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MIZ

Missouri 28 at Georgia 53

UGA
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:11 · Cameron Nizialek punt for 55 yds, fair catch by DeMarkus Acy at the Misso 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+17.2Home team on offense+32.3Score differential+20.9Garbage-time factor+12.5Blowout margin+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:34: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 63 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Tied - offense's timeout count is neutral here).
  2. TD · Q2 11:34: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 63 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:53: Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:26: Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:19: Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 27 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 13:34MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:01UGA 4th & 10 at MIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:29MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:49UGA 4th & 8 at MIZ 12, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:04MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 28, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:26UGA 4th & 10 at MIZ 10, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:06MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 33, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:26MIZ 4th & 4 at UGA 47, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:11UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 13, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:43MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 48, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:30UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:50MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:16UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:34MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:24UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:34MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:53UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:05UGA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:19MIZ Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:27UGA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:143% → 4%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
96.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Albert Okwuegbunam) to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+7
96.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 8
50
-1
96.6%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Damarea CrockettSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, downed at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:5997% → 96%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
96.5%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 10Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+1
96.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 1 yd to the Geo 11Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+28
96.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 28 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
96.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wynn) to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+2
96.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+8
96.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 8 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+21
96.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 21 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
96.3%
Mecole Hardman run for 35 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:124% → 4%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
96.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vour Simms) to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
96.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 57 yds, downed at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2596% → 96%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
96.0%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
96.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds Terry Godwin fumbled, forced by Ronnell Perkins, recovered by Geo Lamont GaillardSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-5
95.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+21
95.8%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Cale Garrett return for 21 yds to the Geo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:244% → 5%
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.6%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Geo 4Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2795% → 95%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
95.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+30
94.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 30 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.0%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
94.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+22
94.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 22 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
94.8%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
95.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 19 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:235% → 7%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
95.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
94.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
94.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the Misso 46 MISSOURI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J'Mon Moore) to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+6
94.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 6 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+63
93.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 63 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3694% → 95%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.5%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+20
93.7%
Nick Chubb run for 20 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
93.7%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+10
93.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 10 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.8%
Sony Michel run for 36 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:366% → 8%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
94.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
94.2%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+18
94.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 18 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
91.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 63 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:1292% → 92%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
92.3%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
92.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Ahkil Crumpton for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+50
91.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 50 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
92.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for no gain to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
92.5%
Michel, Sony rush for 4 yards to the MISSOURI16, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal block (Ridley, Riley) 10 yards to the MISSOURI30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 20
OPP 30
-2
91.9%
Jake Fromm sacked by Chris Turner and Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 22
OPP 32
+12
91.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 12 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
91.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:309% → 9%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.3%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
91.4%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 18 yds to the Misso 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2092% → 94%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
92.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 19 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
92.3%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+11
92.0%
Jake Fromm run for 11 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+8
91.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.8%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Misso 4Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.1%
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:156% → 6%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
93.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
13 plays · 44 yds · 2:1894% → 95%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
93.5%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
93.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.9%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
93.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+16
93.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 16 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 12 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
93.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+43
95.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:5695% → 95%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.7%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
94.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 17 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
95.1%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+19
95.1%
Nick Chubb run for 19 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
95.1%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+17
95.1%
Sony Michel run for 17 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
95.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
94.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
95.4%
Rodrigo Blankenship 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:375% → 5%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
95.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-18
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Misso 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2796% → 98%
Q3 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
95.9%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
95.9%
Jake Fromm run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
97.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:103% → 3%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Johnathon Johnson run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4898% → 100%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+71
97.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 71 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
98.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 16 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.6%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.6%
Drew Lock run for 12 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 7
50
+3
99.7%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 8Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-4
99.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Geo 4Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 4
-2
99.6%
Swift, D'Andre rush for 36 yards to the GEORGIA40, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal motion 2 yards to the GEORGIA2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 2
-1
99.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Geo 1Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 1
+1
99.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 2Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+11
99.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
99.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 55 yds, fair catch by DeMarkus Acy at the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:360% → 3%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
99.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 26 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+9
99.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 9 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
97.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 27 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+59
99.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 59 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 31 yds, downed at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25END OF GAME
12 plays · 49 yds · 7:33100% → 100%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+21
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 21 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 9 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-4
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Misso 26 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+6
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:19
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 27 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-2.6
TD · Q2 11:34
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 63 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q2 3:53
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com