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South Carolina 15 at Tennessee 9

TENN
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:36 · Trevor Daniel punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:33: Brent Cimaglia 24 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +5.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:02: A.J. Turner 20 Yd Run ( PAT failed) — SC win probability +15.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:17: Parker White 21 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +17.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:20: A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42 — SC win probability +9.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:13: Parker White 36 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:59SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26TENN 4th & 4 at SC 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08SC 4th & 10 at TENN 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36TENN 4th & 15 at SC 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51SC 4th & 18 at SC 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:36TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:31SC 4th & 3 at TENN 30, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:20TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:14SC 4th & 1 at TENN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−3.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:33TENN 4th & 6 at SC 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:06TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:03SC 4th & 6 at SC 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:30TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:35TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−4.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:17SC 4th & 4 at TENN 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−27.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:13SC 4th & 6 at TENN 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−2.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−21.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 1:02SC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5449% → 49%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
51.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
51.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 39 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 10 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:2452% → 53%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
51.5%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
51.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
51.8%
John Kelly run for 24 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
52.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
52.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
52.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Marcus Tatum) to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+11
52.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 11 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
52.6%
Brent Cimaglia 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:1848% → 47%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Reginald McKenzie Jr.) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
52.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
52.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 13 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
52.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 15 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
52.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
52.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
52.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
53.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tenn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:2453% → 56%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
52.7%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
52.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 4 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
53.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 12 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
53.3%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-6
53.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Austin Pope) to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+30
53.4%
Ty Chandler run for 30 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
54.4%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+13
54.8%
Quinten Dormady run for 13 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.0%
Josh Smith pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
55.1%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+15
54.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 11 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JaMarcus King) to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.5%
John Kelly run for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
55.7%
John Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
55.1%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
56.4%
Brent Cimaglia 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3944% → 42%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
56.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Reginald McKenzie Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
57.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
58.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0658% → 57%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
58.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
58.2%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
58.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 8
OWN 32
-5
57.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
57.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:5944% → 45%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+19
55.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 19 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
55.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+9
56.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chad Terrell for 9 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-1
55.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
55.0%
Parker White 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0056% → 54%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
55.5%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Skai Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
54.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for 8 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
54.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 56 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 8 yds to the SCaro 24 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Chavis Dawkins) to the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:5643% → 44%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
56.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 14 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
56.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+11
55.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 11 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
54.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
55.0%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+4
54.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
56.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:3260% → 66%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
59.5%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+21
60.2%
Josh Palmer run for 6 yds to the TENNESSEE 49 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Rashad Fenton) to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
61.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
61.3%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
61.2%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+6
61.5%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+6
60.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
61.9%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
62.1%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Daniel Fennell for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 0
OPP 14
-5
60.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 0
OPP 19
+13
60.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for 13 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
65.6%
Brent Cimaglia 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
62.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4466% → 65%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
66.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
65.9%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+12
64.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 56 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 12 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5636% → 35%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
64.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 14 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.3%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
61.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
63.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
65.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2567% → 67%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
67.1%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-2
67.3%
John Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
66.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Taylor Stallworth) to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
69.5%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-7
69.9%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Antoine Wilder for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+8
67.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 59 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 8 yds to the SCaro 11 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the SCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
14 plays · 95 yds · 6:2833% → 55%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
66.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Bryan Edwards) to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+4
66.7%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 7
-4
67.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+11
67.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+9
68.0%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
66.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
66.1%
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
63.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
63.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
61.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+10
61.2%
A.J. Turner run for 10 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
60.7%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
45.3%
A.J. Turner 20 Yd Run ( PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2056% → 53%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
55.8%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
53.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Marcus Tatum) to the Tenn 21Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
53.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 4 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+21
52.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 72 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 21 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 9:0848% → 73%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
52.0%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
51.4%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
50.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 4 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
50.2%
A.J. Turner run for 12 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
47.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+11
46.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 11 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
46.4%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
44.2%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+8
46.2%
Mon Denson run for 8 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
44.1%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
44.0%
Hayden Hurst run for 4 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+8
46.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 8 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
42.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
42.3%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
44.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 1 yd to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
27.4%
Parker White 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:4537% → 33%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.5%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
37.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 18
-21
33.7%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 12 yards to the Tenn 18 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, forced by Dante Sawyer, recovered by Tenn Jarrett Guarantano , return for 0 yards TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jashon Robertson) to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 26
OWN 9
0
32.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
13 plays · 28 yds · 3:0777% → 94%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
23.0%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
21.3%
A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
19.7%
A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
16.2%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
15.3%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
13.4%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
11.6%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
5.7%
Parker White 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 73 yds · 1:0512% → 18%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
11.6%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, forced by Keir Thomas, recovered by Tenn Jarrett Guarantano , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
10.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 16 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
11.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 39 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
18.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 8 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
18.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+9
15.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 9 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
23.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rashad Fenton) to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-18.4
FG · Q4 5:17
Parker White 21 yd FG GOOD
-17
TD · Q3 1:02
A.J. Turner 20 Yd Run ( PAT failed)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com