Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 16 at South Carolina 17

SC
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-3.5SC 75.1%Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 1:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:41 · Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+24.6Home team on offense−1.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:54: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +21.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:06: Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 28 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +19.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q4 4:52: Ty'Son Williams run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +41.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:55: Jonathan Barnes 25 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +44.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:04: Parker White 31 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +62.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:56SC 4th & 8 at LT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:41LT 4th & 2 at SC 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 14 at SC 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:29LT 4th & 5 at SC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:23LT 4th & 3 at SC 35, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48SC 4th & 17 at LT 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:32SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.1%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:06LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:36SC 4th & 3 at SC 44, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:13LT 4th & 4 at LT 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:55LT 4th & 3 at SC 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−27.0
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−40.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 8:54LT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:06SC Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:52SC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:0481% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
80.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 8 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
80.7%
Randrecous Davis run for 1 yd to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
80.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Randrecous Davis for 10 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
80.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 6 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+11
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 11 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
80.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
80.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty'Son WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
80.7%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
79.3%
Parker White 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 7:1521% → 25%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
79.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
78.9%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
78.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 8 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
78.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
78.6%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
78.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
78.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-5
78.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+10
78.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 10 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
78.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
78.4%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
78.4%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
78.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+5
78.5%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+33
75.1%
Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:4175% → 74%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
75.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Randrecous Davis for 13 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
75.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
76.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
75.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
75.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 7 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-11
75.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Russell Farris for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
73.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:5826% → 28%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
73.6%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+37
73.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 37 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
72.5%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
50
+19
72.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 19 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
72.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
72.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
72.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
71.8%
Jonathan Barnes 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
72.6%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
72.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+9
72.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
73.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 14 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
74.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+19
73.2%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Aaron Roberson return for 19 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4333% → 38%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
67.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
67.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for 1 yd to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+6
67.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+52
62.4%
Jonathan Barnes 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:3565% → 61%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Randrecous DavisSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
64.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 9 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
66.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
67.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
66.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
67.4%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+18
67.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 18 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
68.3%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
68.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-7
67.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Amik Robertson for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+46
61.3%
Parker White 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
59.1%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+7
60.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+8
59.7%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0642% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
58.4%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to BONNETTE, R., PENALTY SC pass interference (J. Williams) 15 yards to the LATECH43, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
55.6%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
55.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
56.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
55.1%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+11
54.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
54.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+19
54.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 19 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
54.7%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0040% → 44%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
40.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+23
41.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
43.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
43.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the LaTch 34 Ty'Son Williams fumbled, forced by DaMarion King, recovered by LaTch Deldrick CantySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11INT
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:0067% → 69%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
33.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 12 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
31.1%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
30.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+19
31.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 19 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
30.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 16 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
30.3%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
30.3%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
30.6%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted JaMarcus King return for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 11:2637% → 47%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
37.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+3
36.8%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+14
36.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 14 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
37.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chad Terrell for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
36.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
37.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
26.3%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+12
25.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 12 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
27.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
27.4%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47 A.J. Turner fumbled, forced by Ka'Derrion Mason, recovered by SCaro A.J. TurnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
29.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
28.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Darryl LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
28.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+10
28.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 10 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
47.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 28 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Boston Scott, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
34.5%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Daniel Fennell for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+11
36.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 47 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 Chris Lammons fumbled, forced by Ronald Lewis,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
38.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
41.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
40.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
38.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
28.7%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-5
28.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
30.0%
Jarred Craft run for 8 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-1
28.6%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
30.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:4031% → 73%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
31.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 39 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
72.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17FG
15 plays · 84 yds · 3:5736% → 86%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
63.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by JaMarcus KingSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+17
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 17 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+42
59.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 42 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
54.5%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+14
55.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 14 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
53.1%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+4
52.2%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+2
51.4%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
13.9%
Jonathan Barnes 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:4726% → 94%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
26.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre Smith, broken up by Jordan BaldwinSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
25.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+24
23.9%
Jake Bentley run for 24 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+41
30.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 41 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+31
93.5%
Parker White 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:04
Parker White 31 yd FG GOOD
+62.8
FG · Q4 0:55
Jonathan Barnes 25 yd FG GOOD
-44.1
TD · Q4 4:52
Ty'Son Williams run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+41.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com