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UL

Louisiana 21 at Texas A&M 45

TA&M
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:07 · Shane Tripucka punt for 29 yds, downed at the LaLaf 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+44.0Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:15: Ryheem Malone 8 Yd pass from Jordan Davis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +3.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:07: Jordan Wright 1 Yd pass from Jordan Davis (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +8.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:27: Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:23: Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:51: Jordan Davis pass intercepted for a TD Tyrel Dodson return for 40 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:07TA&M 4th & 6 at UL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39UL 4th & 4 at UL 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15UL 4th & 3 at UL 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10UL 4th & 1 at TA&M 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15UL 4th & 4 at UL 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:15TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:30TA&M 4th & 1 at UL 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59UL 4th & 9 at UL 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:02TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:27UL 4th & 8 at UL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:24UL 4th & 7 at UL 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:43TA&M 4th & 8 at UL 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−6.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:09UL 4th & 22 at UL 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:44TA&M 4th & 10 at UL 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:12UL 4th & 3 at UL 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:43TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:10UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:52TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:15UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:27TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:23TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:51TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:41TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:2595% → 95%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
95.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 12 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Tanner Schorp for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
94.9%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+28
94.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Aaron Hansford for 28 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.8%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
94.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Keith Ford for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
94.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
94.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 29 yds, downed at the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:176% → 6%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
94.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 21 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
94.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+12
94.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 1
50
-5
94.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+2
94.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
94.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0294% → 93%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
94.0%
Kendall Bussey run for 13 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.9%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
93.7%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-9
93.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 16 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
93.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:507% → 7%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Chase Rogers for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
93.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
92.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
92.8%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+15
92.6%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Armani Watts return for 15 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:2393% → 94%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-24
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 24 yards to the TexAM 25 Colton Prater fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 34
OWN 25
-2
92.7%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 36
OWN 23
+76
92.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Damion Ratley for 76 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:207% → 7%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
93.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
93.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 48 yds, downed at the TexAM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0593% → 93%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
93.3%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 1Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+2
93.2%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+4
93.0%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Tracy Walker return for 4 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:388% → 10%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
92.4%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
92.4%
Jordan Davis run for no gain to the TexAM 3Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
92.4%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the TexAM 3Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
90.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
93.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 24 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
92.7%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Chase RogersSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
92.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+6
92.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 6 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 38 yds , Christian Kirk returns for no gain to the TexAM 37 Christian Kirk fumbled, recovered by LaLaf DJ MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:518% → 12%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
91.8%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 2
OPP 29
-3
91.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+19
91.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 19 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
91.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+8
90.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 8 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
87.6%
Ryheem Malone 8 Yd pass from Jordan Davis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4990% → 89%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
89.4%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
89.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3512% → 13%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.6%
Jordan Davis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
87.2%
Jordan Davis sacked by Deshawn Capers-Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 17 Jordan Davis fumbled, recovered by TexAM Landis Durham , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4990% → 89%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
89.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Tanner Schorp for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
89.7%
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
89.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-8
88.8%
Shane Tripucka run for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1713% → 14%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
86.6%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 5 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+20
86.3%
Trey Ragas run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
85.1%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Jordan Davis run for no gain to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
85.2%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
86.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4687% → 86%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
87.2%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
87.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-2
86.9%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
86.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 2:5015% → 30%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
85.1%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
84.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
84.4%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
83.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
82.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
82.4%
Trey Ragas run for 16 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.3%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
81.3%
Jordan Davis run for 13 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
80.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 32 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+19
80.5%
Darius Hoggins pass complete to Jordan Davis for 19 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
78.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 12 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.9%
Jordan Wright 1 Yd pass from Jordan Davis (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:0928% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
72.8%
Trey Ragas run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
69.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Chase Rogers for a loss of 1 yard Chase Rogers fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+14
70.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 14 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.3%
Jordan Davis run for no gain to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
67.6%
Ryheem Malone run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
67.8%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Armani Watts return for no gain to the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:1271% → 84%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
70.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 11 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+22
70.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 22 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
73.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
72.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 9 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
73.2%
Kendall Bussey run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
73.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
72.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
83.9%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5621% → 20%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.9%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
79.2%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
80.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5881% → 91%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
80.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 15 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
81.6%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
81.6%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+10
80.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Damion Ratley for 10 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
82.0%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 13
50
+16
80.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
82.2%
Kendall Bussey run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
82.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5014% → 13%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
84.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
85.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
86.5%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:3289% → 91%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
88.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 13 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
89.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
89.7%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
89.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Keith Ford for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+12
89.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Keith Ford for 12 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
90.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
90.4%
Jacob Kibodi run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
90.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
91.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
90.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
90.7%
Daniel LaCamera 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:299% → 4%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
90.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+11
90.8%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
96.3%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted for a TD Tyrel Dodson return for 40 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:303% → 3%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
96.6%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-8
97.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Darius Hoggins for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
97.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:1498% → 98%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 18 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-5
97.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
97.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-13
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the LaLaf 46 Erik McCoy fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 23
OPP 46
+13
97.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Clyde Chriss for 13 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
97.7%
Daniel LaCamera 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:053% → 3%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+37
97.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 37 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
96.8%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
96.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+4
97.2%
Jordan Davis sacked by Anthony Hines III for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 39 Jordan Davis fumbled, recovered by TexAM Deshawn Capers-Smith , return for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:4998% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
98.0%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 33 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+67
99.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 67 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.5%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+24
99.5%
Sam Geraci punt for 44 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 24 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.6%
Kwame Etwi run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-5
99.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.6%
Kwame Etwi run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+17
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:27
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q2 0:07
Jordan Wright 1 Yd pass from Jordan Davis (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-8.9
TD · Q3 6:23
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com