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INST

Indiana State 7 at Tennessee 42

TENN
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:14 · Thomas Bouldin punt for 52 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 10 yds to the Tenn 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+26.8Score differential+24.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:03: Carlin Fils-aime run for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:48: Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob Pugh — INST win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:07: Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 23 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK) — INST win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:12: Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 37 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4INST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:45INST 4th & 15 at INST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11TENN 4th & 5 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46INST 4th & 5 at INST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:36INST 4th & 13 at INST 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:20TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:40INST 4th & 3 at TENN 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:20INST 4th & 3 at INST 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:56TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:41INST 4th & 7 at INST 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:14INST 4th & 4 at INST 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:56INST 4th & 1 at INST 13, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:08INST 4th & 1 at TENN 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:23INST 4th & 12 at TENN 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:29TENN 4th & 13 at INST 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:11INST 4th & 18 at INST 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:46TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:49TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:03TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:53TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:07INST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:12TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:56TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
INSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob PughSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Rontrez Morgan run for no gain to the IndSt 25Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonathan Kongbo) to the IndSt 30Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Dante Jones for no gain to the IndSt 30Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 25 yds, downed at the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
98.7%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the IndSt 47Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-3
98.7%
John Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 5
50
0
98.6%
Trevor Daniel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Taylor at the IndSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:171% → 2%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
98.6%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Lemonte Booker for 10 yds to the IndSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.5%
Lemonte Booker run for 2 yds to the IndSt 22Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
98.5%
Sparks, Cade pass complete to McClendon, Jacquet for 14 yards to the INDIANAST36, PENALTY INDIANAST ineligible downfield on pass (Byrne, Matt) 5 yards to the INDIANAST17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
98.4%
Bob Pugh run for 5 yds to the IndSt 22Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
98.4%
Rontrez Morgan run for 3 yds to the IndSt 25Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 52 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:4598% → 98%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 4 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
98.3%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+8
98.2%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
98.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Palmer for 18 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
98.2%
Dormady, Quinten pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY TENNESSEE face mask (Chandler, Ty) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 25
OWN 38
+11
98.2%
John Kelly run for 11 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+7
98.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 7 yds to the IndSt 44Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+17
98.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Eli Wolf for 17 yds to the IndSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
98.1%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the IndSt 24Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+13
98.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jakob Johnson for 13 yds to the IndSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
98.0%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 7 yds to the IndSt 4Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:052% → 2%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.3%
Lemonte Booker run for 13 yds to the IndSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.2%
Jacquet McClendon run for 2 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
98.2%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 2 yds to the IndSt 42Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
98.2%
INDIANA ST Penalty, False Start (Matt Byrne) to the IndSt 37Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-2
98.2%
Lemonte Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 35Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+1
98.1%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 54 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 36 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (D.J. Henderson) to the Tenn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0398% → 98%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
98.2%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+1
98.2%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+7
98.1%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jeff GeorgeSimilar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+8
98.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 55 yds , Dimitri Taylor returns for 8 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:152% → 2%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Jaquan Keys run for 5 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
97.9%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 5 yds to the IndSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Cade Sparks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
97.9%
Lemonte Booker run for 13 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Jacquet McClendonSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
97.8%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Jacquet McClendonSimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
97.7%
Cade Sparks run for 7 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Jacquet McClendonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2698% → 99%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
98.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to John Kelly for 18 yds to the IndSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.0%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the IndSt 39Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
98.0%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the IndSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.1%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:331% → 2%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.7%
Jaquan Keys run for 8 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob PughSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
98.3%
Jaquan Keys run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 32Similar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 58 yds, downed at the Tenn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
99.0%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 14 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.0%
Quinten Dormady run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 22 Quinten Dormady fumbled, recovered by Tenn Quinten DormadySimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
99.0%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
99.0%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 14 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 59 yds, downed at the IndSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:041% → 1%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
98.8%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 10 yds to the IndSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.1%
Lemonte Booker run for 9 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+5
98.9%
Lemonte Booker run for 5 yds to the IndSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the IndSt 38Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-4
98.9%
Cade Sparks run for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 34Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Cade Sparks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+36
99.1%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 38 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 36 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:3399% → 100%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 13 yds to the IndSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 4 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
99.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jeff GeorgeSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
Lemonte Booker run for 9 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.7%
Bob Pugh run for 9 yds to the IndSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.7%
Bob Pugh run for 6 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
99.6%
Bob Pugh run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:342% → 0%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob PughSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.6%
Lemonte Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 16Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+7
99.7%
Jaquan Keys run for 7 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+10
99.7%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 52 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 10 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-9
99.7%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Rex Mosley for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 33 Quinten Dormady fumbled, forced by Rex Mosley, recovered by IndSt Rex Mosley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:380% → 2%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
Lemonte Booker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
99.7%
Lemonte Booker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
99.7%
Jaquan Keys run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+23
98.5%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 23 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0199% → 99%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.0%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.0%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the IndSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.0%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the IndSt 41Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+17
98.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jeff George for 17 yds to the IndSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.0%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+5
99.0%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the IndSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.0%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the IndSt 9Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
98.9%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted Rondell Green return for 4 yds to the IndSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.8%
Lemonte Booker run for 2 yds to the IndSt 6Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+7
98.8%
Jaquan Keys run for 7 yds to the IndSt 13Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Jaquan Keys run for no gain to the IndSt 13Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 37 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.1%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+17
99.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 17 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
99.1%
John Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 37Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 37 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 21MISSED FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 4:430% → 0%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Sparks, Cade pass incomplete to Pugh, Bob, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Osborne, Marquill) 12 yards to the INDIANAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANAST.Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Lemonte Booker run for 3 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jaquan Keys for 13 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Lemonte Booker run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Jaquan Keys run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Bob Pugh run for 1 yd to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Lemonte Booker run for 9 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Jaquan Keys run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob PughSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Lemonte Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
99.9%
Jerry Nunez 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY INDIANAST pass interference (Harker, Isaac) 15 yards to the INDIANAST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 6 yards to the IndSt 48Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jordan MurphySimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Trey Coleman for 3 yds to the IndSt 45Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Taylor at the IndSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+23
100.0%
Isaac Harker pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 23 yds to the IndSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Jaquan Keys run for 2 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Isaac Harker pass incomplete to Zach LarkinSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Harker, Isaac pass complete to Morgan, Rontrez for 7 yards to the INDIANAST41, PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Johnson, Deandre) 5 yards to the INDIANAST39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
100.0%
INDIANA ST Penalty, False Start (Nakia Grier) to the IndSt 34Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-10
100.0%
Isaac Harker sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the IndSt 24 Isaac Harker fumbled, forced by Deandre Johnson, recovered by IndSt Jaquan Keys , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Thomas Bouldin punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Trey Coleman run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Trey Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+15
100.0%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to George, Jeff, PENALTY INDIANAST pass interference (Hicks, Corey) 15 yards to the INDIANAST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Austin PopeSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
100.0%
Tim Jordan run for 10 yds to the IndSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 9 yds to the IndSt 30Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Trey Coleman run for 5 yds to the IndSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
Trey Coleman run for 2 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+12
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 12 yds to the IndSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the IndSt 11Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jeff George for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
100.0%
Titus McCoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 20Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-3
100.0%
Titus McCoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:48
Cade Sparks pass incomplete to Bob Pugh
-1.6
TD · Q3 10:07
Cade Sparks pass complete to Jacquet McClendon for 23 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)
-1.2
TD · Q2 9:03
Carlin Fils-aime run for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com