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SAM

Samford 14 at Georgia 42

UGA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Justin Curry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:45: Nick Chubb run for 32 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:32: Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 51 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:49: Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 9 yds for a TD, (Jordan Weaver KICK) — SAM win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SAM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:19: Nick Chubb 14 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:33: Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SAM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:46UGA 4th & 1 at SAM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34SAM 4th & 8 at SAM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:16SAM 4th & 1 at SAM 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55SAM 4th & 5 at SAM 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:04UGA 4th & 4 at SAM 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:06SAM 4th & 3 at SAM 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:45SAM 4th & 18 at UGA 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:40SAM 4th & 1 at SAM 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:10SAM 4th & 17 at SAM 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:14UGA 4th & 1 at SAM 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:34UGA 4th & 9 at SAM 33, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SAM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:48UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:45UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:32UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49SAM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:19UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:33UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:27UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:49SAM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:5999% → 98%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
98.6%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+10
98.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 10 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
98.4%
Jake Fromm run for 1 yd to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.4%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 7
50
+1
98.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Samf 49Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
98.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 5 yds to the Samf 44Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Samf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.1%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to TaDarryl MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Jai'Rus CreamerSimilar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
98.0%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 2 yds to the Samf 46Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
98.0%
Austin Barnard punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:3498% → 98%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+20
97.9%
Nick Chubb run for 20 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
97.9%
Nick Chubb run for 20 yds to the Samf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
97.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 13 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
97.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds to the Samf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
97.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Samf 16Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
97.6%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Samf 12Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
97.5%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Samf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.5%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Samf 5Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 5 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:122% → 3%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 4 yds to the Samf 29Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.6%
Devlin Hodges run for 2 yds to the Samf 31Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Chris Shelling for 3 yds to the Samf 34Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Austin Barnard punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:2098% → 98%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+47
97.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 47 yds to the Samf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for 32 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:432% → 2%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Chris ShellingSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Chris Shelling for 5 yds to the Samf 30Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Ray Ray SmithSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Austin Barnard punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3698% → 98%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.9%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
97.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
97.9%
Brian Herrien run for 10 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
97.9%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Samf 46Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
97.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Samf 46Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
97.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kelvin McKnight at the Samf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:462% → 3%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
97.6%
Devlin Hodges run for 4 yds to the Samf 14Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
97.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Moise Satine for 3 yds to the Samf 17Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
97.5%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Jai'Rus CreamerSimilar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+8
97.5%
Austin Barnard punt for 45 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 8 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1698% → 99%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
97.8%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the Samf 46Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-5
97.7%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+51
98.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 51 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:231% → 3%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Montrell Washington run for 5 yds to the Samf 30Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+29
98.5%
Moise Satine run for 14 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominick Sanders) to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.4%
Moise Satine run for 6 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-3
98.3%
Moise Satine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+12
98.5%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Andrew Harris for 12 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
98.2%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Chris Shelling for 9 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
98.2%
Roland Adams run for no gain to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.2%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 6 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+7
98.3%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Roland Adams for 7 yds to the Geo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
98.2%
SAMFORD Penalty, False Start (Mike Williams) to the Geo 9Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.8%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 9 yds for a TD, (Jordan Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3697% → 97%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
97.1%
Jake Fromm run for 1 yd to the Geo 25 Jake Fromm fumbled, forced by Deion Pierre, recovered by Samf Jack GarrardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:084% → 3%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.5%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Chris ShellingSimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
96.5%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Andrew Harris for 14 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.4%
Treyvon Paulk run for no gain to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-8
96.3%
Devlin Hodges sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 18
OPP 19
0
96.6%
Devlin Hodges pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 18
OPP 19
+37
96.7%
Jordan Weaver 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by J.R. ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5997% → 97%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.9%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
96.9%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 27Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+57
96.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 57 yds , Kelvin McKnight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:003% → 4%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
96.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 8 yds to the Samf 23Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+12
96.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 12 yds to the Samf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Davin Bellamy) to the Samf 40Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+9
96.1%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Jai'Rus Creamer for 9 yds to the Samf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
96.2%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 7 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-18
96.1%
Devlin Hodges sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the GEORGIA 47 SAMFORD Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Devlin Hodges) to the Samf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:353% → 4%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Moise Satine for 9 yds to the Samf 34Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.3%
Moise Satine run for 2 yds to the Samf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
96.4%
Moise Satine run for a loss of 9 yards to the Samf 27 Moise Satine fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Geo John AtkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:2697% → 99%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
96.9%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Samf 20Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
96.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Samf 17Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
96.7%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Samf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.9%
Nick Chubb 14 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:392% → 1%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.5%
SAMFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Coutrell Plair) to the Samf 13Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+10
98.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 10 yds to the Samf 23Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to TaDarryl MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
98.6%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Andrew Harris for 14 yds to the Samf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.5%
Roland Adams run for 6 yds to the Samf 43Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
98.5%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Chris Shelling for 3 yds to the Samf 46Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Devlin Hodges run for no gain to the Samf 46Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Treyvon Paulk run for no gain to the Samf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0799% → 100%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Samf 41Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+32
98.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 32 yds to the Samf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Andrew Harris for 2 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
99.8%
Devlin Hodges sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the Samf 18Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Devlin Hodges pass incomplete to Kelvin McKnightSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Austin Barnard punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:28100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the Samf 42Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Samf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Samf 14Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Samf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Samf 11 D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 3 yards to the Samf 11Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds for a TD, (David Marvin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Moise Satine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Samf 21Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 5 yds to the Samf 26Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+25
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Jai'Rus Creamer for 25 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Jai'Rus Creamer for 23 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Andrew Harris for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Devlin Hodges pass complete to Kelvin McKnight for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 8:41100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 3 yds to the Samf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 4 yds to the Samf 43Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Samf 38Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey run for no gain to the Samf 38Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 2 yds to the Samf 32Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-1
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 33Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for no gain to the Samf 33Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
100.0%
Justin Curry run for 6 yds to the Samf 39Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Justin Curry run for 6 yds to the Samf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
100.0%
Justin Curry run for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Justin Curry run for 5 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Justin Curry run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
Justin Curry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:19
Nick Chubb 14 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q2 5:49
Devlin Hodges pass complete to TaDarryl Marshall for 9 yds for a TD, (Jordan Weaver KICK)
-1.4
TD · Q2 10:32
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 51 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com