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PUR

Purdue 35 at Missouri 3

MIZ
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:22 · Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense−50.9Score differential−37.1Pregame prior+3.7Garbage-time factor−17.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:57: David Blough run for 5 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +2.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:41: Tario Fuller run for 36 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +5.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:51: Richie Worship run for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +15.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:00: David Blough pass incomplete to Tario Fuller — PUR win probability +6.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:22: Tario Fuller run for 10 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down — PUR win probability +5.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:49MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:51MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:00PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:55PUR 4th & 16 at MIZ 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:55MIZ 4th & 20 at MIZ 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:27MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30PUR 4th & 1 at MIZ 1, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:30MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:09PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 27, up 32
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:24MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:15PUR 4th & 1 at MIZ 45, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:03PUR 4th & 13 at MIZ 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:22PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 41, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:48MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:41PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 31, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:05PUR 4th & 1 at MIZ 45, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:57PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:41PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:51PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:20PUR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:30PUR Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0330% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.6%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
69.6%
David Blough pass complete to Tario Fuller for 9 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.6%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
69.6%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 21 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
69.6%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+9
69.6%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
69.6%
Terry Wright run for 16 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
69.6%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 12 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
69.6%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.7%
David Blough run for 5 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
67.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 6 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
67.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 3 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
67.3%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
67.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:4934% → 40%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
66.3%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-1
66.3%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+17
66.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 17 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
66.1%
D.J. Knox run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line D.J. Knox fumbled, forced by Thomas Wilson, recovered by Prdue Gregory Phillips , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
50
0
65.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
50
-5
65.7%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 15
OWN 45
-6
66.1%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 4 yards to the PUR49, PENALTY PUR unsportsmanlike conduct declined, PENALTY PUR holding (Grant Hermanns) 6 yards to the PUR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+25
66.1%
David Blough pass complete to Tario Fuller for 25 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
60.3%
Tario Fuller run for 36 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
61.7%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
61.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 10 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
61.8%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
61.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
61.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
61.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 65 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 6:5941% → 62%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
59.2%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+7
59.2%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 7 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+21
59.4%
Gregory Phillips run for 21 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
58.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
58.5%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+21
58.6%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 21 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
54.0%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
53.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
53.9%
David Blough run for 7 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
53.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 5 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
53.9%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
53.9%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 6 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.1%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.6%
Drew Lock run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
41.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
42.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 2 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
42.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
42.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
42.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
36.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Tario FullerSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
36.2%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-10
37.1%
David Blough sacked by Cale Garrett for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 20
OWN 9
0
37.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 44 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for no gain to the Misso 35 Richaud Floyd fumbled, recovered by Prdue Malcolm Dotson MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2768% → 68%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
32.1%
Tario Fuller run for 10 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
31.8%
Tario Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-6
32.2%
David Blough sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+1
32.7%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 1 yd to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+48
31.9%
J.D. Dellinger 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
33.9%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
34.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-5
33.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 16
OWN 25
-7
33.3%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 23
OWN 18
-5
33.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 28
OWN 13
+8
33.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 8 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 20
OWN 21
0
33.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
33.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 52 yds, downed at the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 3:3569% → 73%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+54
30.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 54 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
29.4%
Tario Fuller run for 14 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
29.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
29.4%
Richie Worship run for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5324% → 22%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
23.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
22.3%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
21.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:0081% → 82%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
19.2%
Tario Fuller run for 8 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+9
19.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 9 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
18.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 17 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
18.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Thomas Wilson return for 16 yds to the Misso 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:2816% → 9%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
16.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 22 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
11.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 17 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
11.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason, broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+29
9.0%
Tucker McCann 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-16
9.1%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Moore, J'Mon for 10 yards to the MU41 (Markus Bailey;Thieneman, J.), PENALTY MU pass interference 16 yards to the MU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+22
7.7%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Markus Bailey return for 22 yds to the Misso 37 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5491% → 93%
Q3 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
9.1%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.3%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.7%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.1%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 1 yd for a TD MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
6.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
6.8%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Moore, J'Mon, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Josh Okonye) 14 yards to the MU42, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
7.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
7.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
6.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 54 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
5.2%
Tario Fuller run for 9 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+7
5.2%
Tario Fuller run for 7 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
5.0%
Jackson Anthrop run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
5.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+6
5.1%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 63 yds, downed at the Misso 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
3.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
3.7%
Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
3.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-3
3.6%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
3.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
3.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19MISSED FG
13 plays · 35 yds · 7:1297% → 99%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
3.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
3.1%
Lankford-Johnso rush for loss of 1 yard to the PUR40 (Garrett, Cale), PENALTY MU offside (Frazier, Marcel) 5 yards to the PUR46, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
3.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
3.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+8
3.0%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 8 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+6
3.5%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
3.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
3.0%
David Blough pass complete to Corey Holmes for 7 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
2.9%
Jared Sparks run for 4 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
2.9%
Jared Sparks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 13
OPP 30
-6
3.0%
David Blough sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 36 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 19
OPP 36
+6
3.0%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 6 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
1.2%
Spencer Evans 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:031% → 1%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
0.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-1
0.8%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
0.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+48
0.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 48 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
0.9%
Tario Fuller run for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
0.9%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
0.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.9%
Tario Fuller run for no gain to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
0.9%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
0.6%
David Blough run for 11 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
0.5%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
0.5%
Tario Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
0.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Tario FullerSimilar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
0.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
0.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.3%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-4
0.3%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.3%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24INT
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
0.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 17 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
0.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 29 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
0.1%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
0.1%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+34
0.1%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Kamal Hardy return for 34 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
0.2%
Jared Sparks run for 12 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
0.2%
Jared Sparks run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
0.2%
Jared Sparks run for 3 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
0.2%
Jared Sparks run for 4 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
0.2%
Richie Worship run for no gain to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+13
0.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
0.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:51
Richie Worship run for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)
-15.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 10:00
David Blough pass incomplete to Tario Fuller
-6
TD · Q1 5:41
Tario Fuller run for 36 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com