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2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Kent 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense−14.8Pregame prior+4.3Score differential−7.3Garbage-time factor−6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:37: Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +7.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 5:25: Austin MacGinnis 27 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +7.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:59: Austin MacGinnis 44 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +6.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:26: Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +16.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:15: Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 02:15 — UK win probability +8.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:44SC 4th & 5 at UK 34, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09UK 4th & 4 at UK 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27SC 4th & 3 at SC 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 1 at SC 27, down 1
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:00SC 4th & 8 at UK 36, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48UK 4th & 1 at UK 28, up 8
    Close callPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UK 4th & 20 at UK 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:53SC 4th & 1 at UK 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.3%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:25UK 4th & 8 at SC 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00SC 4th & 1 at UK 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−3.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−12.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:26UK 4th & 10 at UK 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−5.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:22SC 4th & 1 at UK 24, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%−2.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−8.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:59UK 4th & 1 at SC 26, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−2.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−9.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:26SC 4th & 6 at UK 9, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:07UK 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−7.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:47SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:05UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:37UK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:26SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
67.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 68 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
67.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
67.5%
Stephen Johnson pass intercepted Skai Moore return for 17 yds to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2868% → 68%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
67.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
67.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
67.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to K.C. CrosbySimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+7
67.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 7 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+52
67.9%
Parker White 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
67.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
67.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
50
-9
67.5%
Team run for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 38 Team fumbled, recovered by SCaro Jamyest WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
68.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Denzil WareSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
68.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
68.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Chris WestrySimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+1
68.1%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Mike Edwards return for 1 yd to the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
67.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+4
67.8%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
67.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
67.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 8 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Matt Panton punt for 54 yds, downed at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
68.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
68.4%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
68.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3332% → 37%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
67.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
68.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-3
67.8%
Sihiem King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
68.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 18 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
67.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
67.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+14
67.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 14 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
67.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 9 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
68.0%
Benny Snell Jr. pass incomplete to Stephen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
68.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Greg Hart for 3 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
68.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0565% → 64%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
65.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
65.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+2
64.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
64.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:3237% → 49%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
63.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 6 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
62.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Kayaune Ross, broken up by JaMarcus KingSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+18
63.0%
Sihiem King run for 18 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
62.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
62.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 8 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
62.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
61.9%
Stephen Johnson run for no gain to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
62.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 20 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
60.0%
Benny Snell rush for 1 yard to the SC0, clock 09:31, PENALTY UK false start (Landon Young) 4 yards to the SC5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
58.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:3752% → 48%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
52.1%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
52.7%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
52.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
52.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. Turner, broken up by Matt ElamSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 15
OWN 23
-5
52.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+19
52.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 19 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
53.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
53.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 22 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
55.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-1
56.0%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-3
54.9%
Jake Bentley sacked by Joshua Paschal and Denzil Ware for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
47.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0453% → 55%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
46.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
46.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
46.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+4
46.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
45.3%
Matt Panton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:4144% → 47%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
44.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 14 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
46.6%
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
47.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 8 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
48.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-5
47.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+54
47.4%
Parker White 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
42.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 6 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
42.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
41.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 39 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 27
0
45.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Stephen Johnson) to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 27
+2
45.7%
Matt Panton punt for 43 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 2 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-12
42.2%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Bryson Allen-Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
43.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
45.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 2
50
+1
47.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Kent 49Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
46.7%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Kent 49Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
45.1%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Kent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:2962% → 69%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
38.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
37.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
38.2%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 4 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
37.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
37.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Kayaune RossSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+17
38.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 17 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
37.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
37.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
37.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
37.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-5
37.2%
Benny Snell rush for no gain to the SC4 (Chris Lammons), PENALTY UK illegal formation 5 yards to the SC9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
37.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
37.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
30.8%
Austin MacGinnis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:2532% → 27%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
31.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
32.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+9
31.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
33.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
34.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
34.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chad Terrell for 5 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
36.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
36.4%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
36.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 3 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+8
34.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 8 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
36.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to K.C. CrosbySimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
36.4%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
28.6%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.8%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
24.5%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kent 2 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Logan Stenberg) to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
24.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
25.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+12
26.0%
Matt Panton punt for 44 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 12 yds to the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5328% → 23%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
27.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Randrecous Davis for 9 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
28.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Courtney LoveSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
26.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
23.0%
Alexander Woznick 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:2379% → 94%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
20.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, PENALTY SC pass interference (JaMarcus King) 15 yards to the UK43, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
19.0%
Stephen Johnson run for 22 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
18.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
18.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
13.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+44
6.5%
Austin MacGinnis 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:3310% → 28%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
9.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 25 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
11.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+30
11.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 30 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
13.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty'Son WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
13.3%
Jake Bentley run for no gain to the Kent 13Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+4
11.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 4 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+9
27.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1979% → 95%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+12
21.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 12 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
20.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
19.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+54
20.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 54 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
16.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
16.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
8.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
5.4%
Austin MacGinnis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
5.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+3
5.0%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Derrick Baity return for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
4.0%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 13
OWN 43
-2
4.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:26
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+16
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:15
Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 02:15
-8.6
TD · Q2 8:37
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com