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SYR

Syracuse 26 at LSU 35

LSU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:58 · Josh Growden punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+39.3Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:15: Danny Etling pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 43 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK) — LSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:22: Darrel Williams run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK) — LSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:07: Eric Dungey run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:40: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +30.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:52: D.J. Chark run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK) — LSU win probability +11.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:00SYR 4th & 3 at LSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58SYR 4th & 16 at LSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:58LSU 4th & 14 at LSU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:14SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:25LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:01SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 32, up 4
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:31SYR 4th & 17 at LSU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:46LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:19SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:34SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:20LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:12SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 36, down 11
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:16SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:23SYR 4th & 5 at LSU 41, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:36SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 22, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:51LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:15LSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:35LSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:20SYR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:22LSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:07SYR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:40SYR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:52LSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
92.6%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Andraez Williams return for 28 yds to the LSU 47 SYRACUSE Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (Eric Dungey) to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.5%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
21 plays · 52 yds · 6:538% → 8%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+10
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 12 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
92.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
92.5%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
92.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-2
91.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+8
91.9%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+6
92.0%
Devin C. Butler run for 6 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
91.9%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 15
OPP 22
-4
91.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 19
OPP 26
+3
92.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 16
OPP 23
0
92.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Andraez WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+42
91.6%
Cole Murphy 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
91.5%
Danny Etling sacked by Kendall Coleman and Austin Valdez for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
91.3%
Josh Growden punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
91.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
91.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+6
91.1%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-4
91.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
91.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.5%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
90.5%
Danny Etling pass complete to JaCoby Stevens for 5 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+5
90.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DJ Chark (Christopher Fredrick), PENALTY SU pass interference (Christopher Fredrick) 5 yards to the LSU31, 1ST DOWN LSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
90.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete, broken up by Evan FosterSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+6
90.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 6 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
90.4%
Josh Growden punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
50
+7
89.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-8
89.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Rashard Lawrence for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
90.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by John BattleSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
90.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:3889% → 89%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
89.2%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
89.0%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
88.8%
Darrel Williams run for 10 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
89.1%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
89.1%
Danny Etling run for 5 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
89.1%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
89.2%
Derrick Dillon run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-1
89.2%
Derrius Guice run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
88.9%
Josh Growden punt for 31 yds, downed at the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
88.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 11 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. Butler, broken up by Grant DelpitSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
88.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+14
88.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 14 yds to the LSU 38 Dontae Strickland fumbled, forced by John Battle, recovered by Syrac Airon Servais for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
88.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-10
87.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yards to the LSU19 (Andraez Williams;Tyler Taylor), PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the LSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 14
OPP 42
-5
88.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Ravian Pierce) to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+2
88.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 17
OPP 45
0
88.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
89.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, downed at the LSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 1:4587% → 87%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
87.1%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+11
87.1%
Derrius Guice run for 11 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
87.3%
Derrius Guice run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+5
87.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 5 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+13
87.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 13 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.6%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
88.1%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
87.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell GageSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
87.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 17 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
87.1%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
87.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+3
87.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:3086% → 92%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
86.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Drake Davis for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Drake DavisSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
86.7%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
86.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 8 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
87.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
92.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 43 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:419% → 8%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.6%
Devin C. Butler pass complete to Eric Dungey for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
91.2%
Eric Dungey sacked by Tyler Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Grant DelpitSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+5
92.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
92.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
91.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
93.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Drake Davis for 87 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:156% → 11%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
93.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
93.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Greg GilmoreSimilar
Q3 14:35
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+28
94.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 28 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
93.4%
Dontae Strickland rush for loss of 2 yards to the LSU38 (Corey Thompson), PENALTY LSU offside (Arden Key) 5 yards to the LSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 5
OPP 31
0
92.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
92.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+30
88.7%
Devin C. Butler pass complete to Ervin Philips for 30 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
90.4%
Danny Etling sacked by Kayton Samuels for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
90.1%
D.J. Chark run for no gain to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+6
89.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 6 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
89.4%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
89.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+6
89.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
89.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds, downed at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 3:2490% → 97%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
90.2%
Russell Gage run for 11 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
90.3%
Darrel Williams run for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
90.4%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
90.5%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Darrel Williams for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+43
90.4%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Darrel Williams for 43 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.7%
Darrel Williams run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
95.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 13 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
95.6%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+1
95.7%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
95.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 58 yds, downed at the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
95.3%
Parris Bennett SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:166% → 15%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
94.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
93.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 9 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
93.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 2 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
93.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
93.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+8
93.9%
Ervin Philips run for 8 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
92.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 7 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+12
92.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 12 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.3%
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23INT
11 plays · 47 yds · 1:3289% → 89%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.1%
D.J. Chark run for 7 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
89.5%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
89.0%
Myles Brennan run for 5 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.9%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete, broken up by Parris BennettSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
89.0%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+22
88.5%
Myles Brennan pass complete to D.J. Chark for 22 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
89.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Foster Moreau for 7 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
89.8%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
89.2%
Myles Brennan pass intercepted Juwan Dowels return for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 5:0111% → 43%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
89.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 15 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
87.6%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-10
87.8%
Eric Dungey rush for 15 yards to the LSU48, PENALTY SU holding (Evan Adams) 10 yards to the SU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
90.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Devin WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+15
91.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, PENALTY LSU roughing passer (K'Lavon Chaisson) 15 yards to the SU42, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
88.6%
Dontae Strickland rush for 5 yards to the SU47 (Donte Jackson;Eric Monroe), PENALTY LSU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the SU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 5
OWN 47
-2
87.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 8 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
87.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
87.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 10 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
86.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
86.0%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
87.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
57.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:4777% → 97%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
77.1%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+24
77.4%
Darrel Williams run for 24 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.3%
Darrel Williams run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
79.2%
Danny Etling run for 8 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
77.8%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
79.3%
Darrel Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+20
97.0%
D.J. Chark run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:164% → 3%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.5%
Eric Dungey sacked by Corey Thompson and Tyler Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-3
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:40
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-30
TD · Q4 1:52
D.J. Chark run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q3 0:07
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com