99.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18END OF HALF
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:141% → 1%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 14 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.1%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
99.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 49 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Idaho Aaron Duckworth , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 3 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 20Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-4
99.0%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cam Hilton for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
99.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 51 yds, downed at the Misso 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
99.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 18 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 15 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
99.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 19 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Sedrick ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.4%
Ish Witter run for 13 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.4%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 3Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 4 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
99.5%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 4 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Cade Coffey punt for 57 yds, downed at the Misso 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
99.6%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-6
99.6%
Drew Lock sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 9Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 12
OWN 9
0
99.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kaden Elliss for 4 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
99.7%
Dylan Thigpen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+4
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 8
OPP 34
-5
99.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 19 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dominic CollinsSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.7%
Ish Witter run for 14 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 7 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 3
OPP 21
-1
99.7%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 22Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Drew Lock run for 4 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 3 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Joey BurkettSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Isaiah Saunders, broken up by Akial ByersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 6:52100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Micah Wilson pass complete to Nate Brown for 8 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 15 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+25
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 25 yds to the Idaho 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Idaho 5Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 3Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
100.0%
Nick Bartolotta 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 29TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Dylan Thigpen run for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Mason Petrino run for 9 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Dylan Thigpen run for no gain to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
50
+13
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 13 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+35
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 35 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, TGB ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
99.9%
Thigpen, Dylan rush for no gain to the MU2 (Anderson, Nate), PENALTY IDAHO IF 5 yards to the MU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
100.0%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 10 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:38
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q1 2:01
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 3:47
Ish Witter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Bartolotta KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com