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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 16 at Kentucky 27

UK
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:20 · Matt Panton punt for 47 yds , Daryl McCleskey Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+6.7Home team on offense+22.2Garbage-time factor+15.0Score differential+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:44: LJ Scott run for 7 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams PAT BLOCKED) — EKU win probability +3.8 pts (now 14%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:28: Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +4.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:08: Lucas Williams 31 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +6.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:57: Benny Snell Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +13.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:09: Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +14.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 1:24UK 4th & 1 at UK 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:23EKU 4th & 2 at UK 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:23UK 4th & 14 at UK 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:28UK 4th & 17 at UK 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:26EKU 4th & 6 at UK 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:43EKU 4th & 6 at UK 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:51UK 4th & 15 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:08EKU 4th & 5 at UK 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−10.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:11EKU 4th & 6 at UK 47, down 1
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:53EKU 4th & 2 at UK 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:20UK 4th & 1 at UK 35, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:22EKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:44EKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:28UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:57UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:09UK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:5998% → 98%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
98.1%
Johnson, Stephen pass incomplete, PENALTY EASTERNKY pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 1 yd to the EKent 49Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
98.1%
Sihiem King run for 3 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+12
98.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 12 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.0%
Garrett Johnson run for 11 yds to the EKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
97.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 25Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 4 yds to the EKent 21Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Charles WalkerSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+39
97.7%
Austin MacGinnis 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:382% → 3%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
97.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 8 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
97.6%
LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Cameron FogleSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
97.5%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 39Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+2
97.5%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+10
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 10 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+15
97.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Eli Brown) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
97.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 12 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+15
97.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 15 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 7 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:4597% → 96%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.8%
Stephen Johnson run for 22 yds to the Kent 43 KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Lynn Bowden Jr.) to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-4
96.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+14
96.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 14 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
96.5%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
96.4%
Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+9
96.4%
Sihiem King run for 9 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.3%
Sihiem King run for 6 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-2
96.2%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 40Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
95.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 5 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
95.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the EKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:515% → 5%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
95.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 3 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
95.1%
Jason Lewis run for 3 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+2
94.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 2 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
94.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5095% → 94%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
94.9%
Barker, Drew pass complete to Ross, Kayaune for 3 yards to the KENTUCKY26, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Meadows, Kyle) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+15
94.8%
Barker, Drew pass incomplete to Johnson, Garrett, PENALTY EASTERNKY pass interference (Grace, Kobie) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.8%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.7%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-6
94.3%
Drew Barker sacked by Jeffrey Canady for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
93.9%
Matt Panton punt for 42 yds, downed at the EKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:347% → 14%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.5%
Austin Scott pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
93.4%
Austin Scott pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 9 yds to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
93.3%
Austin Scott pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 4 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
93.1%
Alonzo Booth run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 7
50
+17
92.8%
Austin Scott pass complete to Ryan Markush for 17 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
92.2%
Austin Scott pass complete to Ryan Markush for 8 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OPP 25
-2
91.7%
Austin Scott pass complete to Alex Cabrera for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+9
91.5%
Austin Scott pass complete to Ryan Markush for 9 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
90.6%
LJ Scott run for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
90.0%
Austin Scott pass complete to Ryan Markush for 9 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
89.8%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.1%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:0987% → 84%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
87.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Kyle Meadows) to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
86.6%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+5
86.1%
Drew Barker pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-9
84.8%
Drew Barker sacked by Jeffrey Canady for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
83.7%
Matt Panton punt for 38 yds, downed at the EKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5817% → 17%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.4%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Neiko CreamerSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
83.3%
LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
82.7%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+35
82.9%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 35 yds , Charles Walker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5283% → 88%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
82.5%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
81.1%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Aaron Patrick) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
50
+27
83.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 27 yds to the EKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
87.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1715% → 14%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
85.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 1 yd to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
85.1%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Jason LewisSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+3
85.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 3 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
86.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:3587% → 86%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
87.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 19 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
87.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 31 yds to the EKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
86.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+48
86.0%
Austin MacGinnis 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:1115% → 18%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
85.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 19 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
83.8%
Jason Lewis run for 9 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+9
83.1%
Jason Lewis run for 9 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
82.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 6 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
82.1%
Alonzo Booth run for 1 yd to the Kent 3 Alonzo Booth fumbled, forced by Jordan Jones, recovered by Kent Derrick BaitySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:2384% → 79%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
84.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+7
83.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
83.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+11
82.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 11 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
82.6%
Sihiem King run for 26 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
84.0%
Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-3
83.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-5
81.4%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Luder Jean Louis for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 15
50
0
78.9%
Matt Panton punt for 28 yds, downed at the EKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:3925% → 35%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
75.1%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Daryl McCleskey Jr.Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
75.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 3 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+24
75.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 24 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
74.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.1%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Clayton SchmerberSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
74.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Jaelin Carter for 8 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
72.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 13 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
70.8%
LJ Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+8
69.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 8 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
70.9%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Daryl McCleskey Jr.Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
65.0%
Lucas Williams 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4770% → 84%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+43
71.2%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 43 yds to the EKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
84.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3121% → 21%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
79.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 4 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
78.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 8 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Clayton Schmerber for 5 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
78.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Jaelin Carter for 8 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.7%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
78.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cameron Kowalewski) to the EKent 44Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+6
79.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 9
50
+3
78.7%
Tim Boyle run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
79.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:5181% → 93%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
81.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 16Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+16
80.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 16 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
80.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
81.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
81.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 30 yds to the EKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.1%
Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the EKent 19Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-2
78.2%
Sihiem King run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 21Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+21
92.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · -18 yds · 2:4811% → 10%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
88.8%
Tim Boyle run for no gain to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
88.6%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the EKent 27Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+10
89.5%
LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+3
89.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 3 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+2
90.1%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
88.8%
Jason Lewis run for 2 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-15
88.9%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Neiko Creamer) to the EKent 29Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 23
OPP 29
+15
88.9%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 15 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-30
90.0%
Tim Boyle sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 15 yards to the EKent 29 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tim Boyle) to the EKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0594% → 95%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
94.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
94.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
95.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+47
94.7%
Matt Panton punt for 47 yds , Daryl McCleskey Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
88.4%
Tim Boyle pass intercepted Mike Edwards return for no gain to the EKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FG
14 plays · 13 yds · 3:4195% → 98%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
95.7%
Sihiem King run for 3 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+6
95.6%
Sihiem King run for 6 yds to the EKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
95.7%
King, Sihiem rush for 7 yards to the EASTERNKY15, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Conrad, C.J.) 10 yards to the EASTERNKY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+6
97.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+5
97.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the EKent 21Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+5
96.9%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Buck Solomon) to the EKent 16Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 16
-5
96.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Mason Wolfe) to the EKent 21Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+39
97.8%
Austin MacGinnis 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:094% → 3%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
96.2%
Tim Boyle run for 5 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Daryl McCleskey Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
96.6%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the EKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:09
Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+14.7
TD · Q3 2:57
Benny Snell Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+13.2
FG · Q3 4:08
Lucas Williams 31 yd FG GOOD
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com