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UTM

UT Martin 23 at Ole Miss 45

MISS
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:22 · Kyle Akin pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 23 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+24.1Home team on offense+26.2Score differential+17.6Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:45: Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK) — UTM win probability +6.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 2 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +4.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:40: Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +2.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:25: Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:00: Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK) — UTM win probability +3.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:43MISS 4th & 6 at MISS 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43UTM 4th & 12 at MISS 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:43UTM 4th & 4 at MISS 6, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UTM 4th & 4 at UTM 31, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:12MISS 4th & 10 at UTM 20, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:03MISS 4th & 4 at UTM 4, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:07UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 28, up 6
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:19UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25UTM 4th & 19 at UTM 16, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:22UTM 4th & 10 at MISS 37, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:38MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 9, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:36UTM 4th & 9 at UTM 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:48UTM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:41MISS Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:45UTM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24MISS Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:40MISS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:25MISS Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:28MISS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:00UTM Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:25MISS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:122% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
Ladarius Galloway run for 5 yds to the TnMar 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.1%
Ladarius Galloway run for 15 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.1%
Caylon Weathers run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+22
98.1%
Ladarius Galloway run for 22 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
98.1%
Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+31
98.1%
Troy Cook pass complete to Christian Philpott for 31 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Troy Cook run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-4
97.5%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Will Gleeson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.3%
Ladarius Galloway run for 7 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
97.3%
Troy Cook pass complete to Christian Philpott for 6 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.3%
Ladarius Galloway run for 1 yd to the TnMar 37Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
97.3%
Jaylen Smith run for 16 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Troy Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
97.3%
Marquez Grayson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 48Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 11
OPP 48
-1
97.3%
Marquez Grayson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 49Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Brett Arkelian punt for 37 yds, downed at the Miss 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
96.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete, broken up by Justin JacksonSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+12
96.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.4%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
96.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
96.4%
Jordan Wilkins run for 12 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
96.5%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Tae Martin return for 23 yds to the Miss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5FG
4 plays · 18 yds · 2:034% → 5%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.7%
Troy Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
95.7%
Ladarius Galloway run for 2 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+4
95.7%
Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds to the Miss 6Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
94.8%
Ryan Courtright 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:0295% → 96%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 4 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
94.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+58
95.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 58 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:415% → 5%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.4%
Jaylon Moore run for a loss of 10 yards to the TnMar 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+14
95.2%
Troy Cook pass complete to Brett Thompson for 14 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.2%
Troy Cook pass complete to Brett Thompson for 2 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
95.3%
Brett Arkelian punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:1095% → 94%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
95.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 18 yds to the TnMar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
95.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 1 yard to the UTM44 (PRATHER JR, Kev), PENALTY UTM holding (PRATHER JR, Kev) 10 yards to the UTM35, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 4 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+11
95.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 11 yds to the TnMar 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-7
95.2%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the TnMar 17 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (Van Jefferson) to the TnMar 27Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 17
OPP 27
-6
95.1%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 6 yards to the TnMar 33Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 23
OPP 33
+8
94.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the TnMar 25Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+5
94.7%
Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the TnMar 20Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
94.1%
Gary Wunderlich 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:276% → 13%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.7%
Marquez Grayson run for 1 yd to the TnMar 21Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
93.7%
Troy Cook pass complete to Peyton Logan for 10 yds to the TnMar 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
93.6%
Peyton Logan run for 6 yds to the TnMar 37Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
93.4%
Ladarius Galloway run for 2 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+59
93.3%
Ladarius Galloway run for 59 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.4%
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:4289% → 89%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
88.7%
Jordan Wilkins rush for 3 yards to the OM28 (BROWN, Anthony;GILLEYLEN, Jame), PENALTY OM personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UTM personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+58
88.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 58 yds to the TnMar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
90.0%
Shea Patterson sacked by James Gilleylen for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 18Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+3
89.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the TnMar 15Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
89.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to O. Cooley (SIMMONS, DJ), PENALTY UTM personal foul (GILLEYLEN, Jame) 7 yards to the UTM8, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
90.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the TnMar 4Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Kahlid HagensSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, broken up by Justin JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
88.8%
Gary Wunderlich 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5213% → 13%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
87.5%
Ladarius Galloway run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+5
87.8%
Ladarius Galloway run for 5 yds to the TnMar 21Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+7
87.0%
Troy Cook run for 7 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 0
0
85.8%
ARKELIAN, Brett punt 43 yards to the OM29, A.J. Brown return to the OM22 (ESTE, Joseph), PENALTY UTM face mask off-setting, PENALTY OM face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
86.9%
Brett Arkelian punt, downed at the Miss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:3487% → 92%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+42
86.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 42 yds to the TnMar 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
88.0%
Shea Patterson run for 8 yds to the TnMar 1Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
88.2%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 2Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 2 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:1491% → 95%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
90.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 13 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+37
90.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 37 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
92.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the TnMar 23Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
91.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the TnMar 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Kahlid HagensSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+17
91.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 17 yds to the TnMar 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:167% → 6%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.4%
Ladarius Galloway run for 3 yds to the TnMar 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
93.4%
Troy Cook run for 1 yd to the TnMar 24Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
93.5%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Londell LeeSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+1
93.7%
Brett Arkelian punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 40 , A.J. Brown returns for 1 yd to the Miss 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:3895% → 97%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
94.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 7 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+10
94.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 10 yds to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
94.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 21 yds to the TnMar 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
94.8%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (Greg Little) to the TnMar 27Similar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+11
94.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 11 yds to the TnMar 16Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Ladarius Galloway run for no gain to the TnMar 25Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Deashun Fields run for 1 yd to the TnMar 26Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
96.1%
Troy Cook sacked by Marquis Haynes and Victor Evans for a loss of 10 yards to the TnMar 16Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
96.2%
Brett Arkelian punt for 42 yds , A.J. Brown returns for no gain to the Miss 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3597% → 99%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+8
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 8 yds to the TnMar 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D'Vaughn PennamonSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+16
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 16 yds to the TnMar 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
98.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 28 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 19TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 7:201% → 4%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
98.7%
Ladarius Galloway run for 2 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
98.7%
Ladarius Galloway run for 7 yds to the TnMar 38Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+25
98.7%
Ladarius Galloway run for 25 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.7%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon WeathersSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.9%
Troy Cook pass complete to Chance Key for 1 yd to the Miss 36Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-1
98.9%
Troy Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+23
98.9%
Kyle Akin pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 23 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
98.7%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Terry Fultz) to the Miss 19Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
98.8%
Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+8
98.7%
Troy Cook pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 8 yds to the Miss 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+6
99.2%
Troy Cook run for 6 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.1%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, delay of game (Troy Cook) to the Miss 6Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.1%
Ladarius Galloway run for 2 yds to the Miss 4Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:2698% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
97.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 11 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
97.7%
Eric Swinney run for 9 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
97.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 3 yds to the TnMar 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
97.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds to the TnMar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
97.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 18 yds to the TnMar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
97.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, PENALTY OM holding (Rod Taylor) 10 yards to the UTM18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
97.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 4 yds to the TnMar 14Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
97.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Eric Swinney for 12 yds to the TnMar 2Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 2 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 21INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ladarius Galloway for 9 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Ladarius Galloway run for 2 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.4%
Deashun Fields run for 4 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.4%
Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+10
99.4%
Ladarius Galloway run for 10 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Troy Cook run for 5 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Londell LeeSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
99.4%
Troy Cook pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 11 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Ty Brown run for no gain to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Troy Cook pass intercepted Javien Hamilton return for no gain to the Miss 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-5
99.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, delay of game (Shea Patterson) to the Miss 12Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Eric Swinney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 9 Eric Swinney fumbled, recovered by Miss Eric Swinney , return for no gain to the Miss 9Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 12
OWN 9
+3
99.5%
Mac Brown punt for 54 yds , Londell Lee returns for 3 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
99.6%
Ladarius Galloway run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 36Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+10
99.6%
Ladarius Galloway run for 10 yds to the TnMar 46Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
99.6%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 41Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Kyle Akin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+53
99.8%
Brett Arkelian punt for 53 yds, downed at the OLEMISS 6 TENN MARTIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Miss 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.7%
D.K. Buford run for 4 yds to the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:45
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 0:24
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 2 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q4 13:00
Ladarius Galloway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)
-3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com