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ALA

Alabama 59 at Vanderbilt 0

VAN
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:04 · Sam Loy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior−18.3Home team on offense−49.2Score differential−34.8Garbage-time factor−13.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:16: Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:32: Damien Harris run for 61 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:42: Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:09: Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:07: Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:50ALA 4th & 14 at VAN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 37, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:55ALA 4th & 1 at VAN 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:50ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 48, up 28
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:01VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 30, down 28
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:18ALA 4th & 4 at VAN 4, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:00VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:20VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 28, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:04VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 41, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:13ALA 4th & 1 at VAN 28, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:45VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:16ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:42ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:09ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:07ALA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:02ALA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:45ALA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:26ALA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:479% → 10%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
8.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyle Shurmur) to the Vandy 15Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
9.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+8
9.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 8 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+18
9.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 3 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Anfernee Jennings) to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
9.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Ronnie Harrison return for 1 yd to the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1290% → 89%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
9.6%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+10
9.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
9.8%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+12
9.9%
Damien Harris run for 12 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
10.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-9
10.2%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Tre Herndon for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+1
10.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
11.0%
JK Scott punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5611% → 12%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
11.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 5
-2
11.3%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Nathan Marcus) to the Vandy 3Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+3
11.4%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
11.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari BlasingameSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+11
11.6%
Sam Loy punt for 52 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 11 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:2589% → 89%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
11.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
11.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
11.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 11 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
11.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 19 yds to the Vandy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
10.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:5611% → 12%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
11.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
11.2%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+7
11.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
11.6%
Kyle Shurmur run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
11.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
11.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Da'Ron Payne) to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
11.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Jared Pinkney) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
11.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
11.5%
Sam Loy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:2688% → 90%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
11.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 9 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+61
9.8%
Damien Harris run for 61 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26 Khari Blasingame fumbled, forced by Anfernee Jennings, recovered by Alab Da'Shawn HandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2890% → 93%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
9.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 14 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
9.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
9.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+5
9.8%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Ridley, Calvin, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Herndon, Tre) 5 yards to the VANDERBILT2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q1 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.8%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.2%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:498% → 8%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
7.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
7.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+5
7.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anfernee Jennings) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
7.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
7.7%
Sam Loy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:3393% → 94%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
7.0%
Damien Harris run for 12 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
7.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 10 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
6.8%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
6.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
6.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Matt Womack) to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+10
6.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 10 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
6.5%
Calvin Ridley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
7.4%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Vandy 29 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Jordan Griffin, recovered by AlabSimilar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
7.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
7.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
7.1%
Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+6
7.0%
Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
7.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nifae Lealao) to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
6.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:305% → 5%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
5.0%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
4.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+6
4.8%
Sam Loy punt for 41 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 6 yds to the Alab 39 Trevon Diggs fumbled, recovered by Alab Derek KiefSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3694% → 94%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
5.8%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
5.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
5.9%
JK Scott punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:435% → 4%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
4.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
4.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 6 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
4.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
4.4%
Sam Loy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:3194% → 96%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
5.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 2 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+16
5.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 16 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
5.5%
Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+5
5.5%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
5.1%
Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
5.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
5.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 12 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
4.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
4.4%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Najee HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
3.7%
Andy Pappanastos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:013% → 2%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
2.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
2.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2997% → 99%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.9%
Damien Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
2.8%
Damien Harris run for 25 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
2.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
2.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
2.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
2.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Bo ScarbroughSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+22
2.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 22 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.2%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
1.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+2
1.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
1.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
1.1%
Sam Loy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
1.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
1.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 8 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
1.1%
Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 3
50
+13
1.1%
Josh Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
1.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 3 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
1.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
1.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 34 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.8%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
0.7%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, broken up by Levi WallaceSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.7%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Donaven Tennyson for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+16
0.6%
Sam Loy punt for 46 yds , Henry Ruggs III returns for 16 yds to the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
0.9%
Najee Harris run for 14 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
0.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Robert Foster for a loss of 5 yards Robert Foster fumbled, forced by Joejuan Williams, recovered by Alab Irv Smith Jr.Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+22
0.7%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 22 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
0.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 27 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Donaven Tennyson for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Nathan MarcusSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 6 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Nathan MarcusSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Sam Loy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 5:3399% → 100%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
0.7%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+9
0.7%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.6%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+24
0.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 24 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
0.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 14 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
0.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
0.5%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+11
0.5%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
0.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 17 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jamauri WakefieldSimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Sam Loy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24END OF GAME
17 plays · 59 yds · 11:38100% → 100%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Ronnie Clark run for no gain to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
0.3%
Ronnie Clark run for 6 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+9
0.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Major Tennison for 9 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
0.2%
Ronnie Clark run for 6 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-5
0.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+12
0.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 12 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
0.2%
Ronnie Clark run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
0.2%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
0.2%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.1%
Ronnie Clark run for 1 yd to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
0.1%
Ronnie Clark run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+19
0.1%
Ronnie Clark run for 19 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:42
Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q1 3:32
Damien Harris run for 61 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q2 9:09
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com