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TENN

Tennessee 7 at Alabama 45

ALA
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:52 · Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds, downed at the Alab 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+45.7Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:48: Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:18: Damien Harris run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:39: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:03: Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Bituli return for 97 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:59: Tua Tagovailoa run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:56TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:21ALA 4th & 1 at TENN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:52TENN 4th & 2 at ALA 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30ALA 4th & 9 at TENN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:23TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:48ALA 4th & 1 at TENN 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:19TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:17TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 18, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13ALA 4th & 4 at TENN 7, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:22TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:46TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23TENN 4th & 5 at ALA 5, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:54TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 43, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:21ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:48ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:18ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:39ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:03TENN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:59ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:49ALA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
98.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
98.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:1999% → 98%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
98.7%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
98.6%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+9
98.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.6%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
98.5%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
98.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 21 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:122% → 2%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 12 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
98.2%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
98.1%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+9
98.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:3698% → 98%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
98.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+11
98.0%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
98.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+3
97.9%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
97.7%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Nigel Warrior for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.5%
JK Scott punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
97.5%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
97.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ethan Wolf for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+7
97.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 7 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3498% → 97%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
50
0
97.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
50
0
97.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 10
50
+6
97.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-5
97.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (JK Scott) to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
97.1%
JK Scott punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:473% → 3%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
97.1%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+19
97.1%
Marquez Callaway run for 4 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Hootie Jones) to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+6
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds , Xavian Marks returns for no gain to the Alab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
19 plays · 85 yds · 4:2597% → 97%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.7%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+19
96.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 19 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 5
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
96.8%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+6
96.7%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
96.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Hale Hentges for 19 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
96.8%
Harris, Damien rush for 13 yards to the TENNESSEE20, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Williams, Jonah) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+7
96.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+35
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 34 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Jonathan Kongbo) to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
96.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (Jalen Hurts) to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.7%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
96.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Tenn 2 TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Shawn Shamburger) to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Terrell LewisSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:133% → 3%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-9
97.2%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Levi Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 16
OWN 17
+8
97.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 58 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 8 yds to the Alab 25 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Keaton Anderson) to the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:5297% → 99%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.1%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+26
97.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 26 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
97.3%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Shawn Shamburger for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+15
97.3%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Ridley, Calvin, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul (Kongbo, Jonathan) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
97.3%
Josh Jacobs run for 22 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
97.4%
Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Tenn 11Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.1%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.6%
John Kelly run for 18 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
98.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for 8 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
98.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 5 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for no gain to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-9
98.5%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Raekwon Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
98.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 15 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.9%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
99.0%
Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
98.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 13 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.9%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+12
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.7%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-9
99.7%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Levi Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 3Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 17
OWN 3
+15
99.8%
John Kelly run for 15 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 2
OWN 18
-6
99.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 60 yds , Xavian Marks returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 22 Xavian Marks fumbled, recovered by Alab Xavian Marks , return for 6 yds to the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14INT TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:02100% → 99%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 8 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+15
99.8%
Tagovailoa, Tua pass incomplete to Ridley, Calvin, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Shamburger, Shawn) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
99.8%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
99.8%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 17 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+11
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 11 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+97
98.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Bituli return for 97 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:2499% → 99%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
98.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 14 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Hale Hentges for 15 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
98.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 14 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.7%
Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
99.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 3 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
99.2%
Andy Pappanastos 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
99.1%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Rashaan Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+9
99.2%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+12
99.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 50 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 12 yds to the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1599% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.3%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+18
99.3%
Najee Harris run for 18 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.4%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 7
50
0
99.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 7
50
+14
99.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Cam Sims for 14 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.4%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 60 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 5 yds to the Alab 20 Xavian Marks fumbled, forced by D.J. Henderson, recovered by Tenn Rashaan GauldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 9 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass complete to Jordan, Tim for loss of 3 yards to the ALABAMA14, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Payne, Da'Ron) 6 yards to the ALABAMA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Trey Smith) to the Alab 5Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Alab 5Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+21
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted Mack Wilson return for 21 yds to the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+13
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
100.0%
Tua Tagovailoa run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 39 Tua Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Alab Tua TagovailoaSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+60
100.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 60 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+22
100.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by TEAM at the ALABAMA 20 TENNESSEE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (D.J. Henderson) to the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 12 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:18
Damien Harris run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 4:48
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q3 6:03
Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Bituli return for 97 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com