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NICH

Nicholls 14 at Texas A&M 24

TA&M
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:49 · Tyler St. Germain punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+46.4Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:39: Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 27 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — NICH win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:47: Lorran Fonseca 34 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:05: Chase Fourcade pass complete to Stephen LeBouef for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase Fourcade pass to Mason Roberts for Two-Point Conversion) — NICH win probability +23.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:05: Lorran Fonseca kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — TA&M win probability +6.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:34: Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) NICHOLLS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — TA&M win probability +11.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 9 of 9NICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:39NICH 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49NICH 4th & 7 at NICH 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:45TA&M 4th & 1 at NICH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NICH 4th & 3 at TA&M 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:10NICH 4th & 3 at TA&M 20, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:10TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:17NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:45TA&M 4th & 11 at NICH 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:47NICH 4th & 5 at TA&M 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:47TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00NICH 4th & 16 at NICH 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:38TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 8, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:44TA&M 4th & 28 at TA&M 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:07NICH 4th & 11 at TA&M 38, down 8
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:41TA&M 4th & 15 at NICH 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:34NICH 4th & 5 at NICH 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:18TA&M 4th & 8 at NICH 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NICH made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:39TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:58TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:05NICH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:34TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:2199% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 6 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
98.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
98.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
98.9%
Christian Kirk run for 28 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
98.9%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the NicSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
98.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+4
98.9%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 27 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.6%
Chase Fourcade run for 7 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
98.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jarrell Rogers for 11 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Dontrell Taylor run for no gain to the NicSt 43Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
98.6%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 38Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+10
98.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jarrell Rogers for 10 yds to the NicSt 48Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+2
98.6%
Dontrell Taylor run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 3
50
0
98.6%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
98.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Damion Ratley for 13 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
98.4%
T. Williams rush for 17 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds (Veron, Evan), PENALTY TAMU holding (K. Sutherland) 10 yards to the TAMU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+10
98.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 10 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
98.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+5
98.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 28 , Joel Dullary returns for 5 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
98.3%
Dontrell Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the NicSt 23Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+8
98.3%
Kyran Irvin run for 8 yds to the NicSt 31 NICHOLLS ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:4798% → 98%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for no gain to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+23
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Clyde Chriss for 23 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Aaron Hansford for 4 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 2 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
98.2%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 0
+15
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Clyde Chriss, PENALTY NICH pass interference (Smith, Jay Jay) 15 yards to the NICH32, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY, PENALTY NICH unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the NICH17, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 17 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) NICHOLLS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 4:482% → 2%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Kyran Irvin run for 6 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
98.2%
Kyran Irvin run for 4 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
98.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 19 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.2%
Kyran Irvin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
98.1%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Christian Booker for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
98.1%
Kyran Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+12
98.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Mason Roberts for 12 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.9%
Kyran Irvin run for 5 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+2
97.9%
Kyran Irvin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
97.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Christian BookerSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
97.6%
Lorran Fonseca 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete, broken up by Joel DullarySimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-3
97.7%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-3
97.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Terrell Encalade for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 16
OWN 17
+5
97.6%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+9
97.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 35 , Joel Dullary returns for 9 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Kyran Irvin run for no gain to the NicSt 35Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Jarrell RogersSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.7%
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.5%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
97.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Keith Ford for 12 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.6%
Keith Ford run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
50
-1
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
97.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers, PENALTY NICH pass interference (Boutte, Chris) 7 yards to the NICH44, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers, broken up by Christian BoutteSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
97.6%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 45 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
97.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Keith FordSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
97.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 37 yds, downed at the NicSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:163% → 5%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
97.3%
Kyran Irvin run for 1 yd to the NicSt 9Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
97.3%
Chase Fourcade run for no gain to the NicSt 9Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+21
97.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jarrell Rogers for 21 yds to the NicSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
97.2%
Chase Fourcade run for a loss of 5 yards to the NicSt 25Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+20
97.3%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 20 yds to the NicSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.1%
Kyran Irvin run for 9 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
96.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
96.9%
Kyran Irvin run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+23
97.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 23 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
96.8%
Mason Boudreaux run for 3 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-4
96.8%
Chase Fourcade run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21 Chase Fourcade fumbled, recovered by NicSt Kyran IrvinSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+4
96.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jarrell Rogers for 4 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
95.4%
Lorran Fonseca 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Joel Dullary at the NicSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
95.3%
Chase Fourcade sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 6 yards to the NicSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+36
95.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 36 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
94.7%
Jarrell Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
94.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-5
95.1%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, delay of game (Chase Fourcade) to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
95.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
95.1%
Keith Ford run for 9 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-11
95.2%
Kellen Mond sacked by Darryl Adams Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
94.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 12
OWN 8
+6
94.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 61 yds , Joel Dullary returns for 6 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
94.2%
Chase Fourcade run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+2
93.6%
Kyran Irvin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
93.6%
Fourcade, Chase pass incomplete to Booker, Chris, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Debione Renfro) 10 yards to the TAMU38, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
93.6%
Kyran Irvin run for 10 yds to the TexAM 24 Kyran Irvin fumbled, forced by Armani Watts, recovered by TexAM Debione RenfroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
94.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
94.5%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 12 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
94.9%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 8 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
94.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
95.1%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Damion Ratley for 42 yards to the NICH6, out-of-bounds (Martin, Ahmani), PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Christian Kirk) 15 yards to the TAMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 25
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Keith FordSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 25
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Christian BoutteSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 25
OWN 37
-3
94.3%
Jake Hubenak sacked by Evan Veron and Sully Laiche for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 28
OWN 34
0
93.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Joel Dullary at the NicSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+45
93.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 45 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.3%
Kyran Irvin run for no gain to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
92.3%
Chase Fourcade sacked by Tyrel Dodson for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
92.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
93.5%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:4494% → 93%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
94.2%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Clyde Chriss for 7 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+9
94.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
94.4%
Jake Hubenak run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
94.5%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+6
94.4%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
94.9%
Jake Hubenak run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
94.8%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
50
+7
94.7%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+11
95.0%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 11 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-8
94.6%
Jake Hubenak sacked by Kenny Dotson for a loss of 8 yards to the NicSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+2
93.8%
Jake Hubenak run for 2 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+52
92.8%
Daniel LaCamera 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 19TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:368% → 34%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
92.1%
Kyran Irvin run for 6 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+54
91.3%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 54 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
89.8%
Kyran Irvin run for 1 yd to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.3%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Stephen LeBouef for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase Fourcade pass to Mason Roberts for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3176% → 93%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
76.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
76.3%
Jake Hubenak run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
78.7%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Aaron Hansford for 7 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
79.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 41 yds to the TEXASAM 12 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Damion Ratley) to the NicSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
80.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 20Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
80.6%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the NicSt 20Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+9
79.3%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Clyde Chriss for 9 yds to the NicSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
80.6%
Jake Hubenak run for 5 yds to the NicSt 6Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
80.6%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the NicSt 2Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
92.5%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) NICHOLLS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Chase Fourcade run for 5 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr., broken up by Myles JonesSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FG
18 plays · 64 yds · 6:1392% → 96%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
92.2%
Jake Hubenak run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
92.0%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Tanner Schorp for 8 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+3
91.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.9%
Jake Hubenak run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
92.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+8
92.4%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
50
+3
93.2%
Kendall Bussey run for 3 yds to the NicSt 47Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
95.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 11 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
95.7%
Kendall Bussey run for 5 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
96.7%
Kendall Bussey run for 3 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+20
96.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 20 yds to the NicSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
96.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 6Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
96.6%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 8Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.4%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Jay Jay SmithSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
96.4%
Daniel LaCamera 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
97.1%
Chase Fourcade pass intercepted Tyrel Dodson return for 1 yd to the NicSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:05
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Stephen LeBouef for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase Fourcade pass to Mason Roberts for Two-Point Conversion)
-23.5
TD · Q4 7:34
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) NICHOLLS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
+11.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:05
Lorran Fonseca kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com