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KSU

Kansas State 7 at Vanderbilt 14

VAN
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:49: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 15 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST down — VAN win probability +9.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:00: Alex Barnes run for 14 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down — KSU win probability +11.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:59: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 32 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST down — VAN win probability +10.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:23: Kyle Shurmur run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +24.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:55: Alex Barnes run for 17 yds to the Vandy 29 KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Dalton Risner) to the Vandy 44 — KSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:30VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59KSU 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:10VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53KSU 4th & 1 at VAN 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:27VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:29KSU 4th & 13 at VAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:31VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:41VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:37KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:58VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:15KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:32VAN 4th & 18 at KSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:18KSU 4th & 8 at VAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−12.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:19VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:31KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:17VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:52KSU 4th & 8 at VAN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−2.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:06VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:23VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1440% → 40%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
40.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
40.3%
Sam Loy punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1760% → 59%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
40.3%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
40.5%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 5
50
0
40.6%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 5
50
0
40.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 7:2341% → 48%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
41.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 15 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
41.2%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
41.9%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
42.0%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
41.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
42.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kalija Lipscomb) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+9
42.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+11
42.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
43.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
43.7%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+38
43.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 38 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
44.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the KanSt 2Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5252% → 57%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
47.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
47.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 9 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+27
47.1%
Jesse Ertz run for 27 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
46.8%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
47.3%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+10
48.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 10 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
42.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1445% → 44%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.9%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
45.4%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
44.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Sam DobbsSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
44.1%
Sam Loy punt for 39 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5057% → 55%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
43.4%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
42.8%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 4 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+14
43.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 14 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.5%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
42.6%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-3
43.4%
Jesse Ertz sacked by Charles Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
45.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4646% → 46%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
46.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 14 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 5 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
47.4%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
46.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
45.8%
Sam Loy punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0556% → 56%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
43.6%
Jesse Ertz run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
42.3%
Jesse Ertz run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
42.5%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
44.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:0947% → 46%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
47.3%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
45.9%
Sam Loy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D.J. Reed at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5856% → 53%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
43.8%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
44.4%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
45.9%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+30
46.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the VANDERBILT 35 KANSAS ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0550% → 48%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
50.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
49.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
49.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey EllisSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+5
48.1%
Sam Loy punt for 35 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 5 yds to the KanSt 27 KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Eli Walker) to the KanSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5455% → 54%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
45.1%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+10
45.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 10 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
44.9%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
46.0%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1950% → 47%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
49.9%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-10
49.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bruno Reagan) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 19
OWN 30
+4
48.2%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+5
46.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Reggie Walker) to the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:3154% → 52%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
45.8%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
46.4%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 8 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
46.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
44.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dayton Valentine for 8 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
43.3%
Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
44.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Winston Dimel for 3 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.6%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
44.2%
Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
45.6%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
48.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:1851% → 50%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+36
50.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 36 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
54.8%
Sam Dobbs run for 10 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
55.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-10
55.2%
Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Lipscomb, Kalija, PENALTY VANDERBILT holding (Pfeifer, Ean) 10 yards to the KANSASST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 18
OPP 46
0
53.2%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 18
OPP 46
0
51.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
49.8%
Sam Loy punt for 19 yds, downed at the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:5852% → 53%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
47.7%
Justin Silmon run for 13 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
45.6%
Justin Silmon run for 23 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
44.1%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
44.3%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+11
45.4%
Jesse Ertz run for 11 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
42.1%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-6
42.1%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+3
45.1%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Alex Barnes for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
47.2%
Matthew McCrane 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5153% → 49%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.6%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
54.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-15
51.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Egidio DellaRipa) to the Vandy 16Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+12
49.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 12 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
48.9%
Sam Loy punt for 41 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 8 yds to the KanSt 36 KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Brogan Barry) to the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0253% → 51%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
47.1%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-15
45.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Alex Barnes) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+13
49.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 13 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
48.6%
Jesse Ertz pass intercepted LaDarius Wiley return for 11 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:2958% → 61%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
58.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 15 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
59.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 3 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
60.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+7
58.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 7 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
60.6%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 13 Ralph Webb fumbled, forced by Will Geary, recovered by KanSt Elijah SullivanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:4451% → 50%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
48.9%
Alex Barnes run for 14 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.9%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
49.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Zach ReuterSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
50.5%
Jesse Ertz pass intercepted Ryan White return for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3661% → 86%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
60.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 32 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
61.1%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
61.3%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.7%
Kyle Shurmur run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1422% → 17%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
77.7%
Jesse Ertz sacked by Jonathan Wynn for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
82.4%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
80.9%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
82.8%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 55 yds, downed at the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0386% → 89%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
85.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+6
87.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 6 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.1%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 16Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
88.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 16Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
88.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+29
89.1%
Sam Loy punt for 34 yds , Byron Pringle returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 15 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:0320% → 11%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
80.3%
Alex Barnes run for 17 yds to the Vandy 29 KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Dalton Risner) to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
84.6%
Jesse Ertz run for 1 yd to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-5
84.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+15
87.1%
Jesse Ertz run for 15 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
82.6%
Jesse Ertz run for 12 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
81.0%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-2
81.5%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
86.7%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+7
88.8%
Jesse Ertz run for 7 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2596% → 96%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:23
Kyle Shurmur run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+24.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:00
Alex Barnes run for 14 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down
-11.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:59
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 32 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST down
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com