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MASS

Massachusetts 13 at Tennessee 17

TENN
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:23 · Trevor Daniel punt for 54 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+7.5Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential+0.8Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: John Kelly run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:51: Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +11.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:34: Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49 — MASS win probability +11.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:47: John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22 — TENN win probability +11.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:22: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 19 — TENN win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:39MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09TENN 4th & 9 at MASS 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:16TENN 4th & 24 at TENN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:58MASS 4th & 10 at TENN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:41TENN 4th & 8 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:53MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 5, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:32TENN 4th & 5 at MASS 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:46TENN 4th & 14 at TENN 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−2.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:23MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:11MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 27, down 4
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:23TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:04MASS 4th & 16 at TENN 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:58TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−5.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:31MASS 4th & 7 at TENN 45, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−3.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:04TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 46, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−2.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:26MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:33TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:57MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25TENN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:51MASS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.2%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
95.2%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
95.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+1
95.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 56 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 1 yd to the UMass 4 Isaiah Rodgers fumbled, recovered by UMass Isaiah RodgersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
94.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
94.9%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+11
94.9%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Quart'e SappSimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
94.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.2%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
94.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+4
94.3%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
94.3%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
94.3%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 2
50
+2
94.3%
Quinten Dormady run for 2 yds to the UMass 48 Quinten Dormady fumbled, forced by Jesse Monteiro, recovered by UMass Tyler HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
93.4%
Dingle, B. rush for 1 yard to the UMASS49 (Bituli, D.), PENALTY UMASS holding (Palmer, S.) 10 yards to the UMASS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+6
93.5%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis Young, broken up by Elliott BerrySimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, downed at the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:3093% → 92%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
93.2%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+10
93.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 10 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
93.2%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
93.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Smith for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+11
93.3%
John Kelly run for 11 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
93.3%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+9
93.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
93.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 14 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
93.5%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-2
93.5%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
93.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
91.6%
Brent Cimaglia 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:099% → 9%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
91.2%
Andy Isabella run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
91.2%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
90.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 3 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
90.7%
Andrew Ford sacked by Kahlil Mckenzie for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+7
90.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jyvon Brown for 7 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
90.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-6
91.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 29
+12
91.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 12 yds to the Tenn 41 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
90.2%
John Kelly run for 14 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
90.7%
Tyler Byrd run for 15 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
90.9%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-15
90.9%
Dormady, Q. pass complete to Johnson, B. for 11 yards to the UMASS29 (Young, M.), PENALTY UT pass interference (Smith, Jo.) 15 yards to the UT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 24
OWN 45
0
90.3%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John Kelly, broken up by Da'Sean DowneySimilar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 24
OWN 45
0
90.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 24
OWN 45
0
89.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
88.8%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+36
88.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 36 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
87.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+5
88.3%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
87.8%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-4
87.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Alexis Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
88.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4488% → 92%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.6%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
87.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Smith for 5 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
87.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+66
87.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 66 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
91.7%
John Kelly run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:369% → 15%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
90.6%
Marquis Young run for 39 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
89.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jacoby Herring for 14 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
89.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 11 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
89.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jyvon Brown, broken up by Nigel WarriorSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
89.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.2%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Schreiner PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:3288% → 92%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
88.0%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+27
87.8%
John Kelly run for 27 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
88.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
89.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 8 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
89.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jeff George for 6 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+22
89.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 9 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing passer (Da'Sean Downey) to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
88.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Palmer for 6 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-1
88.8%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
92.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
91.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Kendal Vickers and Colton Jumper for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+12
91.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 54 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 12 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.5%
Dormady, Q. pass complete to Wolf, Et. for 2 yards to the UT38 (Monteiro, J.), PENALTY UMASS offside defense 5 yards to the UT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 5
OWN 41
0
91.9%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-2
91.9%
John Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
91.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jeff George, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
91.8%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 8
50
0
91.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 8
50
0
90.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jessie Britt at the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
89.9%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 10Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
90.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-4
90.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Colton Jumper for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 16
OWN 5
0
90.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 35 yds, downed at the UMass 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3191% → 92%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
91.2%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+11
91.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ty Chandler for 11 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
91.4%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
91.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
90.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Ty Chandler, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
91.5%
Aaron Medley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:419% → 22%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
90.5%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.5%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
90.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
50
+8
89.9%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
89.7%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
89.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 21 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
89.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Micah AbernathySimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
89.2%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
77.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0084% → 81%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
83.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Austin Pope for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-3
83.0%
John Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
81.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+7
81.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 7 yds to the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
80.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Elliott Berry for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+4
80.7%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
81.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jacoby Herring, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
82.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1384% → 81%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
83.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 40 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, forced by Jarell Addo, recovered by Tenn Brett KendrickSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+5
82.3%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
81.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
80.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.3%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
78.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
79.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+3
81.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 3 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
81.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+16
80.4%
John Kelly run for 16 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
82.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tyler Byrd, broken up by Ali Ali-MusaSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+3
79.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
78.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+42
76.8%
Andy Isabella run for 42 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
72.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-7
72.3%
Ross Comis sacked by Jonathan Kongbo for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-5
76.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+4
76.4%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
78.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 79%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
81.9%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
81.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Austin Pope, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-4
80.5%
John Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 8Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 13
OWN 8
+8
79.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 8 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0332% → 26%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
67.9%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
69.9%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
70.4%
Ross Comis run for no gain to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
74.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:4386% → 91%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.8%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
85.5%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
86.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.9%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
92.1%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
91.3%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
90.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 39 yds, downed at the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4310% → 8%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-7
90.7%
Ross Comis sacked by Colton Jumper for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 8 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, intentional grounding (Ross Comis) to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+9
91.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 9 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
91.9%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:47
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22
+11.7
TD · Q3 2:51
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
-11.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:34
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com