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South Carolina 31 at Missouri 13

MIZ
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:07: Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 61 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +4.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:52: Tucker McCann kickoff for 62 yds , Deebo Samuel return for 97 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK) — SC win probability +5.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:37: Deebo Samuel run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK) — SC win probability +7.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:41: Hayden Hurst 39 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Alexander Woznick Kick) — SC win probability +14.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:25: Hayden Hurst run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK) — SC win probability +9.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:24SC 4th & 12 at MIZ 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:33MIZ 4th & 9 at SC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16SC 4th & 16 at SC 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:26MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18SC 4th & 9 at SC 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18SC 4th & 8 at SC 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:30MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:17MIZ 4th & 13 at SC 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:31MIZ 4th & 4 at SC 4, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−9.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:18SC 4th & 2 at MIZ 15, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−1.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:18MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10SC 4th & 8 at SC 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:59SC 4th & 6 at MIZ 43, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:07MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:52SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:37SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:41SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:25SC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:2739% → 39%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
60.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+10
60.8%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Edwards, Bryan, PENALTY MISSOURI holding (Acy, DeMarkus) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
60.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+16
60.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 16 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
60.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
60.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
60.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
60.3%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+16
60.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
60.0%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
60.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
60.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
60.6%
Alexander Woznick 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 3:3761% → 62%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
60.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
60.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
60.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
61.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
60.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
61.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
61.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 11 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
60.9%
Ish Witter run for 15 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
61.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
61.6%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
61.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
61.5%
Tucker McCann 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5038% → 37%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
61.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
62.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jordan Harold for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
62.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 73 yds, downed at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3761% → 61%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
61.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+16
61.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 16 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
61.3%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
61.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Damarea CrockettSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+6
60.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 6 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
60.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5339% → 37%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
61.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
62.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
61.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malik Young) to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+4
61.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 4 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+7
61.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
62.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
62.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 29 yds, downed at the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
67.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 61 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.4%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Jamyest Williams return for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
53.5%
Deebo Samuel run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:5857% → 56%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
56.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
56.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
57.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
56.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
56.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
55.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:4644% → 48%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
55.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+10
55.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 10 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
54.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
54.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
52.6%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Hurst, Hayden, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Acy, DeMarkus) 0 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
52.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 12 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
51.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
50.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
50.5%
Bentley, Jake pass complete to Edwards, Bryan for 5 yards to the MISSOURI41, PENALTY SOCAROLINA ineligible downfield on pass (TEAM) 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
50.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
52.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:4553% → 52%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
53.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
53.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
51.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+1
50.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
51.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 20 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
54.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 12 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+25
54.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 25 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
55.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
55.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
53.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
51.7%
Tucker McCann 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ulric JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 15 yds · 1:0250% → 52%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
48.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3552% → 51%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
52.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 19 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
55.2%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
54.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 8
OPP 43
-5
51.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 13:17
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
50.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1950% → 70%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
48.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
49.4%
Jake Bentley run for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
48.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 7 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
46.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
45.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
45.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+12
45.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 12 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-9
44.1%
Bentley, Jake pass complete to Edwards, Bryan for 2 yards to the MISSOURI28, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Young, Malik) 9 yards to the MISSOURI39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 19
OPP 39
+39
29.7%
Hayden Hurst 39 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Alexander Woznick Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 1:5431% → 38%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
31.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
31.9%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+27
30.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 27 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+38
33.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 38 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
34.9%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
33.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
37.6%
Tucker McCann 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:5267% → 77%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
33.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 1 yd to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+22
33.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+3
30.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
29.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+6
29.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
27.1%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
26.1%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
24.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
24.1%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
23.9%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
22.6%
Alexander Woznick 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5323% → 20%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.4%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
23.6%
Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.8%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
23.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
21.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
21.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (James Workman) to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
19.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0177% → 79%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
22.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
21.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+4
21.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 38 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 4 yds to the Misso 44 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, recovered by SCaro Kaleb ChalmersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3882% → 96%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
18.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
17.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+10
17.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 10 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
16.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 32 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
13.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
13.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.4%
Hayden Hurst run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:265% → 6%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.4%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
5.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 8 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Bryson Allen-Williams return for no gain to the Misso 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1197% → 97%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
3.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
3.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+7
3.0%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
2.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
2.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:504% → 3%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
4.4%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
4.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 13 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
3.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
3.0%
Drew Lock sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+8
2.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 8 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+13
2.6%
Ish Witter run for 13 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
2.9%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+20
2.8%
Ish Witter run for 20 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
3.0%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
2.8%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
2.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
1.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+6
1.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+5
1.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:41
Hayden Hurst 39 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Alexander Woznick Kick)
-14.4
TD · Q4 10:25
Hayden Hurst run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q2 12:37
Deebo Samuel run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alexander Woznick KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com