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UGA

Georgia 41 at Tennessee 0

TENN
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:50 · Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jonathan Ledbetter for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−52.9Pregame prior−7.3Score differential−41.1Garbage-time factor−19.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:10: Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +1.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:13: Jake Fromm run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. INT · Q2 7:13: Quinten Dormady pass intercepted J.R. Reed return for 34 yds to the Tenn 26 — UGA win probability +3.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:14: Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +8.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:04: Sony Michel run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:37UGA 4th & 3 at TENN 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:37TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:04UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:26TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:46TENN 4th & 2 at UGA 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:34UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:03TENN 4th & 2 at UGA 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:12UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:10TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:10TENN 4th & 21 at TENN 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−2.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:07UGA 4th & 4 at TENN 41, up 24
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:30UGA 4th & 13 at TENN 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:50TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 44, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:34UGA 4th & 2 at TENN 2, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:25TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 36, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:10UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:13UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:14UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:04UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:00UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.3%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted Tyrique McGhee return for no gain to the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1982% → 81%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
18.3%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
18.3%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
18.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
18.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
18.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Marcus Tatum) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
18.9%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
18.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh Smith, broken up by Tyrique McGheeSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
18.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 6 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+28
18.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 56 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 28 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
19.4%
Jake Fromm sacked by Kendal Vickers for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 39Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+7
19.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
19.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole Hardman, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
19.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
20.3%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 17Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
20.2%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
20.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+18
20.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 18 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:4179% → 80%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
20.6%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
20.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon Wims, broken up by Quart'e SappSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+24
20.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 24 yds Terry Godwin fumbled, forced by Nigel Warrior, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
20.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 14 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
20.4%
D'Andre Swift pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
21.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 5 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
20.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 2:2421% → 21%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.1%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
21.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
21.0%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jeff George for 7 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
21.3%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 10 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
21.6%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
21.5%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
21.3%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Aaron DavisSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 0
0
20.2%
PENALTY UT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UGA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
21.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
21.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (Solomon Kindley) to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+9
21.1%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
20.8%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
21.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon Wims, broken up by Justin MartinSimilar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
21.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
21.0%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
21.3%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
21.1%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
20.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0879% → 79%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
21.2%
Mecole Hardman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
21.4%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Justin Martin return for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
22.4%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-4
22.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Lorenzo CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
21.1%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
21.4%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-6
21.1%
Jake Fromm sacked by Colton Jumper for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
21.8%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
20.7%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-2
20.8%
John Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
20.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
20.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 52 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for no gain to the Geo 13 Mecole Hardman fumbled, recovered by Geo Mecole Hardman GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:3978% → 80%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
21.9%
Nick Chubb run for 14 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
21.5%
Nick Chubb run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
50
+5
20.7%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-2
20.6%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+12
20.9%
Jake Fromm run for 12 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
20.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
20.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+22
20.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 22 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
20.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
20.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Nick ChubbSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
19.6%
Jake Fromm run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
17.5%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted J.R. Reed return for 34 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4680% → 89%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
19.9%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
19.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
19.4%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+6
19.4%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
19.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (Lamont Gaillard) to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
19.4%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
10.6%
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
11.9%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
12.2%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
12.0%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+4
12.5%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
12.9%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
12.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jeff George, broken up by Dominick SandersSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-5
11.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Jashon Robertson) to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 19
OWN 35
-2
11.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 21
OWN 33
+8
11.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 44 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 8 yds to the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
8.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:5393% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.3%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
7.3%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
7.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 3 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
7.2%
Sony Michel run for 17 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
7.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
7.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
7.2%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Tenn 41 D'Andre Swift fumbled, forced by Darrell Taylor, recovered by Geo Lamont GaillardSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
5.5%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
5.9%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
6.0%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+44
5.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 44 yds John Kelly fumbled, forced by Aaron Davis, recovered by Geo J.R. ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
4.9%
Nick Chubb run for 14 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
4.7%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
4.5%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
4.7%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
4.6%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-15
4.7%
Michel, S. rush for 5 yards to the UT31 (Jumper, C.), PENALTY UGA illegal block 15 yards to the UGA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 21
OWN 49
+8
4.8%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
5.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 16
OWN 6
+2
3.7%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+9
3.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ty Chandler for 9 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+15
3.8%
Dormady, Q. pass incomplete to Johnson, B., PENALTY UGA pass interference (McGhee, T.) 15 yards to the UT32, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
3.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Tyrique McGheeSimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
3.8%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
3.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyler Byrd, broken up by Tyrique McGheeSimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
3.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:0498% → 99%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
2.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 19 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
2.4%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
2.3%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
2.3%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
2.3%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+21
0.6%
Sony Michel run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.8%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
0.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jeff GeorgeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.5%
TEAM punt blocked by D'Andre Walker blocked by D'Andre WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+3
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
0.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darrell Taylor) to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) TENNESSEE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+21
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, personal foul (Monty Rice) to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 7 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-1
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 4
OWN 44
-5
0.2%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jonathan Ledbetter for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
0.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+32
0.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 32 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Tenn 3Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Tenn 2Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.1%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
0.2%
David Marvin 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 3 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-8
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Julian Rochester for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+7
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
0.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
0.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:14
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-8.8
INT · Q2 7:13
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted J.R. Reed return for 34 yds to the Tenn 26
-3.7
TD · Q1 6:10
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com