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TENN

Tennessee 42 at Georgia Tech 41

GT
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2017 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:00 · Trevor Daniel punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 147Home team on offense+10.3Pregame prior−1.4Garbage-time factor+2.2Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 1:29: John Kelly 11 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +41.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: TaQuon Marshall 1 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick) — GT win probability +20.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: John Kelly 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +38.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT2 0:00: John Kelly 2 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +14.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: TaQuon Marshall run for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GT win probability +15.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 13:14TENN 4th & 12 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19GT 4th & 2 at GT 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:27TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:24GT 4th & 7 at GT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:57TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02TENN 4th & 4 at GT 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07TENN 4th & 2 at GT 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%
    27% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:30TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:14GT 4th & 7 at TENN 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:49GT 4th & 5 at GT 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:00TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:06GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:11TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:11GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:19GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:42TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:08GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:49TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:29TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−4.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:3361% → 60%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
39.1%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
39.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
39.3%
John Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 12
50
0
39.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 12
50
0
39.6%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyler Byrd, broken up by Brant MitchellSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 12
50
0
39.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4640% → 40%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
39.7%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
40.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+1
40.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
40.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4460% → 59%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
40.3%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
40.5%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+7
40.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 7 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+3
41.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5741% → 41%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
41.1%
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
41.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+1
41.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
41.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2259% → 58%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
41.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
41.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 70 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 6:4642% → 50%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
41.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
41.9%
Nathan Cottrell run for 5 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+15
41.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 15 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
42.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-9
43.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 35 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, recovered by GTech Qua SearcySimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+44
42.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 44 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
44.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
45.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
44.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
45.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.2%
TaQuon Marshall 1 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5353% → 52%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
47.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
47.3%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
48.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 6 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
48.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds, downed at the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:1649% → 53%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
49.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+12
50.0%
Qua Searcy run for 12 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
50.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
51.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+15
50.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
53.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+3
52.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 46 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, forced by Daniel Bituli, recovered by Tenn Cortez McDowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:2351% → 60%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
49.4%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
49.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
49.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
49.2%
John Kelly run for 22 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
49.1%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
49.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+6
50.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 6 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.9%
John Kelly 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 6:5446% → 63%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
46.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
47.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 9 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
49.1%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
50
+6
49.5%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
50.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
50.2%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
50.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
50.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
51.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 12 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
51.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-1
51.8%
KirVonte Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+10
50.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 10 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.9%
KirVonte Benson 1 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:4541% → 42%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
59.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 5 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
57.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 10 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
57.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 8 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
55.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
56.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
58.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
63.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2862% → 77%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
61.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
62.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
62.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
64.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
65.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
65.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+5
66.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
67.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 28 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
68.0%
KirVonte Benson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
70.1%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
TaQuon Marshall 1 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick)Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
76.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4323% → 23%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
75.7%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
76.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
77.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0680% → 86%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+38
80.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for 38 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.6%
KirVonte Benson run for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
82.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+9
82.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
84.3%
Quaide Weimerskirch run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-7
84.9%
Qua Searcy run for 8 yds to the Tenn 21 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Kenny Cooper) to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+6
85.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
85.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
85.9%
Shawn Davis 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2618% → 37%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
81.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Palmer for 7 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
81.3%
Quinten Dormady run for 7 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
81.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 7 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+14
81.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 14 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
80.6%
John Kelly run for 30 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-5
76.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jack Jones) to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
63.3%
Marquez Callaway 10 Yd pass from Quinten Dormady (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2877% → 95%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.8%
Quaide Weimerskirch run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
79.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
79.5%
Nathan Cottrell run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
50
+1
81.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Tenn 49 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+42
81.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 42 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
82.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Tenn 6Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.6%
TaQuon Marshall 6 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:0514% → 27%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.4%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
86.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
87.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
50
0
87.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyler Byrd, broken up by Lawrence AustinSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
50
+50
73.2%
Marquez Callaway 50 Yd pass from Quinten Dormady (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3981% → 81%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
80.9%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+7
81.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
82.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
82.4%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
82.1%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
81.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4324% → 21%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
76.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
75.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
76.6%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Step DurhamSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
79.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:5684% → 90%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
84.4%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+9
85.9%
Nathan Cottrell run for 9 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
86.3%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+27
86.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 27 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
89.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+36
89.7%
J.J. Green run for 36 yds to the Tenn 7 J.J. Green fumbled, forced by Rashaan Gaulden, recovered by Tenn Micah AbernathySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:1215% → 64%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
84.7%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+10
85.0%
Dormady, Quinten pass incomplete to Kelly, John, PENALTY GATECH holding (Branch, Desmond) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
84.4%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
85.1%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 3 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+6
84.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 6 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+40
83.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 40 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
77.5%
John Kelly run for 16 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
36.4%
John Kelly 11 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 1:1855% → 66%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
54.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 19 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
60.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 11 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
62.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 8 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
63.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
61.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 7 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
65.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
65.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
66.1%
Shawn Davis 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 83%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
64.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 12 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
64.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
64.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
62.3%
KirVonte Benson run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
TaQuon Marshall 1 Yd Run (Shawn Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
80.4%
Quinten Dormady run for 6 yds to the GTech 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+18
79.3%
John Kelly run for 18 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
John Kelly 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 76%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the GTech 24Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+15
40.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 15 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+7
38.6%
Dormady, Quinten pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Durham, Step) 7 yards to the GATECH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.3%
John Kelly 2 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 27TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 41%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
28.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
25.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
41.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-50
TD · Q4 1:29
John Kelly 11 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)
-41.1
TD · OT 0:00
John Kelly 1 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)
-38.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com