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UGA

Georgia 20 at Notre Dame 19

ND
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:05 · Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+1.0Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:24: Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +5.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:45: Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 5 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +10.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:34: Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +16.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:21: Justin Yoon 28 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +12.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:34: Rodrigo Blankenship 30 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +21.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 9 of 14UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:48ND 4th & 3 at UGA 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:09ND 4th & 14 at ND 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:36UGA 4th & 7 at ND 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:29ND 4th & 11 at ND 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:56UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:06ND 4th & 7 at ND 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:50UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:23ND 4th & 6 at ND 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:14ND 4th & 4 at UGA 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:03UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:48ND 4th & 2 at ND 16, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00ND 4th & 6 at UGA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:22UGA 4th & 2 at ND 26, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−8.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:45ND 4th & 6 at UGA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:38UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:22ND 4th & 11 at UGA 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−8.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:05ND 4th & 1 at UGA 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−6.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−6.8
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:04UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−6.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:21ND 4th & 1 at UGA 11, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%−2.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−20.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:30UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:47ND 4th & 1 at ND 34, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−5.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:34UGA 4th & 5 at ND 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−12.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−24.4
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:08ND 4th & 10 at ND 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:57UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 8.1 ptsPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−8.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:24ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:45UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:34UGA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:5759% → 59%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Dominick SandersSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
58.9%
Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
59.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 29 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
59.2%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
59.3%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
59.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
59.3%
Justin Yoon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:3341% → 40%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
59.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 10 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
59.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-8
59.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 34 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeb Blazevich) to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
59.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Brian HerrienSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
59.7%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 14
OWN 24
-2
59.8%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 42 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3760% → 59%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
59.6%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Rochester) to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
60.0%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
60.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
59.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 9
OPP 46
-5
59.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Daelin Hayes) to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2640% → 41%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
59.9%
Nick Chubb run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
50
+7
59.2%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Hardman, Mecole (Tranquill, Drue), PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Tranquill, Drue) 7 yards to the NOTREDAME43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
59.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 31 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
59.0%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
58.9%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the NDame 9Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
59.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
58.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5459% → 58%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
58.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+3
58.8%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-3
58.4%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 11
OWN 12
-3
58.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2442% → 42%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
58.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 8 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
57.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
57.9%
Mecole Hardman run for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-2
58.4%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 37 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3859% → 58%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
58.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 14Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-3
59.0%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Roquan Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 11Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+5
58.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 5 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 7
OWN 16
-4
58.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 57 yds , Terry Godwin returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0842% → 41%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
58.2%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+2
58.2%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
58.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
59.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2159% → 58%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
59.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 31 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by NDame Sam MustipherSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+2
58.4%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+28
57.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 59 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 28 yds to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
57.0%
Jake Fromm run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 32 Jake Fromm fumbled, recovered by NDame Daelin HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:4861% → 67%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
61.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
61.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Alex Bars) to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+35
61.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for 32 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Dominick Sanders) to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.5%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Geo 1Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:2136% → 47%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
64.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+13
65.8%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
64.2%
Christian Payne run for 4 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
63.9%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
64.1%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
64.4%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
62.7%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+11
63.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Nick Chubb for 11 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
64.3%
Christian Payne run for 7 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
63.4%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the NDame 5Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon Wims, broken up by Nick WatkinsSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 5 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:1460% → 64%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.7%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+32
60.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Alize Mack for 32 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
62.2%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-2
62.2%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
61.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 1 yd to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
63.5%
Justin Yoon 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5339% → 38%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
60.9%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
60.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
60.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
62.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 56 yds, downed at the NDame 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0962% → 60%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
62.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron Smith, broken up by Deandre BakerSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
61.5%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 10Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+6
61.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for 6 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
60.3%
Tyler Newsome punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1441% → 39%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
59.0%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-1
59.4%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
60.6%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Drue Tranquill return for no gain to the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:2065% → 63%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
65.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for 1 yd to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
65.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Quenton Nelson) to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+8
63.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 8 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
64.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
62.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds, downed at the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:3038% → 40%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.1%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+21
61.4%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jerry Tillery) to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
59.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
59.8%
Sony Michel run for 17 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
58.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Simmons) to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+7
59.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
57.9%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+5
59.3%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+44
60.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:3064% → 63%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
63.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for 21 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
65.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
63.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5437% → 34%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
62.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 4 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
62.9%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 19
-2
64.1%
Jake Fromm sacked by Nyles Morgan for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
65.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:0967% → 71%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
67.4%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
66.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+12
64.7%
Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Smythe, Durham, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Sanders, Dominick) 12 yards to the GEORGIA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
68.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
69.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 7 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
69.2%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
69.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
69.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
67.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
71.4%
Justin Yoon 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:3731% → 54%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
68.8%
Jake Fromm sacked by Jonathan Bonner for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
69.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+29
70.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 14 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Okwara) to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
65.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+46
62.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 40 yds to the NOTREDAME 12 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Devin Studstill) to the NDame 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jayson StanleySimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
45.7%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23FUMBLE
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:3053% → 60%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
52.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
53.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
51.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 9 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
54.7%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Aaron Davis) to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron Smith, broken up by Deandre BakerSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
57.6%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
54.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Alize Mack for 9 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
57.0%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-12
60.1%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 12 yards to the Geo 47 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo Lorenzo Carter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:4052% → 46%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
47.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole Hardman, broken up by Nick WatkinsSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
48.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Kendall Baker) to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+6
50.5%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-2
49.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 11
OWN 46
-5
53.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
53.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 4:4053% → 68%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
52.6%
Wimbush, Brandon pass complete to Smith, Cameron for loss of 1 yard to the NOTREDAME15, PENALTY GEORGIA face mask (Holyfield, Elijah) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
53.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for no gain to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
53.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Michael Young for 4 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+8
51.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Freddy CanteenSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
54.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chris Finke for 2 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Rochester) to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
58.1%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
58.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+17
57.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chris Finke for 17 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
60.4%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
60.4%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-5
57.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+8
55.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+28
67.9%
Justin Yoon 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3937% → 34%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
62.7%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+1
63.1%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+4
64.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+1
65.8%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 46 yds , Chris Finke returns for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3166% → 64%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.8%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
66.2%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
65.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0538% → 63%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.0%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
61.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
56.7%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
58.0%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
56.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 31 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
53.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 5 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
55.5%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
58.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
36.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1848% → 41%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chris Finke, broken up by Richard LeCounte IIISimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0364% → 70%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.7%
Mecole Hardman run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
32.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
30.9%
Christian Payne run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
30.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 31FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:2338% → 39%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
37.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+17
36.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chris Finke for 17 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
39.2%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 25 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, forced by Davin Bellamy, recovered by Geo Lorenzo Carter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:5782% → 88%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
18.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 12
OPP 27
-2
14.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 14
OPP 29
-2
12.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 3:34
Rodrigo Blankenship 30 yd FG GOOD
-21.3
TD · Q3 4:34
Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-16.9
FG · Q4 10:21
Justin Yoon 28 yd FG GOOD
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com